40/70 Benchmark Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 15 hours ago, powderfreak said: Up to 68F here but now back to 66F currently. Looks like RT 2 southward got warm. My hi was 70 yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It feels stickier than that. Didn’t wash the undercarriage good enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It feels stickier than that. It will get more humid this aftn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Dews in the 50s with even a 48 dew in Danbury. AWT. 61/60 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It will get more humid this aftn Ya dew point already up 10 degrees since 5am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I offered to wash the undercarriage aren't I good enough? I'm feeling very proud this week. You're a great guy, but I like you as a friend. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 14 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Fish nailed the HHH week. Dews in 60’s all 5 days? Tip caps Humid maybe, but when did 79-81° become "hot"? Maybe if it's on April Fools' Day. Upper 50s and cloudy here. Had 0.04" overnight to mark the 13th day this month with measurable precip. (Most for any month here is 23, in both May 2005 and July 2009. Only 2 other months have reached 20+.) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Still unsure of what I want to do today. Maybe extreme northern Fairfield cty on NY border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Still unsure of what I want to do today. Maybe something not involving weather since its June and I live in SNE 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 32 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Still unsure of what I want to do today. Maybe extreme northern Fairfield cty on NY border Looks like majority will be western/central CT into Central Mass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Possibly derecho in the south today. That would have been groovy up here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Thinking probably BDL may be better option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 This has been an absurdly boring stretch. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Thinking probably BDL may be better option. 13z HRRR 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 23 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Thinking probably BDL may be better option. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Hodographs certainly not bad looking this afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Thinking probably BDL may be better option. dew of 53 at BDL doesnt scream severe to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 1045 AM Update... Forecast generally on track. Have made some slight adjustments to timing showers/thunderstorms. Have leaned toward the latest ARW as it has initialized the upper cutoff/low over the eastern Great Lakes and the surface low associated with it well. Overall still the same messaging for today with strong to severe thunderstorms likely. Current thinking is that the risk is greatest the further SW you get, but we will need to closely watch the south coast as this is an area where there is roughly 30-40 kts of bulk shear. Does appear there is a bit of a boundary with the 60+ degree dew points and 500-1500 J/kg of CAPE along the with a S LLJ moving in. There are lesser values of CAPE further north and the shear is a bit more marginal, so this could be a limiting factor for western MA into eastern MA. Nonetheless will still need to monitor things closely. The low level lapse rates are still looking quite similar with nearly adiabatic lapse rates, approaching 8-9 degrees Celsius per km. Mid level lapse rates become a bit better especially as we head into the evening with the cold pool moving in overhead, -15 to -20 degrees Celsius at 500 hPa. Should see the mid level lapse rates increasing around 6-7 degrees Celsius by late. Think that the latest HRRR SCRAM and SREF Craven Brooks Sig Svr greater than 10k highlights the highest risk area well. There is a bit of backing across the CT River Valley and 0-1 SRH greater than 100 m2/s2 this afternoon, so while low we cannot completely rule out a tornado. Have also added a hail mention in the latest update as there is a few hundred J/kg of CAPE within the hail growth region. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Just now, ineedsnow said: dew of 53 at BDL doesnt scream severe to me It is a bit of a concern, but guidance does have a brief period where dews surge out ahead of the storms...something to really watch. If that does happen and this all times with the CAA/steepening lapse rate in the mid-levels there could be some locally nasty storms this afternoon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Going to get to BDL around 12:27 or so and that will give us time to shoot west if we want too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 DP of 58 in Methuen....Fish was right about the torrid DP's... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Quite a bit of 3km CAPE being modeled 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 I got those Bermuda blues Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 13 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: DP of 58 in Methuen....Fish was right about the torrid DP's... HHH!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 38 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: It is a bit of a concern, but guidance does have a brief period where dews surge out ahead of the storms...something to really watch. If that does happen and this all times with the CAA/steepening lapse rate in the mid-levels there could be some locally nasty storms this afternoon. Dews will quickly increase this aftn which usually is a good thing to have a rapid increase. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 our DP actually mixed out here… It was 62 couple hours ago now it’s 57 with temperatures approaching 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Just now, CoastalWx said: Dews will quickly increase this aftn which usually is a good thing to have a rapid increase. Agreed, if you recall that fall event a few years back where Long Island had several TOR's I think that was a critical factor in that event. Dews spiked just prior to the convection arriving which would have resulted in rapidly lowering LCL's and a big instability spike which would have also enhanced updraft speed/strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 74/64 here. is that considered HHH? asking for a friend (*cough* DIT *cough*) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Weird how the hazardous outlook highlights west and north of town for best severe chances but that latest update above seems to highlight the south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 14, 2023 Share Posted June 14, 2023 Cute little cell near Poughkeepsie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now