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2022-2023 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread


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  • jburns pinned this topic

Rain fell moderately during the night and it looks like a lot more is on the way. Concerned that a potential Flash Flood event could unfold later today into tomorrow. Hopefully folks camping along our creeks for Labor Day Weekend are paying attention. 

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1 hour ago, Maggie Ace said:

Rain fell moderately during the night and it looks like a lot more is on the way. Concerned that a potential Flash Flood event could unfold later today into tomorrow. Hopefully folks camping along our creeks for Labor Day Weekend are paying attention. 

Yeah if that moisture from the south starts training over us we could see some localized flooding.

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Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville
Mountains-Greater Pickens-Central Greenville-
Including the cities of Saluda, Luada, Wesser, East Flat Rock,
Tuxedo, Chimney Rock State Park, Little River, Easley, Alarka,
Robbinsville, Almond, Dana, Waterville, Cedar Mountain, Cruso,
Etowah, Greenville, Rocky Bottom, Greer, Dacusville, Taylors, Glassy
Mountain, Fletcher, Clemson, Sylva, Bryson City, Tuckasegee,
Cullowhee, Canton, Cove Creek, Berea, Stecoah, Brevard, Waynesville,
and Hendersonville
948 AM EDT Sun Sep 4 2022

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of western North Carolina and upstate South
  Carolina, including the following areas, in western North
  Carolina, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Northern Jackson, Polk
  Mountains, Rutherford Mountains, Swain and Transylvania. In
  upstate South Carolina, Central Greenville, Greater Pickens,
  Greenville Mountains and Pickens Mountains.

* WHEN...Through Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Low-water
  crossings may be flooded.
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Precipitation Discussion 0940 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 329 PM EDT Sun Sep 04 2022 Areas affected...Southern Appalachians Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 041927Z - 042300Z Summary...Scattered thunderstorms with localized heavy rain could lead to some additional flash flooding into this evening, particularly for sensitive areas of western Upstate South Carolina. Discussion...Convergent low level flow downstream of a positively tilted trough over the Mid-South will continue to advect moisture and instability north across Georgia and South Carolina and over the southern Appalachians into this evening. Scattered convective storms have developed over northern Georgia and are approaching the western tip of South Carolina which has had two distinct areas of particularly heavy/flooding rains the past two mornings. Hourly rainfall estimates in the heaviest cells from KFFC and KGSP are generally around 1", but the increasing moisture and instability should allow rates to increase to 2"/hr into this evening. PWs are 2 to 2.2" over north-central Georgia and SBCAPE is up around 2500 J/kg over central Georgia. Recent RAP runs have that moisture and instability continuing to lift north through the central Appalachians over the next few hours on the 12kt southerly 850mb flow seen on regional VWPs over GA/SC. Mean layer SWly flow is generally 10-15kt over GA which is perpendicular to the stationary front over the western part of the state. As the risk for 2"/hr rates increases with some repeating risk the 3hr FFG of 2.5-3" could be exceeded. Flash flooding is considered possible into this evening, particularly if heavier cells get into far western South Carolina. Jackson ATTN...WFO...CAE...FFC...GSP...MRX...

mcd0940.gif.2f1c58c87824e85e95d50bafe1c8256b.gif

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1 hour ago, Maggie Ace said:

We definitely had an early Fall like day in Maggie. My high temperature was 68 and I even had to put on a flannel shirt on this afternoon. The Elk are in full rut and very active!

Yeah an absolute beautiful early Fall day. Came in with the same high and it's a bit cool this evening.  Rain and temps in the 60s tomorrow. 

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