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NorthHillsWx

February 18-19 MAJOR Ice Storm Threat

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Clouds have moved into the Raleigh area. Any potential for radiational cooling is gone. Temp 44, DP 25. Not looking like the immediate Raleigh area is at risk for exceeding ice expectations. Usually need that DP in the teens to around 20 to get it done here

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42 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The Weather Channel App has my area reaching 37 degrees tomorrow afternoon... nothing that I have seen in the guidance shows that...

Are you certain that isnt a midnight high temp?  Would make more sense.

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7 minutes ago, weatherlover said:

Or our dewpoint stuck at where they are? Or will they continue to drop once the sunsets?

Sunset has nothing to do with the dew points. They will lower sun or not by cold dry air from the NE. Temps and dew points will lower cloud cover or not as well. 
 

Use the link below and choose the observations tab to see current temp and dew point. That dry air to the NE is what will continue to be blown in and just how that plays out determines who gets more ice and who gets less. 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17#

What you will see tomorrow is that even though precip moves in the dew point will barely move because dry air is being pumped in. Even if you are 44/25 or whatever now that will change a lot. 

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7 minutes ago, GunBlade said:

Sunset has nothing to do with the dew points. They will lower sun or not by cold dry air from the NE. Temps and dew points will lower cloud cover or not as well. 
 

Use the link below and choose the observations tab to see current temp and dew point. That dry air to the NE is what will continue to be blown in and just how that plays out determines who gets more ice and who gets less. 

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17#

What you will see tomorrow is that even though precip moves in the dew point will barely move because dry air is being pumped in. Even if you are 44/25 or whatever now that will change a lot. 

Thank you!

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13 minutes ago, Avdave said:

Man that US 58 corridor in the southside will just be unreal by tomorrow evening.   

 

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I have a buddy in South Boston who got nailed last time, told him this one may be worse

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All the way up to 40/22. Southern Stokes County   (Walnut Cove). We are a 3 miles from the Duke Power power plant and I swear the steam from the stacks makes it warmer here.

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Got the camper pulled up to the house. Our house is on a well so when we lose power we lose water. Got the water and propane tanks to the camper all filled up so we can have it as backup. It also has solar power. Hoping we don't have to use it but thankful we have it if we do.

27E540BE-8208-4159-B936-CB7782D84A5B.jpeg

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