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1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Euro is wet but will it actually happen?!?

1688083200-oVjy9se6gso.png

Couldn’t really care less what any model shows. Unless it’s an organized/synoptic type system coming I doubt much happens east of the Hudson from here. Maybe some showers off and on. We’re more likely to get some decent rain when a front finally comes through and even that might get squashed by any marine layer. W of the city and Hudson Valley might do well though in the moist environment and daily chances for convection. 

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27 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Couldn’t really care less what any model shows. Unless it’s an organized/synoptic type system coming I doubt much happens east of the Hudson from here. Maybe some showers off and on. We’re more likely to get some decent rain when a front finally comes through and even that might get squashed by any marine layer. W of the city and Hudson Valley might do well though in the moist environment and daily chances for convection. 

Even with the dews  it feels cool with the east wind 

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5 minutes ago, bkviking said:

In Smithtown, LI  I have .41” for the day today with that batch of showers that came through around noon. Add .06” yesterday. 

Almost identical here in brightwaters. Two batches today 

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4 hours ago, BucksCO_PA said:

By that timeframe average highs across Philly / NYC metro areas are in the mid to uppers 80's so low 90's are nothing to write home about. It then becomes can we avoid the 95+ crap.

Regardless of whether July & August end up following the recent torch trends this has been fantastic 2nd half of spring & segue into early summer. It's not out of the question PHL ends up with the coolest June since 1985

It’s actually the coolest June in Philly since 2009 and 3rd overall coolest since 2000.

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 22
Missing Count
1 2003-06-22 68.0 0
2 2009-06-22 69.2 0
3 2023-06-22 69.3 0
4 2004-06-22 71.2 0
5 2000-06-22 71.4 0


6987D919-5F46-41B0-B773-A239047A764A.thumb.png.3a92c3db6eda28ea35d050f974503ab2.png

 

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26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s actually the coolest June in Philly since 2009 and 3rd overall coolest since 2000.

 

Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 22
Missing Count
1 2003-06-22 68.0 0
2 2009-06-22 69.2 0
3 2023-06-22 69.3 0
4 2004-06-22 71.2 0
5 2000-06-22 71.4 0


6987D919-5F46-41B0-B773-A239047A764A.thumb.png.3a92c3db6eda28ea35d050f974503ab2.png

 

18th coolest on record so far 

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An extended period of generally cooler than normal temperatures is ongoing. No return to summerlike heat is likely through the remainder of June.

Showers and thundershowers will move through the region this evening and early tonight.

The unsettled weather will likely continue through the weekend. The temperature will approach seasonable levels. It will be humid with scattered showers and thundershowers.

Parts of Texas remain in the midst of an extreme heat event. High temperatures through 5 pm CDT included:

Austin: 99°
Brownsville: 97°
Corpus Christi: 96°
Cotulla: 110° (old record: 107°, 2017)
Del Rio: 108° (old record: 106°, 1953 and 2018) ***6th consecutive record high***
Houston: 97°
Junction: 101°
Laredo: 110° (old record: 109°, 2017)
McAllen: 101°
San Angelo: 106°
San Antonio: 101°
Zapata: 109° (old record: 107°, 1969)

At present, there is little indication that this heat will move into the Middle Atlantic and southern New England regions.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.28°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.67°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer.

The SOI was -16.03 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.161 today.

On June 21 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.198 (RMM). The June 20-adjusted amplitude was 0.776 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 94% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.2° (1.6° below normal).

 

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28 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

18th coolest on record so far 

6th coldest reading so far at Atlantic City and Charleston, WV.
 

Time Series Summary for Atlantic City Area, NJ (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 22
Missing Count
1 1980-06-22 62.7 0
2 1997-06-22 64.8 0
3 2003-06-22 65.1 0
4 1946-06-22 65.4 0
5 1992-06-22 65.6 0
- 1958-06-22 65.6 0
6 2023-06-22 65.7 0
7 1951-06-22 65.8 0
8 1948-06-22 66.0 1
9 1977-06-22 66.1 0
10 1972-06-22 66.2 0


 

Time Series Summary for Charleston Area, WV (ThreadEx)
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Ending Date
Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 22
Missing Count
1 1955-06-22 64.8 0
2 1972-06-22 65.8 0
3 1927-06-22 66.1 0
4 2003-06-22 66.2 0
5 1910-06-22 66.3 4
6 2023-06-22 66.9 0
7 1980-06-22 67.0 0
8 1977-06-22 67.1 0
9 1907-06-22 67.7 0
10 1963-06-22 67.8 0


 

9714D087-ABC1-432C-9E76-B052B4C00839.thumb.png.f2cd4b807a877dd4df925980429e0e10.png

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52 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Find 50 ways for it not to happen. Though I’m sure some of use will do really well. Just put a stripe of fail right through the City and western li

Looking like a miss for a majority of the forum 

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Not a drop here all day as near as I can tell---and now the Fireworks Launcher is being set up like any Friday night during the summer.     Not many people around, but the show must go on I guess.      It did Wednesday night---for a special Luna Park Amusement Area celebration.

Gonna get away with it:

1687564080-nI12HadUgFw.png

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