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20 hours ago, bluewave said:

With all the blocking, areas just N and W of NYC could see 50s next weekend.

FFDD045E-BC76-445B-B7F2-CA946E0CC2C9.thumb.png.5a818ed5a83b8187e709c71eca1b764d.png

 

I know this is way out there range, but I have plans to be in the Poconos for the Perseid meteor shower.  I'm going there Saturday August 7th and will be there until Monday August 16th for the shower.  Of course, no specifics can be given, but can you at least hint at some generalities like sunny, dry weather hopefully?  And hopefully not humid or really hot either.  50s at night would be perfect.  The other really good thing is the moon will be in the first half of its phase cycle so will be setting before midnight that week and not interfere with the Perseids!

 

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2 hours ago, Intensewind002 said:

Pushing almost 2 hours straight now of heavy rainfall, lightning and thunder has calmed down a little but it’s still there

huh how are you getting that weird rainy weather when you're on long island just like I am?  We just had a few flashes of lightning and no rainfall of consequence.  We had enough of that this morning though.

 

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3 hours ago, uofmiami said:

1” to 1.50”/hr on KOKX. Yellow is 2”/hr rainfall on my RadarScope. Port Washington  to Westbury are in line for that it seems. 
4D41E652-63D4-49FD-AFAA-9AF773EADE3F.thumb.png.82d0cd64e0ca759ba8a4950820f97db8.png

How and why the hell does the rainfall always miss this area?  See that area between Valley Stream and Oceanside lol?  All we get is flashes of lightning and power outages, but no rain.  What's the reason this happens?

We did have rain this morning but it was general stratiform rain (welcome though, especially without lightning, which I don't like seeing since it causes power outages here.)

 

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19 hours ago, bluewave said:

This is the first time in the post 2010 era that Newark experienced such a big monthly maximum temperature drop from June to July.

Monthly Highest Max Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Jun
Jul
Season
Mean 96 100 +4
2021 103 97 -6
2020 93 96 +3
2019 93 99 +6
2018 96 98 +2
2017 99 98 -1
2016 91 99 +8
2015 93 98 +5
2014 92 96 +4
2013 96 101 +5
2012 99 104 +5
2011 102 108 +6
2010 98 103 +5

Was that back in July 2019 when JFK had the back to back 99 highs and the record 117 heat indices?  I remember it was a Saturday and Sunday that happened.

 

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19 hours ago, bluewave said:

This is the first time in the post 2010 era that Newark experienced such a big monthly maximum temperature drop from June to July.

Monthly Highest Max Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Jun
Jul
Season
Mean 96 100 +4
2021 103 97 -6
2020 93 96 +3
2019 93 99 +6
2018 96 98 +2
2017 99 98 -1
2016 91 99 +8
2015 93 98 +5
2014 92 96 +4
2013 96 101 +5
2012 99 104 +5
2011 102 108 +6
2010 98 103 +5

Shows how wonderful that 2010-2013 period truly was, I miss it!

 

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9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

How and why the hell does the rainfall always miss this area?  See that area between Valley Stream and Oceanside lol?  All we get is flashes of lightning and power outages, but no rain.  What's the reason this happens?

We did have rain this morning but it was general stratiform rain (welcome though, especially without lightning, which I don't like seeing since it causes power outages here.)

 

Looks like absolutely nothing happened here, the moon is out and no signs of any clouds anywhere.

 

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36 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

huh how are you getting that weird rainy weather when you're on long island just like I am?  We just had a few flashes of lightning and no rainfall of consequence.  We had enough of that this morning though.

 

I’m in Jericho, that storm was parked over us for a couple of hours. CG lightning was insane here, back home in Lindenhurst I would have probably been in the same boat as you lol

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19 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said:

I’m in Jericho, that storm was parked over us for a couple of hours. CG lightning was insane here, back home in Lindenhurst I would have probably been in the same boat as you lol

Funny how these storms always seem to do this.  It's like a repeating pattern.  Cant be a coincidence.

The electrical grid is so fragile here that a couple of distant lightning flashes takes the power down lol.

 

 

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Morning thoughts…

Today will become mostly sunny and very warm. Temperatures will rise to the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 89°

Newark: 93°

Philadelphia: 93°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.1°; 15-Year: 86.2°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.8°; 15-Year: 88.2°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.7°; 15-Year: 88.7°

Tomorrow will be partly cloudy and hot.

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31 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Morning thoughts…

Today will become mostly sunny and very warm. Temperatures will rise to the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 89°

Newark: 93°

Philadelphia: 93°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.1°; 15-Year: 86.2°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.8°; 15-Year: 88.2°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.7°; 15-Year: 88.7°

Tomorrow will be partly cloudy and hot.

With the downsloping wind, could JFK beat NYC in temps the next two days, Don, and get to 90+ both days?

 

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Another 2.31 on the North Shore with the thunderstorms last night.  This brings the Port Washington total to 14.31 for July so far. This probably ranks among the heaviest July rainfall totals ever recorded on Long Island.

NY-NS-27 
Port Washington 0.8 N 
Lat: 40.839167 
Lon: -73.68025 
* indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report
Station         NY-NS-27
Date Precip in.
07/01/2021 1.04
07/02/2021 1.12
07/03/2021 2.26
07/04/2021 0.79
07/05/2021 0.00
07/06/2021 0.00
07/07/2021 0.43
07/08/2021 0.01
07/09/2021 3.07
07/10/2021 2.06
07/11/2021 0.02
07/12/2021 0.21
07/13/2021 0.04
07/14/2021 0.02
07/15/2021 T
07/16/2021 0.00
07/17/2021 0.00
07/18/2021 0.28
07/19/2021 0.05
07/20/2021 0.01
07/21/2021 T
07/22/2021 0.34
07/23/2021 0.01
07/24/2021 0.00
07/25/2021 0.22
07/26/2021 2.33
Totals :  14.31 in.

