June 2025 Obs/Disco

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We have months of heat and dews awaiting despite those holding on to losing daylight lol. 

Remember when Ineedsnow said no big heat and meh and it was all staying to our SW? He said his hottest temp this summer would be 82 and he was forecasting with his long range Accuwx inside information.

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Remember when Ineedsnow said no big heat and meh and it was all staying to our SW? He said his hottest temp this summer would be 82 and he was forecasting with his long range Accuwx inside information.

You really hate to see it and feel for these poor souls. 

[powderfreak]

Low of 46F… might be the last one like that for a bit.

[Prismshine Productions]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

We have months of heat and dews awaiting despite those holding on to losing daylight lol. 

well excuse me for hating on the sun rising at bloody 5:11am... I like long dark nights where I can properly sleep

[Prismshine Productions]

46 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You really hate to see it and feel for these poor souls. 

That is why I never ever hang a hat on Suckuweather forecasts

[WxWatcher007]

Pretty steep temp rise here this morning--11 degrees in two hours. Should be a nice day. 

[Sn0waddict]

Models seem to be hinting at a sea breeze of sorts pushing through Monday? Thereby limiting the high end heat. Tuesday is pure heat though lol
 

 

[Torch Tiger]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Probably splits with Maine and NY/VT getting it.

will be a nowcast, I wouldn't rule out something. A few mesos kinda hit on EMA from here down to your hood, to the Cape. (as you probably saw)

[metagraphica]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Pretty steep temp rise here this morning--11 degrees in two hours. Should be a nice day. 

75 already here, off a low of 56

[WxWatcher007]

Just as I'm skeptical of hitting 100 on any given day because any random thing can screw it up, I'm also skeptical of models wanting to blow a sea breeze all the way to Meriden lol. I think there will be some breeze along the coast, especially SE CT, but I doubt it gets terribly far inland. 

I have been most cautious on believing we maximize potential with this heat wave, but I think I'm on board now. This looks like it could be the real deal. It's 100 or bust, and if we can get two consecutive days that'd put us in rarified air. At least here in central CT. Even if we can't get a 100/62 heat indices are likely to be impressive. 

We better not fumble at the 1yd line  

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Remember when Ineedsnow said no big heat and meh and it was all staying to our SW? He said his hottest temp this summer would be 82 and he was forecasting with his long range Accuwx inside information.

It's a few days and if you can read I said we would still get some hot days.. that 82 was a joke if you can understand that.. but yes I still think it's Midwest and west after this 

[Torch Tiger]

17 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Just as I'm skeptical of hitting 100 on any given day because any random thing can screw it up, I'm also skeptical of models wanting to blow a sea breeze all the way to Meriden lol. I think there will be some breeze along the coast, especially SE CT, but I doubt it gets terribly far inland. 

I have been most cautious on believing we maximize potential with this heat wave, but I think I'm on board now. This looks like it could be the real deal. It's 100 or bust, and if we can get two consecutive days that'd put us in rarified air. At least here in central CT. Even if we can't get a 100/62 heat indices are likely to be impressive. 

We better not fumble at the 1yd line  

more impressive that we're still 2-3 weeks? from peak temps 

[WxWatcher007]

5 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

more impressive that we're still 2-3 weeks? from peak temps 

Absolutely. 

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, Prismshine Productions said:

well excuse me for hating on the sun rising at bloody 5:11am... I like long dark nights where I can properly sleep

It’s called a shade. An amazing invention. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Top 10 summer day incoming? Last night was near perfect weather at the Green River Festival.  
 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

We DEW it well!

https://x.com/bennollweather/status/1936408762463723940?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[tamarack]

16 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

Iirc, stumbling out of one of the college bars at 2:00am in the Bronx, it was 88*.  Summer of ‘87 or 88

Likely 1988.  First 2 weeks of August were hot and super dewy - TD reached 77 at PWM.  I think that's still their highest.

GYX now has our town hitting 98 on Tuesday; can't recall ever seeing that hot a forecast here.  Since moving to Maine in 1973, I've seen only one day hotter than 95 - August 2, 1975 when BGR hit 102 - and haven't had anything above 93 since moving from Fort Kent in 1985.  Of course, both our Gardiner home and current place are in the trees and thus transpirationally cooled.

[adam038]

I’m definitely curious as to what Tuesday’s high will be at ORH. If I’m not mistaken, 96 is the highest temp at the airport since that 99 degree high in 1953?


.

[Chrisrotary12]

MCC cancel? 7-10 split?

[bristolri_wx]

Sunny 77/63 from Colt State Park in Bristol. Enjoy it! 

[WxWatcher007]

Models still kind of all over the place with tomorrow's storms. Not expecting much here and I'd trade a middling outcome for the heat, but the HRRR slamming storms into the area late morning/early afternoon would probably be interesting. 

[kdxken]

Bluebird skies with a dew point of 54°. Cutting in the thorns while I can still wear long pants. 

Someone claimed dew points were going to be in the '60s and '70s for the remainder of the summer and that was like 3 days ago. I wonder what model he was looking at?  if any...

 

[Cyclone-68]

Just noticed 102 outlooked in point and click. Never saw an actual forecast for my area that high 

[weatherwiz]

Late overnight and tomorrow morning is going to be 100% nowcast. If we can sneak the instability gradient a bit farther east we could see something roll through but this may be just too far west. If anything can form along a residual outflow boundary (again west) later in the day...that sucker could be huge...will have rising heights to contend with though

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Late overnight and tomorrow morning is going to be 100% nowcast. If we can sneak the instability gradient a bit farther east we could see something roll through but this may be just too far west. If anything can form along a residual outflow boundary (again west) later in the day...that sucker could be huge...will have rising heights to contend with though

Let’s try and get this ..or something similar 

https://x.com/nwsgrandforks/status/1936314270964125714?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

 

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Let’s try and get this ..or something similar 

https://x.com/nwsgrandforks/status/1936314270964125714?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

 

One of these years we'll rip a good derecho through again 

[Cyclone-68]

This is the part that got me salivating:

Some model solutions however are showing some re-
development along residual boundaries/outflow from the MCS from
earlier in the day; not sure how realistic that may end up being and
though I think dry weather wins out, any storm that can break the
cap would have an environment more typical of central Plains
instability rarely seen in New England: as much as 4500 J/kg of
CAPE, steep lapse rates of 8 C/km albeit with weak shear.

 

[weatherwiz]

Obviously the timing of an MCS is in question but lets say we're looking at a window where something could develop along a residual outflow boundary...it's probably a very small window...like 10 AM - 1 PM. The extreme instability is going to be sick to see here, unfortunately, it means nothing without a lifting mechanism. 

[WinterSnow]

5 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Tomorrow we start the countdown to December 21st, lose 3 minutes of daylight the next week 

I'm always counting down to the Winter Solstice. Glad we start losing daylight after today.  It will be hot AF for a few days, but we can deal. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

I still think Tuesday ends up being the highest temp of the year for most.  
 

Despite when the peak heat season is.