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Major Hurricane Ida


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1 minute ago, Normandy said:

Easily a top five hurricane landfall in the north gulf coast.  Thankfully a far west track and slow movement spared New Orleans the worst but others certainly took it on the chin

New Orleans is not out of the woods yet. 

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2 minutes ago, Normandy said:

Easily a top five hurricane landfall in the north gulf coast.  Thankfully a far west track and slow movement spared New Orleans the worst but others certainly took it on the chin

It tracked significantly further east than anticipated and New Orleans hasn't even seen the worst of it yet.

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They are absolutely out of the woods with respect to severe winds.  Flooding and surge that’s another story but you all already know this so I’m not sure why quoting me and stating New Orleans is not out of the woods yet is necessary 

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5 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

Actually I expect, based on eye position and radar, downtown NO has indeed already seen the worst.

In terms of wind, probably.  I would hold my breath on flooding though.  IIRC, the levee failures took some time to unfold with Katrina.  Seemed like the city was going to be basically ok and then...all hell broke loose.

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1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said:

Yeah, it’s probably seeing the worst right around now for next couple hours.

It goes on for a very long time east of the storm. Really a much longer duration event than you get near the center or west of the center.

New Orleans might not improve much until after midnight.

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3 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

In terms of wind, probably.  I would hold my breath on flooding though.  IIRC, the levee failures took some time to unfold with Katrina.  Seemed like the city was going to be basically ok and then...all hell broke loose.

Yes, exactly this.  It was basically fine until the levee failures.  If the levee didn’t fail in Katrina…Katrina wouldn’t be quite the legend that it is today.  

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This storm was not expected to still be anywhere near 120mph sustained winds while 25 miles west of NO, right? Wasn't it supposed to be down to 85 or something like that per the NHC forecasts? I ran some errands and came back and I am surprised it held up this well. And that video from Port Fourchon is incredible.

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2 minutes ago, Cary said:

New Orleans doesn't consist solely of downtown.

Yeah a majority of the people that are still in danger from wind and the eyewall are poor and impoverished people who were pushed out of the main areas of NO due to Hurricane Katrina. 
 

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5 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

 

That is not good.  No idea what their backup power requirements are to keep the city drained but my understanding is they need some amount of continuous pumping capability even in normal comditions.  If the backup generation fails the pumps don't work.  Same thing that bit Fukushima when the tsunami breeched their floodwalls and took out their backup ac power. 

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It is a lesson that seems to need to be learned every time that you don't say that somewhere "dodged a bullet" until the storm is gone and the sun has come up. And even then, you remember that there will be places you don't hear from immediately and those end up being the worst hit.

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