Kitz Craver Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t agree with that. A low- medium impact event is certainly possible Will said the exact opposite. It’s 99% all or nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 12 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 0.5" in north haven, flurries now Same here. 0.5" with flurries now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Just now, metagraphica said: Same here. 0.5" with flurries now. Eyeballing about the same here....a nice 3-4 hrs of light snow with temps near 26⁰...something one would expect in January around here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 12z GFS 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 CIPS Analogs: https://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/DFHR.php?reg=EC&fhr=F132&rundt=2025010612&map=tbl&sort=FINAL Some big dogs in there...1/12 and 1/27/11 included 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 5 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Will said the exact opposite. It’s 99% all or nothing. He always employs that primitive bargaining like tactic where he muses about nickels and dimes, etc...just let him go. 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 It's coming! I'm with @weatherwiz on this!! 2feet incoming 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 19 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: 0.5" in north haven, flurries now Amazing storm, I doubled your snowfall amount and I'm only a few miles from you. I bet you catch up on the next 1 to 3 in event LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z GFS Just too bad this doesn’t stand a chance. Would be an all timer here… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 10 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Will said the exact opposite. It’s 99% all or nothing. Perhaps I am mistaken, but I read his post as it's either going to be a large explosive storm or out to sea. The CMC has a very powerful storm however it moves more North East instead of hugging the coast like the GFS and grazes the south coast. Will, is the CMC depiction plausible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Northern stream is def a bit better on EPS but when it's not enough to produce the big dog, you are still going to get overwhelming majority of members out to sea....this is what I'm talking about with the non-linear response. It's not going to just slowly come NW by 25-50 miles each run....you'll likely see a whole bunch of members go nuclear if we start seeing the Euro suit phasing the streams better. Much like we're seeing on the GFS suite. 12z suite overall today was definitely a step forward, but we need another one at 00z. I think that's the 30 seconds cliff's notes version. I said that yesterday....there is going to be one suite where it just explodes onto the scene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 12z GFS That is pretty dead-nuts on 1/7/96... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 If the JMA has it , i'm all in...we're going old school 1996 here !! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 44 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: All JV models way way offshore. You'd like to see at least one come around, red flags there Little you know Doubting Tiger. A blizzard watch has already been issued (it's required by protocol). https://www.patreon.com/posts/119431333?utm_campaign=postshare_creator 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 2 minutes ago, tomcatct said: If the JMA has it , i'm all in...we're going old school 1996 here !! JMA is OTS damn lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: Little you know Doubting Tiger. A blizzard watch has already been issued (it's required by protocol). https://www.patreon.com/posts/119431333?utm_campaign=postshare_creator Mark Margarita Maravash...drunk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: JMA is OTS damn lol Shit !!......i guess i'm out..but can be pulled back in like a true weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Bruh just saw the gfs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Same crucial difference I illustrated last night....EURO passive N stream keeping everything positively tilted....GFS more aggressive N stream tilting it all more neutral upon phase. These are the two camps. N stream has ran the show all season, but given this crucial point of inflection is now getting within about 4 days, we will want to see the EURO cave quickly, or else its tough to beat. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Good luck He’s our Jeb apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Bruh just saw the gfs Good. Just stop there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 6, 2025 Author Share Posted January 6, 2025 NAM tried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Same crucial difference I illustrated last night....EURO passive N stream keeping everything positively tilted....GFS more aggressive N stream tilting it all more neutral upon phase. These are the two camps. N stream has ran the show all season, but given this crucial point of inflection is now getting within about 4 days, we will want to see the EURO cave quickly, or else its tough to beat. How's the sampling up there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Just now, JC-CT said: How's the sampling up there? The salmonpling 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: They prob want ti tucked near the south fork of LI over towards just south of BID. yeah I'd prefer that too, usually when they cash in I'm not far behind, usually do best here with canal runners from Montauk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: How's the sampling up there? Yup I've been watching that when each run starts since yesterday.. that's key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I said that yesterday....there is going to be one suite where I just explode on the keyboard. Kid number 5 incoming? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 9 minutes ago, tavwtby said: yeah I'd prefer that too, usually when they cash in I'm not far behind, usually do best here with canal runners from Montauk I prefer storms that tuck in around 40/69.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 6, 2025 Share Posted January 6, 2025 Well the EUROAI is at least not as big a swing and miss as the Op Euro so we have that going for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 6, 2025 Author Share Posted January 6, 2025 a pinch more confluence at hr66 on the Icon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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