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stormtracker

February 18/19th Storm Potential

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@Bob Chill

i try to do some of the pertinent panels. Sorry to use the precip type plots but I dont have time to parse every panel right now. 
 

Morning thump colder and thumpier

4066133D-7BE7-4CAF-BF39-0E998E9DAE3C.gif.1f3c065581441b6009d56163b0e6944d.gif

 

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

It’s a pretty weenie run for MD north of DC. Probably all snow or nearly all snow. 

I don't think the 850s get above -2 north of I-70, unless I'm seeing something incorrectly.

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Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

I don't think the 850s get above -2 north of I-70, unless I'm seeing something incorrectly.

That was a filthy run for the northern crew down to the ICC. Sweet thump and all snow. 

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1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

It’s a pretty weenie run for MD north of DC. Probably all snow or nearly all snow. 

Take a blend of the GFS and Euro and lock it up.

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@Ji I’m just celebrating the survival of my pack. Temp is still around 40 but the dews are crashing now and so the melting is about done and it survived. I want a month straight of cover which is very possible if this next storm doesn’t disappoint. 

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3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I don't think the 850s get above -2 north of I-70, unless I'm seeing something incorrectly.

700 colder than 0z also. Still trending the right direction on euro at least with <48hrs to go.

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

700 colder than 0z also. Still trending the right direction on euro at least with <48hrs to go.

Will be interested to see what the EPS has. This is the last suites where I'd look at the ensembles.

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Euro says single digits for everyone outside the city centers Sunday morning.

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Just now, MN Transplant said:

Single digits for most of us outside the city cores on Sunday morning.

Gonna be an icebox and will become hard to melt. I can't wait.

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Some slight changes at h5. Southern stream wave digs a bit deeper and the northern stream does the opposite: 

1613692800-3SK1JDoWU3M.png

Weaker storm generally, run to run compared with 00z.

Pressure off the coast, Friday 09z:

  • Last night: 1004mb.
  • This run: 1012mb.

 

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11 minutes ago, DDweatherman said:

That was a filthy run for the northern crew down to the ICC. Sweet thump and all snow. 

I live a literal stones throw north of the ICC near NH Ave, so I'll hug this run.

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3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

@Bob Chill

biggest change was shifted well south with the second wave Thursday evening. Now snow all the way to just NW of 95. 
4252A10D-8DCB-47CF-8105-3C05A2ABEFD1.gif.1d245ff5a5782841ef8625b92294cbde.gif

we havent seen a trend like that since Jan 2019. When are the NAMs going to fold?

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Just now, snowfan said:

@mappy when will the watches be posted?

Eventually. 

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29 minutes ago, EHoffman said:

Dramatic QPF cutoff NW of DC at 60 vs 6z.

 

29 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Yeah defintely a healthier preciptation shield at 48

Gotta love it...

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7 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said:

complete minus EPS for 12Z 

SREF and NAMs really pulling down the average, would like to see them join in by 00Z tonight

 

Screen Shot 2021-02-16 at 1.22.50 PM.png

Love it. Going up instead of the normal

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