July 2024

[Allsnow]

6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I'll be heading outside to water the garden shortly. I didn't even get a half inch of rain last week, so it has become dry here again.

It looks likely that the rain is gonna miss me to the west on Wednesday, although you might have a better shot at seeing something there in NW Jersey. If some of the latest models are correct, a lot of the area might have to wait until late Friday for a better chance. Looks as if I might have to do a lot of watering this week since we might not see much until the end of the week. With the very high humidity, I'm hopeful that we'll see some downpours that give us the 1 to 2 inches that we want to give everything a nice watering at the end of the week. 

Quickly turning into a dry week, unfortunately. Hopefully the stalled front moves west as we get closer for Friday. I think it has a shot with the ridge flexing 

[bluewave]

JFK is approaching its longest under 100° streak due to all the high pressure east of New England with our heat waves resulting in more onshore flow.

 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 100 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Period of record: 1948-07-17 to 2024-07-07
1	4016	1999-07-06 through 2010-07-03
2	4009	1972-07-24 through 1983-07-15
3	4007	2013-07-19 through 2024-07-07
4	3610	1983-08-21 through 1993-07-08
5	2210	1966-07-05 through 1972-07-22
6	2185	1993-07-11 through 1999-07-04
7	963	1960-05-02 through 1962-12-20
8	857	1955-03-18 through 1957-07-21
9	817	1951-11-07 through 1954-01-31
10	736	1948-08-28 through 1950-09-02

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Quickly turning into a dry week, unfortunately. Hopefully the stalled front moves west as we get closer for Friday. I think it has a shot with the ridge flexing 

even the 2 inches we got here Saturday has long dried up.  Sun really does a number this time of year.

[SACRUS]

 

Central park with a season high 95 / 94 et EWR

[TheClimateChanger]

5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

JFK is approaching its longest under 100° streak due to all the high pressure east of New England with our heat waves resulting in more onshore flow.

 

 

Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 100 
for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Period of record: 1948-07-17 to 2024-07-07
1	4016	1999-07-06 through 2010-07-03
2	4009	1972-07-24 through 1983-07-15
3	4007	2013-07-19 through 2024-07-07
4	3610	1983-08-21 through 1993-07-08
5	2210	1966-07-05 through 1972-07-22
6	2185	1993-07-11 through 1999-07-04
7	963	1960-05-02 through 1962-12-20
8	857	1955-03-18 through 1957-07-21
9	817	1951-11-07 through 1954-01-31
10	736	1948-08-28 through 1950-09-02

It's not possible for JFK to have had so many 100+ readings in the early decades. I suspect if you looked at the station metadata, it was installed on a rooftop. Without some sort of correction or adjustment, hard to draw any sort of conclusion about the trend in 100+ heat at JFK.

[TheClimateChanger]

Just now, TheClimateChanger said:

It's not possible for JFK to have had so many 100+ readings in the early decades. I suspect if you looked at the station metadata, it was installed on a rooftop. Without some sort of correction or adjustment, hard to draw any sort of conclusion about the trend in 100+ heat at JFK.

Edit: Confirmed. We can see the extreme thermometers were installed on a roof of the Administration Building through December 18, 1957, then on a rooftop of the International Arrival Building through at least May 26, 1961. A hygrothermometer was first installed 3400' south of the International Arrival Building at an appropriate 4' AGL on May 26, 1961. Prior to that installation, all of the readings were noncompliant, rooftop readings.

[Allsnow]

9 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Central park with a season high 95 / 94 et EWR

ABC Weather fail 

[Rtd208]

We are probably still going to need another 24-36 hours to see where the heaviest rain sets up.

[bluewave]

1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said:

It's not possible for JFK to have had so many 100+ readings in the early decades. I suspect if you looked at the station metadata, it was installed on a rooftop. Without some sort of correction or adjustment, hard to draw any sort of conclusion about the trend in 100+ heat at JFK.

JFK needs westerly flow to reach 100°. Most of our heatwaves over the last decade have had too much southerly flow component due to the elongation of the subtropical ridge to the east of New England. It could also be that they moved the location of the ASOS back in the 1990s. Remember that JFK is the 9th largest airport in the U.S. at 8.1 sq miles. The current ASOS is located in a marshy area close to Woodmere in the 5 towns area of Long Island. The section of the airport closer to Ozone Park is at least 3-5° warmer. If the old weather station was located closer to that area it could also show another way JFK is getting more sea breeze influence in its readings. 

[winterwarlock]

95 high so far but dews dropped into 60s 

[bluewave]

40 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Central park with a season high 95 / 94 et EWR

The only time NYC can beat Newark these days is on an easterly flow which gives Newark a cooling bay breeze. 

