August 2024

[bkviking]

2 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Between Nesconset and Terryville getting dumped on. Looks like 347 is flooding again. Just unreal. And it’s back building/training. Looks like this is on the seabreeze boundary which usually doesn’t fire up like this but with the amount of water in the air anything will start things up. 

I am in PJ viillage now and it is looming disaster. Flooding everywhere , cars stuck, hard to believe this is happening again 

[bkviking]

Blydenburgh Park dam in Smithtown burst. North Shore LI disaster worse than almost anything I can think of.  

[Cfa]

Training closing in on my PWS.

I think I recall thunderstorms happening a few hours after the 2014 event as well, but I’m not sure.

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

7 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Between Nesconset and Terryville getting dumped on. Looks like 347 is flooding again. Just unreal. And it’s back building/training. Looks like this is on the seabreeze boundary which usually doesn’t fire up like this but with the amount of water in the air anything will start things up. 

If yesterday’s event weren’t historic enough. Might challenge the islip record 24 total if that cell keeps sitting there….

[psv88]

Flash flood warning for northern Suffolk. Wild 

[jm1220]

2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

If yesterday’s event weren’t historic enough. Might challenge the islip record 24 total if that cell keeps sitting there….

Since places there as of this morning were at 9-10", it's a decent possibility. Rt 347 must be a lake. 

[psv88]

Lots of thunder with those storms riding the north shore again. Non stop up there. 

[donsutherland1]

A shower or thundershower is possible this evening as a cold front moves across the region. Behind the front, the coolest air mass so far this season will begin to overspread the region tomorrow. Temperatures will top out in the lower to perhaps middle 70s as clouds give way to sunshine.

Afterward, New York City will likely see the mercury dip below 60° for the first time since June 11th on Wednesday morning. Thursday morning could again see the temperature fall toward or below 60° in New York City. Highs both days will be in the lower to middle 70s in the City.

A warmer pattern will likely develop starting next weekend.

Out West, cities such as Flagstaff, Las Vegas, and Phoenix remain on track for their hottest summer on record. Denver recently experienced its third extreme heat event (Clarke et al., 2014 framework) of the year setting a new annual record. Del Rio is in the midst of its record third extreme heat event of the year. The heat there will intensify with the temperature making a run at the August monthly record on Wednesday and Thursday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around August 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.12°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the early fall.

The SOI was +20.15 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.746 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 56% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.7° (0.4° below normal).

 

[Cfa]

Every major northbound road is disgusting right now.

[FPizz]

.14

[doncat]

That cell blew up a bit as it past me but just a very brief shower here...just 0.64" last two days. Did well the previous weeks so close to 6" for the month.

[bkviking]

I cannot get out of Port Jefferson- stuck in bathroom. It is surreal what is happening here. They must be well over a foot of rain.

but it is NOT stopping. It keeps regenerating and getting worse. 

[liwxfan]

I'm in Sound Beach just east of Port jeff.. last night was unbelievable. Torrential just would not stop. Then today 3 more rounds of storms kept firing overhead. This Container is 15 inches high.. was filled to the brim after last night and today.

Sent from my SM-S928U using Tapatalk

[bluewave]

2 hours ago, bkviking said:

Blydenburgh Park dam in Smithtown burst. North Shore LI disaster worse than almost anything I can think of.  

Very sad what happened there.

 

 

[NorthShoreWx]

57 minutes ago, bkviking said:

I cannot get out of Port Jefferson- stuck in bathroom. It is surreal what is happening here. They must be well over a foot of rain.

but it is NOT stopping. It keeps regenerating and getting worse. 

I think the Blydenburgh dam failure also happened in late February 1979 during the epic meltout and rains after the early February snowfalls culminating in PD1.  I'll see if I can verify that memory.  Pretty sure there was a working stream gage on the Nissequogue at that time.

[jm1220]

Last brief moderate/heavy shower here and we’re finally done. 

[Tatamy]

39 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

I think the Blydenburgh dam failure also happened in late February 1979 during the epic meltout and rains after the early February snowfalls culminating in PD1.  I'll see if I can verify that memory.  Pretty sure there was a working stream gage on the Nissequogue at that time.

Does anyone know if the state / county were monitoring the structural integrity of these structures?

[jm1220]

 

[Dan76]

Nice wind gust

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44065

[SACRUS]

Highs:
 

 

ACY: 88
EWR: 87
JFK: 86
PHL: 86
BLM: 86
LGA: 86
TEB: 85
New Brnswck: 85
TTN: 85
ISP: 83
NYC: 82

 

[David-LI]

I just felt a nice cool breeze on my window. Can’t wait for the cold front.

[jm1220]

1 minute ago, David-LI said:

I just felt a nice cool breeze on my window. Can’t wait for the cold front.

Should already be through, winds are shifting to NW. 

[uofmiami]

17 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Should already be through, winds are shifting to NW. 

Lag on the DPs though. Albany has a DP of 60 so tomorrow morning it’ll feel great here. 

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs:

EWR:  96 (2002)
NYC: 94 (2002)
LGA: 94 (1966)
JFK: 90 (2009)


Lows:

EWR: 54 (1958)
NYC:  55 (1924)
LGA: 59 (1979)
JFK: 53 (1963)

Historical:
 

1788 - A small but powerful hurricane inflicted great havoc upon forests along a narrow track from New Jersey to Maine. A similar storm track today would cause extreme disaster in the now populated area. (David Ludlum)

1890 - An estimated F3 tornado hit South Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania. About 400 buildings were destroyed in the industrial and more impoverished residential section of town. The death toll was 16 and damage was estimated at $400,000.

 

1896: The famous Cottage City (Oak Bluffs) waterspout occurred off Martha's Vineyard, Massachusetts. The vortex was 3,600 feet high, formed three times, and was well photographed.

1969 - 'Never say die' Camille let loose a cloudburst in Virginia resulting in flash floods and landslides which killed 151 persons and cause 140 million dollars damage. Massies Hill VA received 27 inches of rain. (David Ludlum)

1986 - The temperature at San Antonio, TX, soared to an all-time record high of 108 degrees. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987)

1987 - Thunderstorms moving out of southeastern Nebraska spread severe weather into eastern Kansas and western Missouri during the day. Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced hail three inches in diameter at Albion, and high winds which downed a large tent at Waterloo injuring a dozen persons. Thunderstorms in Kansas produced baseball size hail northwest of Topeka, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Fulton. Ten persons were injured in a thunderstorm at Princeton KS, and damage to crops in southern Franklin County KS was estimated at 3.5 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Raleigh, NC, reported a record hot temperature reading of 103 degrees. Afternoon thunderstorms in Oklahoma produced wind gusts to 75 mph in southern Pittsburgh County. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced 4.50 inches of rain at Morgantown. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Early morning thunderstorms deluged southeastern Delaware with six to ten inches of rain in four to six hours, with local reports of 13 to 20 inches of rain. Twenty-six major roads were closed or damaged, and fourteen bridges were washed out. Flooding caused nearly four million dollars damage to local businesses. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

[donsutherland1]

The C3S multi-model suite shows several areas of persistent summer heat domes will predominate in September.

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Feels like a fall morning. I’m sure our resident hoodie guy is super excited!

[bluewave]

NYC is on track for the first August since 2007 with 2 lows in the 50s.

 

 

 

[SnoSki14]

Low of 59. Very pleasant dews finally. 

Forecast low of 51 tonight, maybe we'll make a run at 40s. 

[Allsnow]

Wow! It’s actually kind of chilly outside. Definitely a early fall feel 

[bluewave]

Pretty unusual to get a cooldown like this in August with such a strong +AO.