Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[dryslot]

Just now, JC-CT said:

There's definitely things I like better about that run. Obviously the holding back in the sw is not one of them, but it also made a big jump with that from 6z. Maybe people should wait for a little continuity before leaping off the bridge.

Yeah, It looked better at H5 later but i'll tell you what, That is close to ending up like the euro and were not talking a whole lot of changes for that to happen either especially if it P\U that s\w sooner in the south.

[PhineasC]

It’s a decent SE MA snowstorm. Nothing close to historic, verbatim. 

[George001]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What a battle....I still think Euro is Mahomes, and GFS is Allen.

RGEM is Cam Newton-

Imo Euro is Mahomes, Canadian is Allen, Gfs is Hoyer.

[RDRY]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

What a battle....I still think Euro is Mahomes, and GFS is Allen.

RGEM is Cam Newton-

And the ICON is Daniel Jones.

[JC-CT]

3 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

SFC low should not be east of the convection.

there's a tiny little low there that the map put the big red L on, but if you actually look at where the center of the main circulation is, it's fine.

[203whiteout]

Also 8mb weaker. GFS is not handling this storm correctly (my opinion). Big storms come west. This is a BIG storm. We’ve seen this so many times before. If 12z euro goes east then yeah, I’d expect this to be mostly a ENE storm…

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Just for fun:

 

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, RDRY said:

And the ICON is Daniel Jones.

That thing is Bob's uncle in the XFL

[dryslot]

And for the folks that care, 12z Icon came a good bit west of 06z

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Yeah, It looked better at H5 later but i'll tell you what, That is close to ending up like the euro and were not talking a whole lot of changes for that to happen either especially if it P\U that s\w sooner in the south.

right. and even if it wins that, if the northern stream comes in yet a little stronger still, it can offset that anyway

[RI Rob]

Less QPF in 12z vs 6z.

[JC-CT]

Just now, RI Rob said:

Less QPF in 12z vs 6z.

yes, my queen

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Just for fun:

 

 

Yea, barrel of laughs lol

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Meet the new king of EC snowstorms, the gfs. Everything is sliding to it except a rogue 12z nam run. 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

right. and even if it wins that, if the northern stream comes in yet a little stronger still, it can offset that anyway

The northern stream is actually what saved its bacon here.

[Boston Bulldog]

Noticed a closed isobar over the convection at 36.5 N 71 W at hour 66 on the GFS. While most models have been showing some convection out front, this surface reflection is stronger on the 12z evolution. I'm interested if that influences more of a NE before the system closes off and pivots NNW

Likely just model aberrations though

[WeatherWilly]

Anticipation building in sne for the most important euro run since Jan 2 2018.

[klw]

30 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS time!

[ineedsnow]

Icon much further west compared to 6z

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Meet the new king of EC snowstorms, the gfs. Everything is sliding to it except a rogue 12z nam run. 

What a melt

[JC-CT]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Meet the new king of EC snowstorms, the gfs. Everything is sliding to it except a rogue 12z nam run. 

yeah, wow, ggem looks awful

[MJO812]

Ukie looks awful also

 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

CMC is east.

[hooralph]

If you take koochie maps for NAM and GFS at face value,

NYC 2-24"

BOS 15-22"

ENE still where I'd want to be.

[Baroclinic Zone]

Here come the WOR  

[40/70 Benchmark]

Is the UK over Bermuda?

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Just now, hooralph said:

If you take koochie maps for NAM and GFS at face value,

NYC 2-24"

BOS 15-22"

ENE still where I'd want to be.

At this point I'd say the South Coast is the easiest forecast to lock in.

The Cape & Islands are a toss-up due to the potential for mixing.

WOR is a toss-up because they are WOR.

[PWMan]

Looks pretty pedestrian outside of SE Mass and far downeast ME. Nice moderate storm with some wind, but nothing special snowfall-wise.

[MJO812]

Ukie is east

 

Hearing the cmc is also east

 

Not a good 12z suite at all

 

 

Be back later

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Is the UK over Bermuda?

Phin gets his wish