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January 6-7 Storm Discussion: we’re due?


WxUSAF
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May head up to my parents house tonight in the Hudson valley depending on how things look tonight. They have a warning up for 6-10”, should remain all snow. Have off work until Tuesday, so perhaps I’ll head up to “visit my folks”. Haven’t decided quite yet.

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2 minutes ago, jayyy said:

May head up to my parents house tonight in the Hudson valley depending on how things look tonight. They have a warning up for 6-10”, should remain all snow. Have off work until Tuesday, so perhaps I’ll head up to “visit my folks”. Haven’t decided quite yet.

ive always wanted to meet them

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25 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Still clear skies over here. 39/22. If we can hold off the clouds until well after sunset, maybe we can enhance the in situ airmass

I think we get sufficient clouds by 10pm to slow the temp drop to just 2/3 more degrees the rest of the overnight. I think its the low dews that have a slightly more positive effects 

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14 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

It’s only 36 here with clear skies. Models only drop it here to 28 tonight. I don’t see how it doesn’t get colder. 

I hit 37 at 3pm but back down to 35 now. 

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4 minutes ago, Wxdavis5784 said:

 

I see a few others beat me to it.

The more hours we can get of clear skies the better. Sunset is in a hour best solution is to have clear skies for  good part of the at least up to midnight get those temps to drop and hold off a slow rise until the precip moves in.

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

a good southeast shift on the RGEM and nobody bothered to post it? smh 

1704582000-D57cOMSoUeo.png

Seems mainly due to an increase in QPF (which leads to more front-end snow).  Overall thermals seem largely the same as 12z.

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3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

a good southeast shift on the RGEM and nobody bothered to post it? smh 

1704582000-D57cOMSoUeo.png

Sorry, I’ve moved onto tracking front end snow from the next rainstorm 

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2 hours ago, clskinsfan said:

35/20. Forecast high of 42 is going to bust. Will be watching to see those temps crash tonight before the cloud cover moves in. 

I'm much warmer down here in Augusta at 40.

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