Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[NorEastermass128]

Race to slot for SEMA. Might slot before any changeover. Goods get into CNE and NNE too. 

[Hoth]

Just now, weathafella said:

Keep throwing the maps up Hoth!

Break out the Crown, Jer!

[PhineasC]

NAM is more tucked and still great for everyone.

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

It's the NAM.

This has to be a record of how many times the nam was mentioned per minute

[NorEastermass128]

Hour 54. Still ripping in BOS. 

[CT Rain]

the NAM would be unreal for NYC and especially suburbs just N&W with that 700mb low stall. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

30 for @MJO812 

[skierinvermont]

3 minutes ago, skierinvermont said:

Are any of the models other than the GFS close to redeveloping the precip Tuesday night? 

This storm is so unusual. The stronger surface low is still off of Delaware Tuesday 8am and doesn't reach 40/70 until Wednesday 1am. The GFS was damn close to making this into two storms. I doubt that happens as I've never seen it.. but super cool. The weaker low goes off to the NE monday night but if the Delaware low could be even more dominant it could redevelop the precip..

this is for 1am WEDNESDAY ... trying to get going again

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Break out the Crown, Jer!

Oh yeah!

[Bostonseminole]

That's a NAM pounding

[78Blizzard]

3 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Hour 54... 6z 2/2... huge hit on eastern SNE... actually a tick colder than 18z

Is it fair to say that strangely enough, NAM has been one of the more consistent models today?

Maybe this will be one of those rare instances where the NAM leads the way.

[NorEastermass128]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

30 for @MJO812 

Nudity in SW CT. Congrats if it plays out like that. 

[Henry's Weather]

2 feet in NYC on that run

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, NorEastermass128 said:

Nudity in SW CT. Congrats if it plays out like that. 

Another 5min before the nam high wears off but a boy can dream nude.

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, skierinvermont said:

this is for 1am WEDNESDAY ...

You sure that’s this run?   Here’s the image I have and composite radar

 

 

[78Blizzard]

2"/hr rates Monday 7pm to 1am.

[wxsniss]

0z NAM 10:1

[NorEastermass128]

Kuchera looks more realistic. 

[dendrite]

3k NAM a lot more tame.

[skierinvermont]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

You sure that’s this run?   Here’s the composite..

 

 

 

Mine was the 18z GFS for 1am WEDNESDAY.. trying to figure out if the 2nd surface low could redevelop the precip Tuesday night like the GFS tries to. Right now the precip ends Tuesday morning while the strongest surface low is still just off Delaware. Weird stuff.

[Hoth]

Ermagawd.

[NorEastermass128]

Just now, dendrite said:

3k NAM a lot more tame.

 

[Bostonseminole]

WB clown map looks good

[Greg]

Kuchera is not realistic, we've been over this. 10-1 is.

[dryslot]

Just now, dendrite said:

3k NAM a lot more tame.

12k into the edibles.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, dendrite said:

3k NAM a lot more tame.

also a massive jump towards 12km nam, was more like rgem earlier.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Greg said:

Kuchera is not realistic, we've been over this. 10-1 is.

Don't agree, not for the areas that experience banding for several hours, snow growth is off the charts.  Kuchera is off in areas that don't experience banding yes. 

[78Blizzard]

2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Kuchera looks more realistic. 

Not with 2" qpf here and all snow.

[NorEastermass128]

Just now, Greg said:

Kuchera is not realistic, we've been over this. 10-1 is.

I guess I should say more realistic for inside 495. 

[Hoth]

NAM actually did a good job here in December. Sniffed out our dry slot/mixing issues. Let's hope it's not hitting the bottle here.