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Wake me Up....when September Ends....


40/70 Benchmark
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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

What's it like there now?

I can see the anvil canopy escaping E pretty quickly, but I'm not seeing a very convincing trend that what it reveals underneath will allow a lot of heating.. but, sometimes the sat can look worse than ground truth -

It's mostly cloudy but there's been a lot of thinning and brightening going on over the past hour. Sun is shinning through now. Just taking time to erode the low-level clouds

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19 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Looks like Newport about to get rocked

We are!  Lots of thunder and heavy downpours.  Not too much lightning...  Drove past people doing the Cliff Walk and wondered if none of them have a device that would tell them Newport was in a Thunderstorm Warning...

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1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

San Diego had tropical this month. 

I know lol...just wait....San Diego will have a 4 foot blizzard this winter..storm will move across the country and just south enough of SNE to be a miss for the area.....

Scene outside of Ray's home as storm passes south..

6t8no5.jpg

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24 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

I know lol...just wait....San Diego will have a 4 foot blizzard this winter..storm will move across the country and just south enough of SNE to be a miss for the area.....

Scene outside of Ray's home as storm passes south..

6t8no5.jpg

As Scooter stands outside with hands crossed, “I got you again sucker.” 

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WATCH POSSIBLE HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

MD 1781 graphic

Mesoscale Discussion 1781
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1058 AM CDT Tue Sep 13 2022

   Areas affected...Eastern NY...Western New England

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 131558Z - 131800Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms will intensify this afternoon over
   eastern New York and western New England.  The strongest cells may
   produce isolated damaging wind gusts and hail.  Trends will be
   monitored for a possible severe thunderstorm watch.

   DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a cold front moving
   across eastern NY/PA.  Dewpoints ahead of the front remain in the
   upper 60s and lower 70s within the Hudson Valley and areas eastward.
    Considerable cloud cover in this region has limited daytime heating
   thus far, but temperatures are slowly warming through the 70s,
   yielding MLCAPE values of 500-1000 J/kg.  Isolated thunderstorms
   have begun to form in this environment, but thus far have shown
   limited intensity.  Forecast soundings show modest low-level flow
   and rather weak lapse rates.  This suggests that updraft strength
   will remain generally limited.  However, some potential exists for
   intensification by mid-afternoon as continued moist influx and
   daytime heating occurs.  Locally damaging winds and hail are the
   main threats with the strongest cells.  Convective trends will be
   monitored for the possibility of watch issuance later this
   afternoon.

   ..Hart.. 09/13/2022
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20 hours ago, Whineminster said:

You like it when everything dies and is brown and it's cloudy and dreary outside? Odd.

This is my 25th September here, and this month has averaged the highest percentage of available sunshine, 3% higher than #2 August.  Despite its shortening days, September has the greatest average hours per day of sun, though August isn't too far behind.  Short-lived, however, as OND comprise the 3 lowest percentage months, with Nov-Dec in close competition for last place.

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1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

I know lol...just wait....San Diego will have a 4 foot blizzard this winter..storm will move across the country and just south enough of SNE to be a miss for the area.....

Scene outside of Ray's home as storm passes south..

6t8no5.jpg

:lol:
But it's actually going to bury the Midwest before turning left up the HV and reprising Christmas 2020 for our region.

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Congrats white marble mines of VT. 

Mid-level lapse rates I think are better than what SPC is indicating in the 1630z update (unless they meant to say OKX instead of ALB) but the 12z ALB sounding measured 6.4 C/KM 700-500mb lapse rate and mesoanalysis indicate this. Not sure I would classify 6-6.5 as poor. llvl lapse rates suck. From northern CT through MA into VT/NH looks pretty solid. 

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Just now, Whineminster said:

Just a heavy downpour here in Dennis. Been cloudy and drizzling here off and on since Sunday.  Cape weather blows 90% of the time.  Worst weather in New England except downeast Maine maybe, but at least it snows there. No wonder they have an H problem, depressing.

They had sun since June, but you chose the worst stretch since Memorial Day. Congrats. :lol: 

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5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

So thankful the downpours held off until after my commute.

Are there any secrets to getting over to Beverly from here ... instead of a 495 N to 3 S, to 95 N ??

I mean my recollection of those demographic conduits is that they fail to be conduits from 7:10 am to 9am, and 4:45pm to 7pm

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