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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread


Torch Tiger
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17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s hilarious. A plant peeler of yore.

Always love temps near 10F with pellets. I’d be fine with it though…plenty of snow before that. ‘94-esque….Jimmy Buffet mele kalikimaka by the time it verifies. 

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Don’t care when it happens but I hope the pattern does relax some and reloads. But watch the time period of when/if this occurs because that could offer up a KU chance. As to what happens after the re-load…who knows but apply some tweaks to this pattern and we could be in for some times in January 

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25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s impressive though. Kevin’s weed whacker for me. 

At least the ensembles are still showing that better pattern toward Xmas. 18z today vs 24 hours ago

image.png.4dafb6ffdc97ce25527e96c0af68ba30.png
image.png.a9de695583e7dd468984462bb8bbcc5c.png

 

Scandi ridging retrograding as we get closer has been a theme so far this month. Also hard to torch really hard across northern tier when you have a strongly -WPO like we’ve seen. 

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16 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Some MEX mofos for Wed and the 14th.

image.png

Yes

KLEW   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE  12/08/2025  1200 UTC                       
 FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192      
      TUE 09| WED 10| THU 11| FRI 12| SAT 13| SUN 14| MON 15|TUE CLIMO
 N/X  -1  22| 16  35| 28  31| 13  28| 16  32| 18  27| 10  23|  9 19 35
 TMP   0  17| 20  33| 28  24| 16  22| 19  24| 20  20| 12  17| 11      
 DPT  -7   6| 15  32| 22  13|  6   9| 13  16| 14  10|  4   6|  5      
 CLD  CL  PC| OV  OV| OV  PC| CL  CL| PC  OV| OV  OV| OV  PC| CL      
 WND   6   6|  5   7|  8  14| 10  16| 11  11|  5  10| 16  16| 11      
 P12   0   0| 43  84| 69  19| 13   7|  9  21| 18  40| 22  19| 13999999
 P24       0|     86|     72|     15|     21|     40|     27|      999
 Q12   0   0|  1   2|  1   0|  0   0|  0   0|  0   1|       |         
 Q24       0|      2|      1|      0|      0|      1|       |         
 T12   0   0|  2   1|  2   1|  1   1|  1   0|  0   0|  1   0|  0      
 T24        |  2    |  4    |  2    |  3    |  1    |  1    |  1      
 PZP   4   2|  6   6|  6   0|  4   4|  6   7| 10   6|  6   7|  8      
 PSN  96  98| 92  55| 33  79| 93  92| 88  76| 76  89| 90  81| 79      
 PRS   0   0|  2  17| 27  12|  1   3|  1   9|  5   3|  4   4|  6      
 TYP   S   S|  S   S| RS   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S   S|  S      
 SNW       0|      2|      1|      0|      0|      6|       |         
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22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

At least the ensembles are still showing that better pattern toward Xmas. 18z today vs 24 hours ago

image.png.4dafb6ffdc97ce25527e96c0af68ba30.png
image.png.a9de695583e7dd468984462bb8bbcc5c.png

 

Scandi ridging retrograding as we get closer has been a theme so far this month. Also hard to torch really hard across northern tier when you have a strongly -WPO like we’ve seen. 

Both GEFS runs and the GEPS today seemed to get cold feet on the warmup after 300 hours, the EPS not as much

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