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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)


Kmlwx
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2 minutes ago, high risk said:

Oddly, the new SPC Day 1 outlook only talks about the current show and has no mention of any threat later today.     There is certainly still time to heat up again this afternoon.

Thought it a bit odd as well, guess they could mention it on the 2000z OTLK if the threat manifests itself?

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2 minutes ago, high risk said:

Oddly, the new SPC Day 1 outlook only talks about the current show and has no mention of any threat later today.     There is certainly still time to heat up again this afternoon.

Yeah - that's weird. I guess they are trying to get through the current batch - but that seems semi misleading for readers. They even trimmed probabilities as if this is it for the day. The new outlook has the "the front has cleared the area" kind of read to it. Maybe they are planning on just covering the remainder of the day with mesoscale discussions :lol: 

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
101 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern Baltimore City in northern Maryland...
  North central Anne Arundel County in central Maryland...
  Southeastern Baltimore County in northern Maryland...

* Until 115 PM EDT.
    
* At 101 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over South Gate, or over Severn, moving northeast at 35
  mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, 
           flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. 
           Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is 
           likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Severna Park around 105 PM EDT.
  Ferndale and Green Haven around 110 PM EDT.
  Riviera Beach, Sparrows Point, Fort Smallwood State Park, North 
  Point State Park, Glen Burnie, Dundalk, Pasadena, Lake Shore and 
  Brooklyn Park around 115 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Fort
Howard, Gambrills, Edgemere and Turners Station.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
 

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5 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

That line was a nothingburger in Ellicott City. Even the recycling truck kept driving around in it. My trash cans are secure.

Yeah, blew through quick. Had a quick blast of wind/rain as it first hit and then some thunder, but worst of it went southeast through Catonsville.

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2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

 

Trend of having HRRR juice up that next line is a good one - I'll use the weenie-ism that maybe it's sampling the ground truth better with time ;) 

Even tries for some UDH swaths through N VA/DC/C MD between 23z and 01z

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37 minutes ago, yoda said:
37 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Yeah - that's weird. I guess they are trying to get through the current batch - but that seems semi misleading for readers. They even trimmed probabilities as if this is it for the day. The new outlook has the "the front has cleared the area" kind of read to it. Maybe they are planning on just covering the remainder of the day with mesoscale discussions :lol: 

Thought it a bit odd as well, guess they could mention it on the 2000z OTLK if the threat manifests itself?

 

         Yeah, they could certainly update the 20Z outlook, but @kmlwx is spot on saying that the probabilities map was certainly drawn to account for the only threat being from the ongoing activity.    It doesn't go back nearly far enough west for a round 2.

       

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Just now, Interstate said:

Why dont they put out alerts for Thunderstorm warnings anymore?

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings do not trigger Wireless Emergency Alerts unless the SVR is tagged for 'Destructive': https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/destructive-thunderstorm-alerts-what-they-are-and-why-the-nws-issues-them

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings do not trigger Wireless Emergency Alerts unless the SVR is tagged for 'Destructive': https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/destructive-thunderstorm-alerts-what-they-are-and-why-the-nws-issues-them

And warning fatigue is real - I think that's a solid call - especially in the DC area where (not ragging on LWX) but EVERYTHING seems to get a warning in severe season. 

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