O'Brother Septorcher

[Typhoon Tip]

it's the NAM so ...

it's skimpier on QPF areal coverage and amounts than other guidance.  there's an old saying that dry begets dry ... heh, NAM and a saying, vs all other models

[CoastalWx]

Might be the last deep summer day until Christmas?

[Typhoon Tip]

est ... 'deepEST' does better there  lol

[Typhoon Tip]

better

[SouthCoastMA]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Might be the last deep summer day until Christmas?

shame.

As i get older, i appreciate the 60° dew days more and more. 

Nothing worse than cracked dry hands when the temps and dews start dropping in autumn. 

[amarshall]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Might be the last deep summer day until Christmas?

Our yearly christmas beach picture in flip flops.   3 years in a row now. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Looks warm well into Octorcher 

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, amarshall said:

Our yearly christmas beach picture in flip flops.   3 years in a row now. 

Yore

[powderfreak]

40 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Thanks. Still getting used to not watching radar at 100ft ASL. 

Won’t be here full time but I have to admit—I love it up here. It’s just out in the middle of nowhere.  

The Adirondacks and high peaks area is awesome.  Pure wilderness.

What elevation are you at?  Gotta be decent when like the lowest elevations are like 1,300ft.

[Damage In Tolland]

Some of the best color I’ve seen around here in at least 5 years or so. That wet summer and then this last stretch really setting things up nicely .

And very early too. Trees are 10 days ahead at least 

[metagraphica]

32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Some of the best color I’ve seen around here in at least 5 years or so. That wet summer and then this last stretch really setting things up nicely .

And very early too. Trees are 10 days ahead at least 

Color coming on quickly down here too. Saw a few big giant maples (not swamp maples) getting lots of red and orange on them when driving around yesterday.

[jsw]

14 hours ago, 512high said:

Chris, My wife and I were there having a light dinner in the "Oak Room", downstairs restaurant,

...

 

Sorry for posting on this thread.

Holy sh--, I read about this on NPR's Web site yesterday:

https://www.npr.org/2025/09/22/nx-s1-5549961/patrons-new-hampshire-shooting

I am also glad you are OK, wicked scary!

[WxWatcher007]

35 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The Adirondacks and high peaks area is awesome.  Pure wilderness.

What elevation are you at?  Gotta be decent when like the lowest elevations are like 1,300ft.

Between 1500-1600ft. We’ll see what that means for winter lol

[jsw]

38 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The Adirondacks and high peaks area is awesome.  Pure wilderness.

What elevation are you at?  Gotta be decent when like the lowest elevations are like 1,300ft.

I climbed Mount Marcy about twenty years ago with my Dad and two brothers. Also, you can't beat the view of the Adirondacks from Burlington. I have a good friend from Saranac Lake (always one of the coldest spots, that station--SLK?). Another from Lake Placid. Ex-girlfriend's family had a cool little place further West, Adirondacks, accessible only by boat. 

Sorry, this made me reminisce for a minute...

[jsw]

39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Some of the best color I’ve seen around here in at least 5 years or so. That wet summer and then this last stretch really setting things up nicely .

And very early too. Trees are 10 days ahead at least 

Here, the maple leaves are turning a vivid red, and falling. I still do some landscaping in Brattleboro, part-time. Leaf season coming up with the big ol' beast of a leaf sucker. K-ching! We reuse it as mulch and then compost the next two years.

[dendrite]

Lots of meh color and leaf drop. I’ve never seen this many leaves down with a week to go in September.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Lots of meh color and leaf drop. I’ve never seen this many leaves down with a week to go in September.

Live free or dry?

[Typhoon Tip]

dry summers and autumns show some correlation to ensuing winter temperatures - colder

not sure about 2026, though ... such is so during prior/older climate generation

[mreaves]

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Sure is dreary after a month of sun.

Cloudy and light rain.

Up to .45 at home.  I wasn't sure we'd get even that much.  Still raining here at the office in Waterbury and it looks like we have a little more to go.

 

[powderfreak]

16 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Up to .45 at home.  I wasn't sure we'd get even that much.  Still raining here at the office in Waterbury and it looks like we have a little more to go.

 

Yeah looks about the same up at Stowe.  I had to go to BTV and back this morning, steady rain the whole way there and back.

Seems like most spots are in that third to half inch range.  A few up to three quarters in the Underhill area.

[SJonesWX]

46 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Lots of meh color and leaf drop. I’ve never seen this many leaves down with a week to go in September.

same. feels like it is going to be a long fall, meaning that leaf drop will not come all at once (except for the oak trees)

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Looks warm well into Octorcher 

I recall reading something like that a month ago.    

Actual water coming from the sky - first drops since Sept 7.  Colors coming on and looking decent, though leaf drop is way ahead of average - 50-75% drop on ash, 30% on white birch, less on other species (except oak, which is still green.  Only foliage loss there is squirrel work).

[Damage In Tolland]

16 minutes ago, tamarack said:

I recall reading something like that a month ago.    

Actual water coming from the sky - first drops since Sept 7.  Colors coming on and looking decent, though leaf drop is way ahead of average - 50-75% drop on ash, 30% on white birch, less on other species (except oak, which is still green.  Only foliage loss there is squirrel work).

Sept coming in AN everywhere at month end. Another warm month , 

Congrats on the rain NNE FTW

[Torch Tiger]

Will we get the usual three months of fall?  OND?  Perhaps into January for the Cape?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

dry summers and autumns show some correlation to ensuing winter temperatures - colder

not sure about 2026, though ... such is so during prior/older climate generation

Modern conceptualization of "colder" is probably near normal.

[moneypitmike]

This looks like a CMC winter qpf output.