December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[WxUSAF]

Euro AI is nothing for Friday outside the mountains. Sunday leans north of us, but dusting for DC, 1” for Baltimore, near 2” along M/D line

[WEATHER53]

12 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

0z Canadian shows a chance on the 18th.

This is the one I have been referencing analog wise although I did initially say two weeks ago that it’s  12/20 time frame but this is the next  good shot 

[TSSN+]

Euro still light event Friday 

 

[T. August]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Euro still light event Friday 

 

I think we can juice that up. There were some improvements at 500

[TSSN+]

Ain’t much Sunday. Light and north of last run. 
 

 

[WEATHER53]

33 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Happy Torchmas yall 

 

Yeah we are not here for repeated torchmas  shit from you 

[TSSN+]

I’d be fine with 3” of snow this weekend between the two systems. Just give us something. 
 

 

[mitchnick]

6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I’d be fine with 3” of snow this weekend between the two systems. Just give us something. 
 

 

We're 2" on Pivotal fwiw. Charlottesville still gets more than that. And you know they will actual get it while ours is iffy. Lol

[Ralph Wiggum]

52 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Happy Torchmas yall 

 

And the cold is even Westivus for Festivus

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

39 minutes ago, Benjamn3 said:

Gotdamn even looks like a damn torch. Let’s just pretend this never happened. 

Yep, and just 3 runs ago was an epic winter storm.

[bncho]

12z GEFS may look very good, but it's heavily skewed by one storm in P8 that drops about 30-40 inches of snow (3-4" QPF, imagine kuchera lol) in the metros lol

[Ji]

[Yeoman]

2 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

all kind of evens out between the two light events. Beggars can't be choosers but I'd like more lol

Don't forget to divide by 6

[Yeoman]

21 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I’d be fine with 3” of snow this weekend between the two systems. Just give us something. 
 

 

That's a girthy shaft for DC.. 

[katabatic]

Looks like tomorrow and especially tomorrow night out here on the Allegheny Front will be interesting. We've just been upgraded to a Blizzard Warning. 

[Weather Will]

Huge swing between 0Z EURO and 12Z EURO at range.  Christmas weather still TBD.
 

[Ji]

2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Huge swing between 0Z EURO and 12Z EURO at range.  Christmas weather still TBD.
 

psssst.....360 hours is not at range

[WesternFringe]

 

4 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Huge swing between 0Z EURO and 12Z EURO at range.  Christmas weather still TBD.
 

Ya think?  Lol

[TSSN+]

5 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Huge swing between 0Z EURO and 12Z EURO at range.  Christmas weather still TBD.
 

So I can expect tornadoes or snownadoes still? 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

So I can expect tornadoes or snownadoes still? 

It'll have to be SHARKnadoes...so that @stormtracker can break out JAWS for us!

[WxUSAF]

EPS likes Friday more than Sunday. 

[Eskimo Joe]

Good lord, 12z GFS pops a 591 dm ridge over us on Christmas Day. Pain.

[mattie g]

29 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Yep, and just 3 runs ago was an epic winter storm.

Yeah, but now we’re within range, so let’s get ready for the torch.

Boxing Day = 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Good lord, 12z GFS pops a 591 dm ridge over us on Christmas Day. Pain.

That would be God-awful to see in JULY (let alone December)!!  We'd be talking triple digits if it were summer!

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, mattie g said:

Yeah, but now we’re within range, so let’s get ready for the torch.

Boxing Day = 

My point exactly. 2 weeks out going to flip flop quite a bit. Saw that over the last 24 hours already wrt that time period

[winter_warlock]

8 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Good lord, 12z GFS pops a 591 dm ridge over us on Christmas Day. Pain.

I trust the GFS 2 weeks out as much as I trust the ravens defense lol

[87storms]

13 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Good lord, 12z GFS pops a 591 dm ridge over us on Christmas Day. Pain.

That sucks, I'm gonna really miss these frigid temps and occasional cartoppers.

But actually I'll be out west during that time, so it probably will end up snowing here.

[SnowenOutThere]

50 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

We're 2" on Pivotal fwiw. Charlottesville still gets more than that. And you know they will actual get it while ours is iffy. Lol

Snow town! Went for a walk in the woods this morning and everything looks super pretty with temps staying below 30 today 

[stormy]

26 and cloudy for what was supposed to be 34 with sun.

Euro deterministic gives Augusta 3.3" of snow Friday.  Euro AI ens gives Augusta .3" of snow Friday. After looking at GEM and GFS, credibility is easy.  

[Chris78]

43 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

EPS likes Friday more than Sunday. 

Does it have it but to north on Sunday?