Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,003
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    HunterdonWxguy86
    Newest Member
    HunterdonWxguy86
    Joined

June 2025 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
 Share

Recommended Posts

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We have months of heat and dews awaiting despite those holding on to losing daylight lol. 

Remember when Ineedsnow said no big heat and meh and it was all staying to our SW? He said his hottest temp this summer would be 82 and he was forecasting with his long range Accuwx inside information.

  • Haha 2
  • Crap 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Remember when Ineedsnow said no big heat and meh and it was all staying to our SW? He said his hottest temp this summer would be 82 and he was forecasting with his long range Accuwx inside information.

You really hate to see it and feel for these poor souls. 

  • Sad 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just as I'm skeptical of hitting 100 on any given day because any random thing can screw it up, I'm also skeptical of models wanting to blow a sea breeze all the way to Meriden lol. I think there will be some breeze along the coast, especially SE CT, but I doubt it gets terribly far inland. 

I have been most cautious on believing we maximize potential with this heat wave, but I think I'm on board now. This looks like it could be the real deal. It's 100 or bust, and if we can get two consecutive days that'd put us in rarified air. At least here in central CT. Even if we can't get a 100/62 heat indices are likely to be impressive. 

We better not fumble at the 1yd line :lol: 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Remember when Ineedsnow said no big heat and meh and it was all staying to our SW? He said his hottest temp this summer would be 82 and he was forecasting with his long range Accuwx inside information.

It's a few days and if you can read I said we would still get some hot days.. that 82 was a joke if you can understand that.. but yes I still think it's Midwest and west after this :thumbsup:

  • Weenie 1
  • Disagree 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Just as I'm skeptical of hitting 100 on any given day because any random thing can screw it up, I'm also skeptical of models wanting to blow a sea breeze all the way to Meriden lol. I think there will be some breeze along the coast, especially SE CT, but I doubt it gets terribly far inland. 

I have been most cautious on believing we maximize potential with this heat wave, but I think I'm on board now. This looks like it could be the real deal. It's 100 or bust, and if we can get two consecutive days that'd put us in rarified air. At least here in central CT. Even if we can't get a 100/62 heat indices are likely to be impressive. 

We better not fumble at the 1yd line :lol: 

more impressive that we're still 2-3 weeks? from peak temps :snowing:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

Iirc, stumbling out of one of the college bars at 2:00am in the Bronx, it was 88*.  Summer of ‘87 or 88

Likely 1988.  First 2 weeks of August were hot and super dewy - TD reached 77 at PWM.  I think that's still their highest.

GYX now has our town hitting 98 on Tuesday; can't recall ever seeing that hot a forecast here.  Since moving to Maine in 1973, I've seen only one day hotter than 95 - August 2, 1975 when BGR hit 102 - and haven't had anything above 93 since moving from Fort Kent in 1985.  Of course, both our Gardiner home and current place are in the trees and thus transpirationally cooled.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bluebird skies with a dew point of 54°. Cutting in the thorns while I can still wear long pants. 

Someone claimed dew points were going to be in the '60s and '70s for the remainder of the summer and that was like 3 days ago. I wonder what model he was looking at?  if any...

 

Screenshot_20250621_112005_Gallery(1).jpg

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Late overnight and tomorrow morning is going to be 100% nowcast. If we can sneak the instability gradient a bit farther east we could see something roll through but this may be just too far west. If anything can form along a residual outflow boundary (again west) later in the day...that sucker could be huge...will have rising heights to contend with though

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Late overnight and tomorrow morning is going to be 100% nowcast. If we can sneak the instability gradient a bit farther east we could see something roll through but this may be just too far west. If anything can form along a residual outflow boundary (again west) later in the day...that sucker could be huge...will have rising heights to contend with though

Let’s try and get this ..or something similar 

https://x.com/nwsgrandforks/status/1936314270964125714?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

 

  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is the part that got me salivating:

Some model solutions however are showing some re-
development along residual boundaries/outflow from the MCS from
earlier in the day; not sure how realistic that may end up being and
though I think dry weather wins out, any storm that can break the
cap would have an environment more typical of central Plains
instability rarely seen in New England: as much as 4500 J/kg of
CAPE, steep lapse rates of 8 C/km albeit with weak shear.

 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Obviously the timing of an MCS is in question but lets say we're looking at a window where something could develop along a residual outflow boundary...it's probably a very small window...like 10 AM - 1 PM. The extreme instability is going to be sick to see here, unfortunately, it means nothing without a lifting mechanism. 

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Tomorrow we start the countdown to December 21st, lose 3 minutes of daylight the next week 

I'm always counting down to the Winter Solstice. Glad we start losing daylight after today. :D It will be hot AF for a few days, but we can deal. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...