November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Let’s turn that into a cutter

Already pretty much is as far as you're concerned.

[mahk_webstah]

1st legit possibility.  But still a longshot.

[weatherwiz]

Can't even get good agreement on models on how tomorrow/tomorrow night evolve  

[tamarack]

Low here was 14, coldest of the season by 6° but nothing special for November.  Median for November's lowest is 8, range is 17 (twice) and -4. 
Pure blue and no wind this morning.

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Already pretty much is as far as you're concerned.

With it being early in the season, 2 to 4 inches would be epic.

[WinterWolf]

I feel the take away is, things are heading in a decent direction it seems, and the chances are now just starting to show up. This is good. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

I feel the take away is, things are heading in a decent direction it seems, and the chances are now just starting to show up. This is good. 

I'm wondering if there is any way at all we can really know?

[MJO812]

Game on

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm wondering if there is any way at all we can really know?

Well, technically-not really .  But we’ll all keep an eye on things. 

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Game on

Get it to 50mb before we whack it to wind reversals over the moon.

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Get it to 50mb before we whack it to wind reversals over the moon.

Game off?

[klw]

Just now, dendrite said:

Game off?

[Damage In Tolland]

Definitely the first time in many many years there’s been ice on the pond at base of my hill in Nov. Third or 4th time this month . Something is different. What it is ain’t exactly clear. 

[dryslot]

On my way back from Wales this morning, Sabattus Lake was skimmed over, These last several days of temps in the 30's and teens at night has jump started ice buildup.

[WinterWolf]

17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Definitely the first time in many many years there’s been ice on the pond at base of my hill in Nov. Third or 4th time this month . Something is different. What it is ain’t exactly clear. 

We’ve been trying to tell you this…

[IrishRob17]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Definitely the first time in many many years there’s been ice on the pond at base of my hill in Nov. Third or 4th time this month . Something is different. What it is ain’t exactly clear. 

Hopefully its not a field day for the heat, a thousand people in the street.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

We’ve been trying to tell you this…

I mean ultimately though, nobody cares about skim ice on a local pond. If it doesn’t snow, nobody is going to care what else is going on.

Lets actually get some measurable snow before we start talking about how great things will be.

Weve done a lot “things look promising” the last half decade and have come away usually with nothing to show. Need results 

[Kitz Craver]

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Definitely the first time in many many years there’s been ice on the pond at base of my hill in Nov. Third or 4th time this month . Something is different. What it is ain’t exactly clear. 

Gonna make Ray’s holiday thaw that much more painful 

[weatherwiz]

44 minutes ago, klw said:

Who uses an umbrella when its windy? 

[HoarfrostHubb]

17 minutes ago, dryslot said:

On my way back from Wales this morning, Sabattus Lake was skimmed over, These last several days of temps in the 30's and teens at night has jump started ice buildup.

Yep.  1st skim ice on the pond 

i drive by in my town each day.

20F for my low

[weatherwiz]

There was alot of ice in my freezer this morning too, more than usual. 

 

 

 

that's because I turned on the ice maker 

[weatherwiz]

What an absolutely colossal joke guidance is with tomorrow night. Who event wants to forecast precipitation events 4-5 days out? It's been absolutely terrible. I can only wonder how many storms we'll see on guidance 4-5 days out and the snow maps of 8...10...12+ inches start flying out only for significant reductions inside of 48 hours. Or who knows...maybe we'll get some in the other direction where it looks like crap and then we're forecasting 6-10" all of a sudden  

[Lava Rock]

51 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Definitely the first time in many many years there’s been ice on the pond at base of my hill in Nov. Third or 4th time this month . Something is different. What it is ain’t exactly clear. 

Aliens

[Damage In Tolland]

32 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

We’ve been trying to tell you this…

Could it a cold , dry 1989 type Dec.. could it snow a bit? There’s something happening here.. what it is Wolf ain't exactly clear . 

[Damage In Tolland]

32 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Hopefully its not a field day for the heat, a thousand people in the street.

I knew someone would kick into the verse 

[Damage In Tolland]

24 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Gonna make Ray’s holiday thaw that much more painful 

I actually don’t think that’s coming this year . I think it holds off until January when winter more or less ends . Like mid or maybe latter Jan. 

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

What an absolutely colossal joke guidance is with tomorrow night. Who event wants to forecast precipitation events 4-5 days out? It's been absolutely terrible. I can only wonder how many storms we'll see on guidance 4-5 days out and the snow maps of 8...10...12+ inches start flying out only for significant reductions inside of 48 hours. Or who knows...maybe we'll get some in the other direction where it looks like crap and then we're forecasting 6-10" all of a sudden  

Yeah. Night and day on the GFS and Euro.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

What an absolutely colossal joke guidance is with tomorrow night. Who event wants to forecast precipitation events 4-5 days out? It's been absolutely terrible. I can only wonder how many storms we'll see on guidance 4-5 days out and the snow maps of 8...10...12+ inches start flying out only for significant reductions inside of 48 hours. Or who knows...maybe we'll get some in the other direction where it looks like crap and then we're forecasting 6-10" all of a sudden  

Only the GFS has soaking rain. It’s not hard at all. A shower or very light rain and call it a wrap 

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Yeah. Night and day on the GFS and Euro.

even mesos are a mess

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Only the GFS has soaking rain. It’s not hard at all. A shower or very light rain and call it a wrap 

for us, yes but I am looking at more of the region as a whole (including just to our south. I would have to think any north guidance with the heavier axis is wrong but we do get some increasing diffluence aloft late with PVA so we may see showers blossom (just not heavy rain...maybe coast gets heavier rain).

[brooklynwx99]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Get it to 50mb before we whack it to wind reversals over the moon.

the PV closer to us has been perturbed already. seems like this should couple pretty well