Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Dual low...won't be as ridiculous as 06z because of that I don't think

Just seems like every time people begin to derobe, SOMETHING happens to negate any perceived positives. So it wasn't the PV this time, but it sprouted tits. I think that is a sign that this one just isn't going to make to that historic tier.

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Dual low...won't be as ridiculous as 06z because of that I don't think

looks pretty ridiculous to me

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just seems like every time people begin to derobe, SOMETHING happens to negate any perceived positives. So it wasn't the PV this time, but it sprouted tits. I think that is a sign that this one just isn't going to make to that historic tier.

Lol, true. 

[ineedsnow]

left boob takes over at 54 it looks like

[weatherwiz]

Regardless of the dual low a good chunk of the region would get some CCB goods. The CCB too may be quite wide

[Kitzbuhel Craver]

Some words are just viscerally cringe worthy.

1. Convection 

2. Dual low

3. Chasing

4.Convective Feedback

5. EOR(JK, lol)

[JC-CT]

are people legit complaining about this verbatim output lol

[dryslot]

I probably won't be complaining lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, JC-CT said:

i feel like there is a theoretical setup where it is...heaving snows from maine to dc along an elongated low

Okay....we'll see. I am not looking at the run.....I usually don't as it comes out, so just FYI.

[78Blizzard]

There's the stall maybe?

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just seems like every time people begin to derobe, SOMETHING happens to negate any perceived positives. So it wasn't the PV this time, but it sprouted tits. I think that is a sign that this one just isn't going to make to that historic tier.

This run would still be historic...it gets captured....just maybe not quite as obscene as 06z was.

 

But these imperfections are expected...there's a reason 30-burgers are hard to get.

[Sn0waddict]

Loses the dual low at hr 54. Identical slp as 6z but even stronger.

[JC-CT]

what exactly are we looking for

[dryslot]

Eastern MA getting destroyed.

[CoastalWx]

So these meso lows which will be tough to figure out, are real. That's going to lead to a lot of details to be figured out.

[Damage In Tolland]

I think this is final look. Congrats everyone 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Just now, JC-CT said:

are people legit complaining about this verbatim output lol

I'm just saying, the NAM surface output is riddled with CFI. 

[radarman]

give me that h5 and I'll take my chances with the surface

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, JC-CT said:

are people legit complaining about this verbatim output lol

I'm not complaining.....more just an observation. I haven't been planning on historic for a couple of days, anyway.

[JC-CT]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Okay....we'll see. I am not looking at the run.....I usually don't as it comes out, so just FYI.

that's cool, i think i figured that out too. i'm not worried about what the NAM shows, period - but if we are looking for model porn, this is plenty nsfw.

[NorEastermass128]

Just now, JC-CT said:

what exactly are we looking for

That looks real nice. 

[Swiscaster]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Just seems like every time people begin to derobe, SOMETHING happens to negate any perceived positives. So it wasn't the PV this time, but it sprouted tits. I think that is a sign that this one just isn't going to make to that historic tier.

*disrobe lol

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

I'm just saying, the NAM surface output is riddled with CFI. 

as scott just said, there will be real convection

[ineedsnow]

Just now, radarman said:

give me that h5 and I'll take my chances with the surface

ya we would be crushed this run

[dryslot]

963mb nobody should be complaining

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

This run would still be historic...it gets captured....just maybe not quite as obscene as 06z was.

 

But these imperfections are expected...there's a reason 30-burgers are hard to get.

Yea, that is what I was getting at earlier with my post RE usual phasing imperfections

[JC-CT]

[IowaStorm05]

Still looks pretty juicy to me. A modest weakening.

[ineedsnow]

963mb a hr 57 we beast

[JC-CT]