December 2025 OBS and Discussion

[snowman19]

10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Courtesy of the MA forum. The MA beating us to the first accumulation would be fitting in the current cutter/suppressed period we are in. 

Yea, that northern fringe being shown over our area is very likely virga that can’t be resolved on global models at this range. The airmass that’s going to be over us is going to be extremely dry and is going to “eat up” the QPF 

[donsutherland1]

6 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

How do I get this for BWI? 

For Baltimore, the snowfall cases are far more mixed.

[FPizz]

55 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

TWC mentioned a few records can fall tomorrow morning w/r/t record lows. Bridgeport is one location. 17 is the current record there. Something to watch.

 

Tomorrow my forecast low is 13.  I have no clue what the record might be around here.

[forkyfork]

too much pacific energy keeping the pna ridge flattened and ruining an otherwise great pattern 

[BxEngine]

2 hours ago, Sundog said:

Were you the one that said +10 for October? 

Hes one of the kids that posts pessimistic shit this way when it inevitably happens, he can claim victory and also be mentally prepared for the sadness that people feel when they dont get what they actually want. And if we happen to get snow they wont acknowledge the incorrect posts, just move on and enjoy their snow they wanted while being doubly excited because they were pessimistic. Freud would have a field day in this forum.   

[EastonSN+]

31 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Tomorrow my forecast low is 13.  I have no clue what the record might be around here.

With snow cover to the north, may help multiple record lows. 

[donsutherland1]

For reference, New York City area locations where daily records could be challenged or broken on December 5th:

[jm1220]

1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said:

Courtesy of the MA forum. The MA beating us to the first accumulation would be fitting in the current cutter/suppressed period we are in. 

Perfectly fitting to go from raw nasty all rain in the upper 30s to cold/dry/suppressed garbage. Hopefully we can get something to turn the corner when it’s still cold enough here. The storms of course will come back when the cold retreats. 

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Perfectly fitting to go from raw nasty all rain in the upper 30s to cold/dry/suppressed garbage. Hopefully we can get something to turn the corner when it’s still cold enough here. The storms of course will come back when the cold retreats. 

Or a clipper but those seem to be very rare the last 15-20 yrs

[jm1220]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

Or a clipper but those seem to be very rare the last 15-20 yrs

Last year we were able to get 1-2” small events right before Christmas, which was better than zilch but looks more likely we’re going to waste this cold for anything more substantial. Our best shot given the lightning fast pattern is likely something along those lines. An offshore redeveloper would probably form too late for us, and we can’t get the pattern to slow enough for a more meaningful s/w to turn the corner. I’m not optimistic for this cold snap to produce snowwise but we’ll see.