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Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event


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15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The thing that makes the Pope look really bad is he was so adamant he was going to be right.. was very smug about it. Then when he was 110% wrong... he didn’t own up to and admit his mistake. He just stopped posting. Everyone makes mistakes and busts. But own  up to it @jbenedet. Learn and understand why it happened and where you went wrong. Your’re fresh out of college and young. Don’t just run away with the deflated football. It’s a really bad look 

Take a page from the Rev playbook, all he needs to do is throw out of a forecast for the next one and the people will forget. 

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Just now, SouthCoastMA said:

What is the V16 vs the FV3. I haven't been following the GFS iterations. Also, which one of those is the Para GFS

All of the GFS is now running an FV3 model core (which is why people refer to it as the FV3). V16 is the coming upgrade to the GFS, this upgrade will actually change model physics vs the FV3 which just changed model capability and scalability. Because they need to test the V16 to ensure no bugs, it is run in parallel to the operational GFS to test performance. So the V16 and parallel are the same.

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4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said:

All of the GFS is now running an FV3 model core (which is why people refer to it as the FV3). V16 is the coming upgrade to the GFS, this upgrade will actually change model physics vs the FV3 which just changed model capability and scalability. Because they need to test the V16 to ensure no bugs, it is run in parallel to the operational GFS to test performance. So the V16 and parallel are the same.

Is being bad at depicting likely outcomes considered a bug? LOL

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20 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Is being bad at depicting likely outcomes considered a bug? LOL

Do you want the honest answer? :lol:

The parallel test phase really just ensures that the model runs properly, is realistic, and doesn't seriously degrade the forecast from the current version.

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