 

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Just now, bluewave said:

Another 2.31 on the North Shore with the thunderstorms last night.  This brings the Port Washington total to 14.31 for July so far. This probably qualifies among the heaviest July rainfall totals recorded on Long Island.

NY-NS-27 
Port Washington 0.8 N 
Lat: 40.839167 
Lon: -73.68025 
* indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report
Station         NY-NS-27
Date Precip in.
07/01/2021 1.04
07/02/2021 1.12
07/03/2021 2.26
07/04/2021 0.79
07/05/2021 0.00
07/06/2021 0.00
07/07/2021 0.43
07/08/2021 0.01
07/09/2021 3.07
07/10/2021 2.06
07/11/2021 0.02
07/12/2021 0.21
07/13/2021 0.04
07/14/2021 0.02
07/15/2021 T
07/16/2021 0.00
07/17/2021 0.00
07/18/2021 0.28
07/19/2021 0.05
07/20/2021 0.01
07/21/2021 T
07/22/2021 0.34
07/23/2021 0.01
07/24/2021 0.00
07/25/2021 0.22
07/26/2021 2.33
Totals :  14.31 in.

 

Several years ago, I remember the SW part of Nassau county had flooding rainfalls with a stalled storm in July, do you remember this Chris?  Basements were flooded, and I believe JFK got between 4 and 5 inches of rain?  This isn't the 10 inch deluge that happened here in August 2011, this was a much more localized event that only hit southern Queens and SW Nassau county.

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The last 6 days of July are averaging 78degs.(70/87), or +1.

Month to date is  76.2[-1.4].       July should end at  76.5[-1.0].

73*(90%RH) here at 6am., hazy blue.      Had heavy, low hanging white smoke, covering area till 7:30am from 4-Alarm fire {mop up operations on the 4th.}on West 28th. St. & Mermaid Ave.       78*(84%RH) at 9am.       80* by 9:30am.        83* by 11am.        85* by 11:30am.          86* at Noon.          87* at 12:45pm---but back to 85* at 1pm.          After two hour hiatus, the T up to 89* by 3:30pm.        91* at 5pm.

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NYC got a nice storm last night that pushed precipitation to 10" for the month...first time since 2013 that happened in Manhattan...

amount month year...

10.00" July 2021

10.10" June 2013
18.95" August 2011
10.69" March 2010
13.05" April 2007
16.73" October 2005
11.51" September 2004
10.27" June 2003
12.36" August 1990
10.24" May 1989
14.01" April 1983
10.54" March 1983
10.41" March 1980
10.52" January 1979
12.26" November 1977
11.77" July 1975
12.41" November 1972
10.86" August 1955
10.30" September 1944
11.96" September 1934
10.09" September 1933
12.97" October 1913
13.31" October 1903
11.89" July 1889
16.85" September 1882

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Just now, uncle W said:

NYC got a nice storm last night that pushed precipitation to 10" for the month...first time since 2013 that happened in Manhattan...

amount month year...

10.00" July 2021

10.10" June 2013
18.95" August 2011
10.69" March 2010
13.05" April 2007
16.73" October 2005
11.51" September 2004
10.27" June 2003
12.36" August 1990
10.24" May 1989
14.01" April 1983
10.54" March 1983
10.41" March 1980
10.52" January 1979
12.26" November 1977
11.77" July 1975
12.41" November 1972
10.86" August 1955
10.30" September 1944
11.96" September 1934
10.09" September 1933
12.97" October 1913
13.31" October 1903
11.89" July 1889
16.85" September 1882

and 2013 was our last truly peak heat summer- it hit 100 that month at JFK!

 

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6 minutes ago, uncle W said:

NYC got a nice storm last night that pushed precipitation to 10" for the month...first time since 2013 that happened in Manhattan...

amount month year...

10.00" July 2021

10.10" June 2013
18.95" August 2011
10.69" March 2010
13.05" April 2007
16.73" October 2005
11.51" September 2004
10.27" June 2003
12.36" August 1990
10.24" May 1989
14.01" April 1983
10.54" March 1983
10.41" March 1980
10.52" January 1979
12.26" November 1977
11.77" July 1975
12.41" November 1972
10.86" August 1955
10.30" September 1944
11.96" September 1934
10.09" September 1933
12.97" October 1913
13.31" October 1903
11.89" July 1889
16.85" September 1882

damn August 2011 was so close to 20" I'm sure parts of Long Island hit it in August 2011 just like they did in October 2005.  I know western Long Island had 10" in just one Saturday event in August 2011.  Has JFK ever had 20" in one month?

and lol @ March and April 1983, back to back 10"+ months!  Had accumulating snow as late as April 19-20 that year too!

and 1933 and 1934 had back to back Septembers with 10"+ must have been an active tropics that decade lol. 1938 was only a few years away.....and 1944 a few years after that.

 

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That storm last night lasted surprisingly long. Had some minor basement flooding as well. Pushing a foot of rain in July. Small green space outside is now an out of control rain forest this month. 

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3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

With the downsloping wind, could JFK beat NYC in temps the next two days, Don, and get to 90+ both days?

 

If the sea breeze can be held off, there is a chance of that happening. That outcome is probably more likely today than it is tomorrow.

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