Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,275
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Chicago85
    Newest Member
    Chicago85
    Joined

July 2022 Disco/obs/etc


Torch Tiger
 Share

Recommended Posts

19 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

For what it is worth here are the Euro and GFS high temperatures for next Friday

Euro.jpg

GFS.jpg

Just posting about that in the August thread ...seein' as that is August... heh

But yeah, gonna go ahead and assume the Euro is too well mixed/tall with the adiabats.  It's 22C at 850, which is impressive for this region, but that really supports more like an impressive 102 as the ping max, considering our deeper pressure well and how hard it is to expand that -

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Ha what a boundary.

The two options are 82F here and 107F at BDL…. Or 62F while HFD is 100F?

If there is a big heat day(s) in that range, it is still out in the GFS's tendency to suppress the westerly jets and mash the planetary system toward the equator. It did this all last 5 winters in a row, and we see vestiges of it in the summers in the form of this kind of compression south along the Can border.  

That said, they could both be wrong about the areal significance of that that period, in which case the Euro comes south and the GFS goes north, and both have to correct toward 92-96 ...which is probably the climatological safe route at this range anyway.

Then if some kind of freak show synergistic heat bomb finally comes here ... we'll see that emerge with more confidence in time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, dendrite said:

image.gif

The heat and humidity has been on the increase lately from June and the first half of July…. But man it’s still been much different than recent summers where getting even a day of dews low 50s like today up here was impossible.  This year they come in 2-3 day stretches.  Tomorrow should be awesome.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The heat and humidity has been on the increase lately from June and the first half of July…. But man it’s still been much different than recent summers where getting even a day of dews low 50s like today up here was impossible.  This year they come in 2-3 day stretches.  Tomorrow should be awesome.

Yeah the past few Summers were brutal. Seems the air quality has been better as well.

Based on data collected between March and September 2021, there were 23 days when ozone concentrations in New England reached unhealthy levels. By contrast, in 2020 there were 18 unhealthy ozone days in New England.

If I'm reading the data correctly there's only been one this year on the 24th of July.

https://www3.epa.gov/region1/airquality/o3exceed-22.html#ma

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Yeah the past few Summers were brutal. Seems the air quality has been better as well.

Based on data collected between March and September 2021, there were 23 days when ozone concentrations in New England reached unhealthy levels. By contrast, in 2020 there were 18 unhealthy ozone days in New England.

If I'm reading the data correctly there's only been one this year on the 24th of July.

https://www3.epa.gov/region1/airquality/o3exceed-22.html#ma

 

That lines up for sure.

No air quality issues right now.  Just puffy Cu and crisp blue this evening.

7DC5EA2B-2310-4A3C-B7E4-80A93FC02DF6.thumb.jpeg.bd76fbf809347402a7dbbb523386ba52.jpeg

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not that the NAM is much of any use to anyone but .. the T1 would support a 2 meter T of about 31C both tomorrow and Sunday over Metrowest of Boston. 

I mean, 88?   brrr

It may be very dry with low DPs and all, but like every outlook that has ever existed since about 1998, we end up having to eat the over crow come time. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tomorrow looks like a winner.  The NWS knows it.

Love when this stuff lines up on a Saturday.

&& Other than saying tomorrow is about the perfect summer day for the North Country, there isn`t much to say about tomorrow. High temperatures will run a few degrees below seasonal normals as high pressure becomes established. Mostly clear skies with a light northerly breeze of 15-15 mph will make it an ideal day to take in all the outdoor activities that Vermont and New York have to offer. Just be aware of a high UV index tomorrow and protect yourself from the sun. &&

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...