uofmiami Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 .10 in Syosset & .01 in Muttontown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Our heatwave will be delayed several days due to this record ridge being further east than average. But we will probably see 95-100° heat by early next week in NJ. Remember the last ridge amplification in late June also had the main heat delayed by several days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 So the person that said there wouldn't be a lot of 90s this summer is looking pretty foolish right now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Happy to get a good amount of rain tomorrow before the heat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Was hoping dew points would be a little lower today in the 60s just for one day. So much for that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 0.17 last night. 0.42 for the month. Better than nothing I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 13 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Was hoping dew points would be a little lower today in the 60s just for one day. So much for that. It was 94% humidity around 6:30am here. As of late, each morning starts out in the 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 4 hours ago, SRRTA22 said: I don't actually wish that, just a joke. I'm excited about this warmer climate. I know, I was saying it more tongue in cheek, because it just shows the irony of how people who root for one thing get upset when others root for the opposite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 77 / 67 partly cloudy 0.04 in the bucket. A few degrees off the last two days but should still get the warm spots to 90s. Two day refrain from the heat Fri (7/12) and Sat (7/13) as the Atlantics ridge western extent butts up against boundary and southerly tropical flow leads to some drnching rains. Heat back Sun (7/14) - Wed (7/17) with peak heat Tue (7/16) and wed with a blast of 850 temps of > 20C. Looks like some storm potential on Monday may limit the stronger heat mid-upper 90s, but we'll see the timing. Break in the heat Thu (7/18) into next weekend ahead of next round as western heat pushes east. 7/11 : Hot / humid storms 7/12 - 7/13 : Storms - potential drenchers +2.00 7/14 - 7/17 : Hot, mid - upper 90s - potential 100 degree readings Tue and Wed ahead of front/trouh 7/18 - 7/21 : Repreive from heat - near normal 7/22 and beyond : Overall warm to hot - next push of heat from west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Majority (90%) Thu later - Sat evening, some storms Mon / Wed night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Cut off low SW of Bermuda will pushed and ride the expanding ridge, enhancing rainfall Fri/Sat? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Parts of Central NJ are approaching their all-time record highest number of 95° days in a year. Hightstown already has 11 days and it’s only July 10th. The all-time record in a year was set in 2002 at 17 days. They will be getting close to that seasonal record next week following the next round of 95°+ major heat. Hillsborough-Duke is close with 10 days reaching 95° so far. Newark has only 5 days due to the frequent cooling bay breezes there this summer with so much onshore flow. Harrison a few miles further away from Newark Bay has 7. Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2002 17 0 2 1955 16 8 3 1953 14 0 4 2021 13 0 - 2018 13 1 - 2016 13 2 - 2010 13 4 - 1988 13 0 - 1949 13 0 5 2022 12 2 - 1999 12 0 - 1944 12 1 6 2024 11 176 - 2020 11 0 - 1895 11 11 7 1983 10 0 - 1911 10 0 - 1894 10 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 18 minutes ago, bluewave said: Parts of Central NJ are approaching their all-time record highest number of 95° days in a year. Hightstown already has 11 days and it’s only July 10th. The all-time record in a year was set in 2002 at 17 days. They will be getting close to that seasonal record next week following the next round of 95°+ major heat. Hillsborough-Duke is close with 10 days reaching 95° so far. Newark has only 5 days due to the frequent cooling bay breezes there this summer with so much onshore flow. Harrison a few miles further away from Newark Bay has 7. Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2002 17 0 2 1955 16 8 3 1953 14 0 4 2021 13 0 - 2018 13 1 - 2016 13 2 - 2010 13 4 - 1988 13 0 - 1949 13 0 5 2022 12 2 - 1999 12 0 - 1944 12 1 6 2024 11 176 - 2020 11 0 - 1895 11 11 7 1983 10 0 - 1911 10 0 - 1894 10 12 Which is why worst summer ever regarding heat/humidity is probably true. Like you said it's only July 11th. Plenty more 95+ days next week before a short break. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Received .07" rainfall last night with fizzling T-storms. Pretty pleasant this morning with lower DP's and a gusty breeze. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 17 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Which is why worst summer ever regarding heat/humidity is probably true. Like you said it's only July 11th. Plenty more 95+ days next week before a short break. The highest heat index relative to past Julys is located in NJ so far this summer. FWN is off to their highest heat index July on record while ISP isn’t as impressive. Better dew point pooling west of NYC and stronger sea breezes on Long Island. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=76&network=CT_ASOS&station=BDR&season=jul&varname=feel&agg=max&year=1893&w=bar&hours=0-23&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Clouds to the left us and clouds to the right - stuck in the middle with sun (for now) 82 / 63 https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/NE/GEOCOLOR/GOES16-NE-GEOCOLOR-600x600.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 11, 2024 Author Share Posted July 11, 2024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 44 minutes ago, MANDA said: Received .07" rainfall last night with fizzling T-storms. Pretty pleasant this morning with lower DP's and a gusty breeze. Dews in the low to mid 70s on the island still. We can’t kick this humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: So the person that said there wouldn't be a lot of 90s this summer is looking pretty foolish right now Virtually every signal headed into this summer pointed to a well above normal season with extended and frequent big heat. To forecast against that was....risky... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 1 minute ago, JetsPens87 said: Virtually every signal headed into this summer pointed to a well above normal season with extended and frequent big heat. To forecast against that was....risky... I pretty much didn't see any long range forecasts that said less 90s this summer, I think even JB said that it would be warmer. My guess on a Philly board was 37. I might have went too low. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 Just now, FPizz said: I pretty much didn't see any long range forecasts that said less 90s this summer, I think even JB said that it would be warmer. My guess on a Philly board was 37. I might have went too low. I mean if even JB is going above normal then you pretty much know lol... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 87/75 here, nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 I went to sleep last night when I saw the line was weakening, but I did receive .08" here. A shower but not enough to help. Looking forward to hopefully getting much more significant rain tomorrow into Saturday. Very dry here so we really need it. In the meantime it's nice to get a little break in the humidity today. Feels more comfortable out there with the dew point down to 65 here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 1 minute ago, winterwx21 said: I went to sleep last night when I saw the line was weakening, but I did receive .08" here. A shower but not enough to help. Looking forward to hopefully getting much more significant rain tomorrow into Saturday. Very dry here so we really need it. In the meantime it's nice to get a little break in the humidity today. Feels more comfortable out there with the dew point down to 65 here. 81/67 here. Not too bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 There was a MET here who argued for cooler-said something about the jet stream being displaced south or something like that.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: Cut off low SW of Bermuda will pushed and ride the expanding ridge, enhancing rainfall Fri/Sat? These weak lows which develop in the tropics can really deliver some very heavy rains as they come north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 86 / 64 237° (WSW) EWR: 87 NYC: 86 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 31 minutes ago, bluewave said: These weak lows which develop in the tropics can really deliver some very heavy rains as they come north. That Atantic ridge is forecast to soar to a >630DM 500MB height and act like a proverbial wall as the boundary has waves of moisture ride up it. Would think we have some +6 inches jack pots in the MA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 dewpoint 64 feels nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 11, 2024 Share Posted July 11, 2024 10 degree drop in dews really making a difference today 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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