May 2025 Obs/Discussion

[ineedsnow]

CT river expected to get close to mod flood stage now 

[Brewbeer]

Traveled the Pike between Sturbridge and Springfield in the last hour and it was absolutely dumping in places

[HoarfrostHubb]

42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Was he staying safe?

Lol.  She.   But yeah.   Bulldozers etc called in to fix it. 

[powderfreak]

28 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Tonight

Showers, mainly before 2am. Patchy fog before 10pm, then patchy fog after 11pm. Low around 45. Northeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

To be fair, convective events are tough.  Even when occurring, basin averages can be much less than the spot/point samples of a singular location.  Depends on how big a basin though, ha.

HRRR from 18z seemed to sense something was going to happen.  Actual results vary, but it knew some localized water was coming.

[Torch Tiger]

Hopefully 12-24" for the upslopes next few weeks!

[512high]

Off to bed, @ 1.72” / 57F

[40/70 Benchmark]

2.84" rainfall since Friday. Just started up again...

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, 512high said:

yup, @ .91" now

 

I just got brushed with some showers here...just west of me. .03"

[DavisStraight]

39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I just got brushed with some showers here...just west of me. .03"

Same here, ground just got wet

[Chrisrotary12]

This didn’t age well. Issued at 3.29p

[rimetree]

Seventh straight day of measurable here and over 3" so far this month. Far cry from last May with 2.5" for the whole month.

[Modfan2]

Fortunate I stayed dry yesterday afternoon; the rain falling to the North and West. Let’s see what today brings. BOX has Windham County included in the Flood Watch. 

[CoastalWx]

Doesn’t look like a big deal on overnight guidance. 

[CoastalWx]

49 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Fortunate I stayed dry yesterday afternoon; the rain falling to the North and West. Let’s see what today brings. BOX has Windham County included in the Flood Watch. 

Looks like most areas .75-2” or so. Maybe some spots more but not a big deal.

[Damage In Tolland]

AWT

[CoastalWx]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

AWT

That’s what it always showed 

[CoastalWx]

Looks like a break and the cutoff brings more rain chances later in the week. Might be more aftn stuff before the chance of anything more steady. Temps look mild this week. But no heat.

[Damage In Tolland]

For any few stragglers that didn’t install. Better do it this weekend 

Temps remaining above normal with
increasing humidity as dewpoints potentially rise into the 60s Wed
and/or Thu.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For any few stragglers that didn’t install. Better do it this weekend 

Temps remaining above normal with
increasing humidity as dewpoints potentially rise into the 60s Wed
and/or Thu.

Looks meh. Mostly overnight lows. No heat. No install.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks meh. Mostly overnight lows. No heat. No install.

Ya I don't see anything more humid or warmer than this past week, looks like 65-75 everyday the next 2 weeks..

In terms of the rain, looks like a quick hit of heavy rain honestly, Hi res starting to ramp back up for here 1-2" .. Don't see the widespread 2-3" though once forecast.. 

[CoastalWx]

21 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya I don't see anything more humid or warmer than this past week, looks like 65-75 everyday the next 2 weeks..

In terms of the rain, looks like a quick hit of heavy rain honestly, Hi res starting to ramp back up for here 1-2" .. Don't see the widespread 2-3" though once forecast.. 

yeah if you took away the modeled stuff yesterday aftn it was pretty much 1-2. 

[Modfan2]

55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like most areas .75-2” or so. Maybe some spots more but not a big deal.

Looks like heaviest stays west of 84? Looks like that narrow band of heavier rain of the NJ coast gets eastern areas

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Looks like heaviest stays west of 84? Looks like that narrow band of heavier rain of the NJ coast gets eastern areas

Might be. Maybe the classic 2 part jack with these type of deals.  one near the center with the convective stuff and then other with the better Synoptics N and W. 

[Damage In Tolland]

55 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks meh. Mostly overnight lows. No heat. No install.

Suit your sweaty self . Dews in 60’s is swampy . Good luck to your family 

[Damage In Tolland]

48 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya I don't see anything more humid or warmer than this past week, looks like 65-75 everyday the next 2 weeks..

In terms of the rain, looks like a quick hit of heavy rain honestly, Hi res starting to ramp back up for here 1-2" .. Don't see the widespread 2-3" though once forecast.. 

Tuesday is low/ mid 80’s next week 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Tuesday is low/ mid 80’s next week 

You’re drunk again

[CoastalWx]

Best warmth next week overall is north. Away from S to SE flow. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Operational models are rather divorced from the teleconnector spread though.   I would trust them even less than the typical uncertainty, beyond D5 or so... maybe even D4 is where the separation begins.   Particularly in the Euro, but none of them are very good complimentary in form.

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Tuesday is low/ mid 80’s next week 

Oh Tuesday? I’ll give you 80 or so that day. Might be best day. I thought you meant all week those temps.

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Oh Tuesday? I’ll give you 80 or so that day. Might be best day. I thought you meant all week those temps.

Nah just Tuesday . But dewy middle/ end of week . Not hot but humid