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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread


BlueRidgeFolklore
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Well I was off a bit. Hoisted up the warning right off the bat.

 

Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Graham-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust,
Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck,
Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick,
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser,
Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Robbinsville,
and Stecoah
340 AM EST Thu Jan 12 2023

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
7 AM EST SATURDAY BELOW 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of up to 9 inches. Winds gusting as high as
  45 mph. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total
  snow accumulations of up to 2 inches. Winds gusting as high as
  40 mph.

* WHERE...The North Carolina mountain counties along the Tennessee
  border.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 7 AM EST Saturday.
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2 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

Road conditions should be decent.

The traffic on the roads will be the headache. It gets backed up big time on the holidays around Sugar and Beech.

No doubt. Little bottleneck head that way for sure. 

Might take the family that way but would be on Sunday. 

 

We are all snow starved so those with snow better be sharing some videos :)

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3 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

Road conditions should be decent.

The traffic on the roads will be the headache. It gets backed up big time on the holidays around Sugar and Beech.

I was going to leave for Beech tomorrow but I’m biting the bullet and heading up this evening (through the squall line lol). 
 

Road conditions aren’t my primary concern as much as Friday evening tourist traffic. 4wd and chains can’t help when there’s a fort mill minivan pile up on food lion hill. I have a feeling it could get pretty gnarly. 

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1 minute ago, snowbird1230 said:

Looks like totals are being cut back since last night's 0z nam run? Correct me if I'm wrong 

Perhaps slightly but guidance has been remarkably consistent with upslope QPF for this event run after run.

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To the newbies on here that are fixing to enjoy this upslope dream don't really worry about totals and what not at this point.  As eyewall pointed out with flow snow as long as you have a strong signal things will proceed. This is different than a synoptic storm. All models have a difficult time with flow snow because we have so many peaks above 3500' and we have some really small microclimates in the mountains that can produce huge totals given the right setup.

The signal is there still very much so and at this point just sit back and wait for tomorrow morning to come. 

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