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June 2021


Stormlover74
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The next 8 days are averaging 75degs.(67/84) or Normal.

Month to date is  73.3[+2.6].          Should be about 73.9[+1.9] by the 30th.

T's will retrograde today and be under 60* by sunset.     Rain chances from Noon to 5pm.

71*(97%RH) here at 6am, scattered clouds.       77* by 11am.       66* by 7pm.

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Morning thoughts...

Today will be variably cloudy and it will turn noticeably cooler. Showers and thundershowers are likely. Temperatures will likely reach the middle and upper 70s in most places this morning before falling sharply during the afternoon and evening hours.  Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 75°

Newark: 78°

Philadelphia: 76°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 81.7°; 15-Year: 81.6°

Newark: 30-Year: 84.0°; 15-Year: 84.0°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 85.2°; 15-Year: 85.4°

Tomorrow will be fair and pleasant.

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78 and sunny but that will be short lived as clouds and rain move in over the next couple of hours.  Cold front clear out and we setup a gorgeous couple of days Wed (6/23) and Thu (6/24) sunny dry and mid to upper 70s.

The season of the Western Atlantic Ridge.  ECM emphatic of westward expanding ridge pushing up a south/southwest flow and higher heights in the Fri 6/26 - early Jul.   Warming 850s should offer the chance at 90 or low 90s and high humidity 6/28 - early July.  Rockies ridge and heat factory is rolling and pieces of that heat can get connected with the Western Atlantic Ridge as we head into July.

With the humidity and ridge pushing along the EC, storms will fire similar to a Miami-style pattern and front hung up west of the area.  

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1 hour ago, SACRUS said:

Jul 14 - Jul 21 , 2013 saw 7 days of mid 90s - low 100s in the area.  That expansion saw the ridge push to 600DCM into the area.

one of the hottest stretches here in recent memory-then the rubberband snapped and late July and Aug were cool

 

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5 hours ago, bluewave said:

These long range runs start to lose reliability after about 7 to 10 days. That’s why I mention what needs to happen for a certain outcome. The record heat and ridging out West is closer to the June 2015 to 2020 composite. But the magnitude  of the Western heat and ridging is in a class by itself this June. Notice how much stronger the heat out West and ridging is than the recent June composite. This makes sense given such an extreme drought. So we’ll have to see how the drought feedback influences the ridge pattern as we move into July.

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891A76AA-268F-45F6-A0BE-1B5CB14B03D3.png.66b9a08b4b1a3b06d4d7e778615db27a.png

Forecast for more record ridging and heat over the Western US in late June

 


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Did I see that right that Seattle could hit 100 degrees on Saturday?

When was the last time that happened- it must be really rare!

I've also heard that boating is banned on Lake Tahoe because the levels of the lake are so low that trash is showing up that people have been thoughtlessly dumping into the lake over the last few decades!  800 pounds of trash taken out yesterday!

 

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45 minutes ago, bluewave said:

If Seattle can make it to 100°, then it would be a first for June.

 

Time Series Summary for Seattle Tacoma Area, WA (ThreadEx) - Month of Jun
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Rank
Year
Highest Max Temperature 
Missing Count
1 2017 96 0
- 1995 96 0
- 1955 96 0
2 2019 95 0
3 2002 94 0
- 1982 94 0
- 1970 94 0



 

 

wow the top 3 in that list eventually got very hot here too.

1955 and 1995 moreso than 2017 which was more humid than hot but still.....

2002 was very hot for us too.
 

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