[dmillz25]

96 was the high here. Down to 93 now

[Rtd208]

[bluewave]

Portions of Central NJ have already entered the top 10 for most 95° days and it’s only July 8th.

 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2002	17	0
2	1955	16	8
3	1953	14	0
4	2021	13	0
-	2018	13	1
-	2016	13	2
-	2010	13	4
-	1988	13	0
-	1949	13	0
5	2022	12	2
-	1999	12	0
-	1944	12	1
6	2020	11	0
-	1895	11	11
7	1983	10	0
-	1911	10	0
-	1894	10	12
8	2012	9	1
-	1966	9	0
-	1963	9	1
-	1929	9	2
9	2024	8	179
-	1957	8	0
-	1936	8	2
-	1933	8	19
-	1930	8	1
-	1910	8	0
-	1896	8	9

[weathermedic]

Made it up to 88 with a DP of 77 at my station earlier today. Currently sitting at 84/74 now.

 

 

[lee59]

Today 93.4 my high of the season. Now 82. This morning was brutal but clouds moved in with a very light shower. Kept afternoon at least a  little bit bearable.

[Rtd208]

[Rjay]

9 hours ago, winterwarlock said:

oh please no it isnt...for starters it took forever to actually get a 90 degree this year....also 2years ago we were searing with no rain and days and days of upper 90s and sometimes 100

 

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Portions of Central NJ have already entered the top 10 for most 95° days and it’s only July 8th.

 

Time Series Summary for HIGHTSTOWN 2 W, NJ - Jan through Dec
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2002	17	0
2	1955	16	8
3	1953	14	0
4	2021	13	0
-	2018	13	1
-	2016	13	2
-	2010	13	4
-	1988	13	0
-	1949	13	0
5	2022	12	2
-	1999	12	0
-	1944	12	1
6	2020	11	0
-	1895	11	11
7	1983	10	0
-	1911	10	0
-	1894	10	12
8	2012	9	1
-	1966	9	0
-	1963	9	1
-	1929	9	2
9	2024	8	179
-	1957	8	0
-	1936	8	2
-	1933	8	19
-	1930	8	1
-	1910	8	0
-	1896	8	9

Don't you live in Central Jersey, Warlock?

[winterwarlock]

today was the hottest of the so far 5 day heatwave

 

Thursday: 92

Friday: 93

Saturday: 95

Sunday: 94

Monday: 96

[winterwarlock]

26 minutes ago, Rjay said:

 

Don't you live in Central Jersey, Warlock?

yep but there are 8 years from 2000 similar or worse including 2002 which is the grandaddy

[Rjay]

Just now, winterwarlock said:

yep and this year is already running behind 8 others years from 2000 on including 2022 which we broiled and significantly behind 2002 

Dude it's July 8th. 

[winterwarlock]

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

Dude it's July 8th. 

 

1 minute ago, Rjay said:

Dude it's July 8th. 

isnt that chart up to July 8th so...

[winterwarlock]

first of all that chart is WRONG...it has to be up to July 8 not the whole season there is no way Hightstown record is 17 90 degree days

[Rjay]

10 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

first of all that chart is WRONG...it has to be up to July 8 not the whole season there is no way Hightstown record is 17 90 degree days

The chart shows 95+ days for the year.  

[Nibor]

 

Nice sunset tonight. 

[JustinRP37]

People over estimate the number of 90 degree days we get on average across the area. 

[donsutherland1]

Hot weather prevailed yet again today. High temperatures included:

Baltimore: 98°
New York City: 95°
Newark: 94°
Philadelphia: 95°
Washington, DC: 98°

The very warm and humid weather will prevail inro the middle of the week with temperatures generally running several degrees above normal. Some showers or thundershowers are possible. The latter part of the week could turn slightly cooler.

In parts of California, Nevada, and Arizona, a severe long-duration and dangerous heatwave continues. Daggett, CA tied its all-time record of 118° for a second consecutive day. Redding recorded its record 4th consecutive 115° day. Blythe (120°), Death Valley (126°), Needles (123°), and Palm Springs (122°) all reached or exceeded 120°.

Severe heat appears unlikely in the East during at least the first half of July.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead.  

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.3°C for the week centered around July 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.62°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.20°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was +4.31 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.250 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 73% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.6° (2.1° above normal).

 

[winterwarlock]

29 minutes ago, Rjay said:

The chart shows 95+ days for the year.  

ah ok...im sorry i thought this was days over 90...anyone have that chart

[Rjay]

14 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

ah ok...im sorry i thought this was days over 90...anyone have that chart

I'm sure one of those guys can whip one up.  

[doncat]

92/73 temp split today.