December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[bncho]

0z Euro back to back clippers

[RickinBaltimore]

6 hours ago, bncho said:

0z Euro back to back clippers

Baltimore Clippers you say?

 

[jaydreb]

Had to laugh when I saw this.  
 

[87storms]

Looks like the southern stream is going dormant again this week.  Maybe we can weasel our way into a clipper/screamer/mauler later in the week with that next shot of arctic air.

[WxUSAF]

If the MJO stays in phase 8 as predicted, I’m going to keep selling on the SE ridge trying to appear. That said, the later we get into December the more ways we can snow with near normal temps.

[Kmlwx]

Maybe of these arctic fronts can give us something like that dynamic snow squall setup from Valentine's Day 2015. That was a heck of an evening! 

I know we all want to chase legit snowstorms - but those mini dynamic ones can be 1) Very impactful and 2) Fun to nowcast in real time. 

[mitchnick]

Just now, Kmlwx said:

Maybe of these arctic fronts can give us something like that dynamic snow squall setup from Valentine's Day 2015. That was a heck of an evening! 

I know we all want to chase legit snowstorms - but those mini dynamic ones can be 1) Very impactful and 2) Fun to nowcast in real time. 

I remember that vividly. Have a number of pics from that day in anticipation due to some funky clouds and during the event. I think Bob Chill was in his garage enjoy I ng it if memory serves.

[Kmlwx]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

I remember that vividly. Have a number of pics from that day in anticipation due to some funky clouds and during the event. I think Bob Chill was in his garage enjoy I ng it if memory serves.

I remember I was in Downtown Silver Spring having dinner and saw it start to snow. Only had to go from there to roughly MD-650 and Randolph Rd (back to the house) and it was extremely dangerous. Within about 30 minutes of getting home, the roads were all snow covered and by morning everything was SUPER icy. 

A winter containing an event like that (or two), a few few nice cold shots, and a moderate snow event or two (and if we are lucky a major one too) would be a perfect winter. But even without a MECS/BECS - a winter containing a good blend of the above (minus the major one) can be memorable....even if it isn't a 2013-2014 style wall-to-wall. 

And those types of arctic snow squalls are NOT something that the long rangers here are going to be able to spot with accuracy at range. That kind of crap is going to make itself known only once in range of things like the NAM nest etc.