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Yesvember or November?


Go Kart Mozart
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3 minutes ago, MarkO said:

At 35/28, wouldn't you expect to start as snow, or at least sleet?

I'm at 36.3/26.0 and expect to see a couple mangled flakes even though it looks like some southeast flow at lower elevations (I'm guessing) on radar. 

31.3/21.0 up north. Hoping we can squeeze out half a foot up there.

Should be snow I think to start. 

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2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

Even at MVL... starting at the 18z run, it's gone like 6", 7", 8.5", 10"+ last four runs.

I'm trying to find a nowcast reason why it's going absolutely bonkers, and thats all through like 10am tomorrow.  Like 6 hours of 0.10"/hr< QPF.

There it is, the correction vector cutting QPF by a half inch after 4 runs of steady increase at MVL.

FE32F85F-5D49-4823-B709-121FBF95A2FA.thumb.png.676e9203bcb971890601a727de28c932.png

 

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Steady light snow now.

Pretty interesting at how marginal it is… the ridge lines around here are showing mixed precipitation on the crests and immediately W/NW.

The Worcester Range is causing a pocket of sleet on the east side of Stowe, and the Green Mtn Spine is causing it on the west side.  Just the slightest downslope of mid-level air causing sleet.

D7D35516-0098-4E5B-ABE2-CF0B492EEF1F.jpeg.a06841603f3ac0cd07cac8729c9e78bc.jpeg

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4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Steady light snow now.

Pretty interesting at how marginal it is… the ridge lines around here are showing mixed precipitation on the crests and immediately W/NW.

The Worcester Range is causing a pocket of sleet on the east side of Stowe, and the Green Mtn Spine is causing it on the west side.  Just the slightest downslope of mid-level air causing sleet.

D7D35516-0098-4E5B-ABE2-CF0B492EEF1F.jpeg.a06841603f3ac0cd07cac8729c9e78bc.jpeg

Freezing rain at SLK and puking Snow at ALB and GFL

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6 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Freezing rain at SLK and puking Snow at ALB and GFL

Even the slightest ripple in the flow is causing mixed precip up north.  I think the terrain is playing a huge role in p-types up north.  Almost wonder if the lower or less severe elevation changes in areas south are not disrupting the marginal mid-level thermals as much?

You want to be on the SE facing side of any terrain up north right now.

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22 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Steady light snow now.

Pretty interesting at how marginal it is… the ridge lines around here are showing mixed precipitation on the crests and immediately W/NW.

The Worcester Range is causing a pocket of sleet on the east side of Stowe, and the Green Mtn Spine is causing it on the west side.  Just the slightest downslope of mid-level air causing sleet.

D7D35516-0098-4E5B-ABE2-CF0B492EEF1F.jpeg.a06841603f3ac0cd07cac8729c9e78bc.jpeg

Yep, lots of pellets here just west of the spine along with some flakes.  Maybe even little ZR too, full kitchen sink.

 

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28 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Even the slightest ripple in the flow is causing mixed precip up north.  I think the terrain is playing a huge role in p-types up north.  Almost wonder if the lower or less severe elevation changes in areas south are not disrupting the marginal mid-level thermals as much?

You want to be on the SE facing side of any terrain up north right now.

4 inches near Gore already

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