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April 2024


bluewave
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13 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I cut the lawn for the first time this season today, and there was actually some dry dirt flying. Never would have imagined that a couple weeks ago. We were in such a wet pattern with constantly saturated soil. The ground is pretty dry now, and as you said it looks like dry weather moving forward. We definitely needed a good drying out period, but I think a week or so from now it'll be getting to the point that I'll want rain again.  

Yeah the pollen and bird crap is getting to be a bit much already lol

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3 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Freeze warning tonight 

 

ugh. Can’t wait for the 80’s 

It’ll come sometime next month when the highs to the north/back door regime relaxes but unfortunately it probably comes with the 70+ dew points. Our best season with most comfortable conditions now is actual Autumn, and “winter” now is extended Autumn with a week or two of cold sprinkled in where we have to get our snow or we totally strike out. 

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Near record late April temperature drop from Wednesday into Thursday for a little over 12 hours. Highs Wednesday afternoon in the mid 60s to around 70°. Then temperatures falling as much as 35° into the 30s by Thursday morning. The usual colder spots could see a freeze or even hard freeze the further north and west you go into the interior Northeast.
 

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A10C7B55-A39C-4AAC-8558-20030BD21A2C.thumb.png.486b177624706974db6730a0789a6f77.png

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12 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Near record late April temperature drop from Wednesday into Thursday for a little over 12 hours. Highs Wednesday afternoon in the mid 60s to around 70°. Then temperatures falling as much as 35° into the 30s by Thursday morning. The usual colder spots could see a freeze or even hard freeze the further north and west you go into the interior Northeast.
 

22233A40-E036-48B9-A88B-77B4390E3F79.thumb.png.a393c86dc3bee16d134e5c17d169f759.png
A10C7B55-A39C-4AAC-8558-20030BD21A2C.thumb.png.486b177624706974db6730a0789a6f77.png

Definitely possible if we trend drier. Also tend to be a little warmer than guidance once the sun's out. 

 

Nightfall, especially by me, the sugar sand loves to radiate off throughout the night. Could see mid 20s. Good shot at a 50 degrees temperature change. 

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17 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Definitely possible if we trend drier. Also tend to be a little warmer than guidance once the sun's out. 

 

Nightfall, especially by me, the sugar sand loves to radiate off throughout the night. Could see mid 20s. Good shot at a 50 degrees temperature change. 

The 850 mb temperature forecast from the Euro next Monday would support highs near 90° for the usual warm spots in NJ. But the big wild card will be whether we can push the backdoor far enough northeast. So we’ll need to get into enough sun and SW flow for the higher temperatures to be realized. But we should still have a shot at 80s even if we can’t make it into the deep SW flow.


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4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The 850 mb temperature forecast from the Euro next Monday would support highs near 90° for the usual warm spots in NJ. But the big wild card will be whether we can push the backdoor far enough northeast. So we’ll need to get into enough sun and SW flow for the higher temperatures to be realized. But we should still have a shot at 80s even if we can’t make it into the deep SW flow.


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I never like seeing that massive 500 low east of us like that. From that view maybe we’re safe for a couple days but it’s not far off. 

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Cue the "Its rained so much how could there be any brush fires?" posts. 

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
822 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

NYZ067>070-240000-
Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
822 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...ENHANCED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD TODAY...

The combination of low relative humidity between 25 and 30 percent
and south winds gusting around 20 mph will result in an enhanced
risk of wildfire spread. If any fires were to start the weather
and fuel conditions could cause fires to quickly get out of
control and be difficult to contain.

The annual NY statewide burn ban is in effect until May 14th. No
burn permits are issued.
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16 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:
Cue the "Its rained so much how could there be any brush fires?" posts. 

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
822 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

NYZ067>070-240000-
Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
822 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...ENHANCED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD TODAY...

The combination of low relative humidity between 25 and 30 percent
and south winds gusting around 20 mph will result in an enhanced
risk of wildfire spread. If any fires were to start the weather
and fuel conditions could cause fires to quickly get out of
control and be difficult to contain.

The annual NY statewide burn ban is in effect until May 14th. No
burn permits are issued.

Yeah, people don't get that low humidity, breezy conditions and lack of short term rainfall all dry the topsoil and fire fuel out real fast so fires are a legit threat coming up.

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1 minute ago, MANDA said:

Yeah, people don't get that low humidity, breezy conditions and lack of short term rainfall all dry the topsoil and fire fuel out real fast so fires are a legit threat coming up.

it's the old brush from last fall that's a threat and the weeds and other ground cover have not come up yet so there's alot of fuel ready to go...which is why you see most fire statements in April/May vs June or July

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27 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I never like seeing that massive 500 low east of us like that. From that view maybe we’re safe for a couple days but it’s not far off. 

We can probably begin to plant the annuals after this weekend since the next couple of days will probably be the last freeze for the colder spots around the metro area until next fall.

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1 hour ago, bluewave said:

We can probably begin to plant the annuals after this weekend since the next couple of days will probably be the last freeze for the colder spots around the metro area until next fall.

yeah told my sons on the drive to school today that last night's frost might be it for the season....

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