weatherwiz Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Considering this storm is likely to continue strengthening right up to landfall the concern for a major at landfall is very high. Should Idalia take off this evening or tonight I could see a higher end cat 3 potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: One thing Pic right now that high pressure near TX LA is feeding dry NE winds into the west side, however since UT is just slowly moving this will allow time for tropical al air to surround the system.As this happens it is also crossing bomb water so yea I could see a 3 storm Are you gonna be in the ocean Wednesday am in definitely driving to RI Wednesday am , in Colorado another day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Beautiful storm. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 3 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Are you gonna be in the ocean Wednesday am in definitely driving to RI Wednesday am , in Colorado another day Working Wed Thursday but Friday is my goal with secondary pulse from IDALIA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Idalia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 About to go beast and shock Pickles out of cat 1 thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Lots of buns in the main thread right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 5 hours ago, weatherwiz said: Considering this storm is likely to continue strengthening right up to landfall the concern for a major at landfall is very high. Should Idalia take off this evening or tonight I could see a higher end cat 3 potential. It's going to take off. Envt. was always supposed to be marginal during the day Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Borderline Cat 5 now? Edit… “just” a strong Cat 4 it seems. Talking about Franklin. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 I mentioned last week it'll be interesting to watch how this takes off. Hopefully it runs for a 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Franklin is the deepest Atlantic storm this far north on record 926 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Franklin is the deepest Atlantic storm this far north on record 926 Consider me surprised…. Not that far north. Perhaps the compact size helps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 48 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Franklin is the deepest Atlantic storm this far north on record 926 Thing is at the latitude of Daytona Beach….that’s not too far north imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 @cpickett79Your boy Cranky speaks. A beast is born https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1696321804002849192?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Thing is at the latitude of Daytona Beach….that’s not too far north imo. Generally the further north they get the weaker. Not that far north but still a record 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Generally the further north they get the weaker. Not that far north but still a record Well yes, of course obviously, but just off Daytona, Florida is still pretty south. But I get what you mean, and yes it’s a record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: @cpickett79Your boy Cranky speaks. A beast is born https://x.com/contentwxguy/status/1696321804002849192?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Still time to get a bet in with pickles. Don't be wimp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 16 minutes ago, kdxken said: Still time to get a bet in with pickles. Don't be wimp... I'll bet him...what is the bet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'll bet him...what is the bet? He says it's going to be a cat four when it makes landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Consider me surprised…. Not that far north. Perhaps the compact size helps. it's in a bigger area of lower pressure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 2 hours ago, kdxken said: He says it's going to be a cat four when it makes landfall. Kev said 4 . I said I’ll gladly take that bet i also said this am that tampa will not see hurricane conditions I will take that bet that it doesn’t reach a cat 4 and or Tampa won’t see hurricane conditions . Also I always advise my sister and her family in Spring Hill regarding hurricane threats on their plan of action , I take these storms very seriously for that reason . I told them I would not anticipate having to leave , thou maintain watching this into Tuesday for track/ model updates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Block island bouy just starting to show 2 feet long period Franklin swell . Tomorrow would be a very fun day in the ocean if you like good surf (4-6 feet very large for the generic beach goer) but nothing huge for surfers ( for New England beaches with S /SE swell exposure) . There definitely will be some bigger sets beginning after noon . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Kev said 4 . I said I’ll gladly take that bet i also said this am that tampa will not see hurricane conditions I will take that bet that it doesn’t reach a cat 4 and or Tampa won’t see hurricane conditions . Also I always advise my sister and her family in Spring Hill regarding hurricane threats on their plan of action , I take these storms very seriously for that reason . I told them I would not anticipate having to leave , thou maintain watching this into Tuesday for track/ model updates Cat 4 is like 50/50....def 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 I agree, I don't think TPA sees hurricane force gusts as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Cat 4 is like 50/50....def 3. Ya cat 4 isn’t happening Imo . But hey will see id take a bet where you get 50 of it does and I get 25 when it doesn’t (set it up on cash app/ Venmo ) any storm ever go from a cat 1 to cat 4 into N gulf in 24 hours (maybe Camile) I see people get caught up in storms to the point where 85% of the forecasts are usually higher than the end reality(I often check myself bc I find it’s alluring to go bigger) - this has been from watching the board for 10 years when people get caught up in the excitement Anyone live in fish creek to steinahatchee Florida , they should send Cantore there to make Moonshine. Cedar key will see some surge but I think the worst stays NW thou that is certainly not set in stone yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 I'm in Chiefland, FL this morning, just inland from Cedar Key. We have a hurricane warning here and folks are taking the storm seriously. The forecast for the center is very tricky even now, as some models have been trending westward toward a near direct hit of Tallahassee while others are further east down to Cedar Key. The parallel track along the west coast of Florida makes this hard. I am hedging east right now, but am prepared to move north if necessary this evening. Will monitor trends. As is usually the case, my friend @MillvilleWx is in communication with me, and this time I'm grateful to have @ORH_wxman supporting as well. If I lose power and internet, I'll be in touch with them so that everyone here knows I'm ok. Driving in last night there was a wicked storm to my south. Perhaps a preview... 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: I'm in Chiefland, FL this morning, just inland from Cedar Key. We have a hurricane warning here and folks are taking the storm seriously. The forecast for the center is very tricky even now, as some models have been trending westward toward a near direct hit of Tallahassee while others are further east down to Cedar Key. The parallel track along the west coast of Florida makes this hard. I am hedging east right now, but am prepared to move north if necessary this evening. Will monitor trends. As is usually the case, my friend @MillvilleWx is in communication with me, and this time I'm grateful to have @ORH_wxman supporting as well. If I lose power and internet, I'll be in touch with them so that everyone here knows I'm ok. Driving in last night there was a wicked storm to my south. Perhaps a preview... Best of luck! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 He’s well on his way to cat 4 . Katy bar the door on this beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 I'm not buying a 4 either. It has about 24 hours and still trying to get its act together. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 41 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I'm in Chiefland, FL this morning, just inland from Cedar Key. We have a hurricane warning here and folks are taking the storm seriously. The forecast for the center is very tricky even now, as some models have been trending westward toward a near direct hit of Tallahassee while others are further east down to Cedar Key. The parallel track along the west coast of Florida makes this hard. I am hedging east right now, but am prepared to move north if necessary this evening. Will monitor trends. As is usually the case, my friend @MillvilleWx is in communication with me, and this time I'm grateful to have @ORH_wxman supporting as well. If I lose power and internet, I'll be in touch with them so that everyone here knows I'm ok. Driving in last night there was a wicked storm to my south. Perhaps a preview... Nice work man. Love to see a chaser get out and enjoy their passion Enjoy. Steinahatchee is my best guess right now , not sure If there is really much civilization up that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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