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jrips27

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About jrips27

  • Birthday 01/03/1997

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KMCN
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Macon, GA

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  1. Hey, y’all! I am considering chasing this one in the Hendersonville/Flat Rock area. That area is the closest area to Atlanta (where I’ll be Saturday) that is consistently getting nailed on the models. I came in here to see if you guys had any suggestions or if you think that’s a good spot. Never been up that way before. Thinking of getting a cheap hotel for 2 nights somewhere right off I-26, which I’m sure is a main priority for those plowing. Thanks for your insight in advance!
  2. jrips27

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Euro 3 hour precip depiction GIF courtesy of Ryan Maue https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1070027792589471745
  3. jrips27

    2018 General Severe Weather

    It was a wild one here in Macon this evening. It definitely felt like it got to at least 60mph at times. Lots of reported trees down in the area. Textbook convective complex came through and went tornado warned right over downtown. Here are some videos I captured.
  4. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    Updated FFC final call? Looks pretty good to me.
  5. jrips27

    Major Hurricane Michael

    Wild. https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1050081580461563904?s=21
  6. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    Pondered driving down to Cordele, GA tonight and checking out the wind down there but may just stay in Macon and ride it out. Expecting some 50-60mph gusts here whereas Cordele could be looking at 70-80mph. Wild times.
  7. jrips27

    Major Hurricane Michael

    https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1050069656650833921?s=21
  8. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    From the NHC 11pm discussion. Wild: Similar to the previous advisory, the environment ahead of Michael is expected to remain conducive for additional strengthening until landfall occurs due to SSTs of at least 85 deg F beneath the hurricane, combined with decreasing vertical wind shear along with the shear vector shifting from current west-northwesterly to a less hostile southwesterly component, which will be more along Michael's forecast track. As a result, Michael is now explicitly forecast to become a category 4 hurricane before landfall occurs.
  9. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    Certainly looks like a high end Cat 3/Cat 4 Looks like they’re rolling with 125mph and 950mb for now. Surprised there isn’t more chatter in here. Not often you’ve got a strengthening major about to hit the FL Panhandle. Going to be a long couple of days. Stay safe everybody!
  10. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    GOES 16 imagery. Michael flexing his muscles this afternoon with the US in sight. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=regional-southeast-02-48-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  11. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    Agreed. Here is new 12z Euro max gusts from 5-8AM Thursday morning. These gust maps are inflated and that has been well documented on this board. It's probably a good idea to take 15-20% off the given max value to get a realistic idea of what would actually happen if the Euro is correct. Still that paints a widespread 60mph+ area across central/southern GA https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/georgia/gusts-3h-mph/20181011-1200z.html
  12. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    Here is the latest update on the NWS Southern Region tropical webpage regarding the wind threat for central GA. You can find this information for your specific area at https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical Just click on the "threats and impacts" tab and zoom in! Curious to see if FFC will put out a map with gusts reflecting this potential...
  13. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    I think FFC could stand to beef up the max wind gusts more. I have little doubt we're going to see widespread 60-70mph+ gusts in that southwest part of their CWA. They are going to need to update this current one.
  14. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    GFS a little quicker and a tick further north compared to 6z. Sure looks like it’s going to give a run at upper 3/low 4
  15. jrips27

    Hurricane Michael

    Winds up to 85mph at the 8PM update. Michael continues to organize this evening. Yep watching closely here in Macon as well. Last year, Irma brought wind gusts in the 50-55mph range and brought quite a few trees down in residential areas. Looks like this could rival or maybe even surpass that depending on the track. Definitely going to be an interesting few days.
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