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SQLN severe risk 6P-10P, then wind advisory CAA G40KT early Monday


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Very little lightning but convective for sure. At times, am in awe of the modeling. Sig Tor Parm and Supercell Composite predictors this morning from there HRRR/NAM 3k and still this afternoon, kept focusing a pocket of notable values up I95 from BWI toward Monmouth.  Looks to me like widespread 30-35kt N of I78 in NJ and 40-45 kt s of I78, with the iso 50-60kt as others have added + LSR's.  Offline... have a night.

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Thanks for all!

 

Added the LSR's for SVR- see axis Mid-Atlantic to w LI,  and the wind advisory LSR reports vicinity I90 northward (NYS-MA) and then the OKX graphic of max wind gusts today.  That should be the wrap on this short fused topic.  Not doing anything on snow for 4/1-2, unless there is a marked change eastward toward NYC (beyond the NAM). Probably good to continue snow conversation in the April topic. 

Screen_Shot_2021-03-29_at_4_38.54_PM.png

Screen Shot 2021-03-29 at 4.40.10 PM.png

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