Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[Connecticut Appleman]

10 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Your sister's on a date

You just look at weather maps and _____________

Says the man who is checking out the weather charts to see if it it safe to go outside

[STILL N OF PIKE]

When is our next opportunity for a dopamine drip ...nam at 0z?

I got a feeling it's gonna ..be a tickle or more NW..

 

 

[tunafish]

30 minutes ago, dryslot said:

 

Run right out of my basement 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

I mean, that’s a pretty good look.  The thermals are at the end of the panel obviously, so that snow has already fallen even if it warms up after.

Its not just me right? Wish WSI had 18Z and someone would post it

[IowaStorm05]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

When is our next opportunity for a dopamine drip ...nam at 0z?

I got a feeling it's gonna ..be a tickle or more NW...as long as i get a nice little 1-2" refresher on the front end, i will be pleased

It would make sense to me if it was more NW. In a perfect or at least expected world, all the outlying loner models drift closer to one another before the system arrives 

[dryslot]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Its not just me right? Wish WSI had 18Z and someone would post it

Are you ok?

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

When is our next opportunity for a dopamine drip ...nam at 0z?

I got a feeling it's gonna ..be a tickle or more NW..

 

.as long as i get a nice little 1-2" refresher on the front end, i will be pleased

all this tracking.. nah, If I get 1-2" I'm going to join scooter in the pond..

 

wonder if DIT will think this is the funniest thing I've ever said.

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

I’m still convinced this front end thump is for real and it’ll be mostly snow for a lot of the forum.  Models seem to be struggling a bit on the low level temps a bit and determining where that changeover occurs.  The levels above there look plenty cold.   1-2C in the 925mb level are making all the difference in models right now.  

1-2 degrees warmer at H925 across e MA..depending where you are.

I'd have some mixing here, but should be mainly snow.

 

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

They drunk . No me 

Premature emeltulations

 

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, dryslot said:

Are you ok?

yeah,, we are just discussing the trend NW and how many of us are on the fringes.. I'm still good for 10-14" but my confidence has decreased a bit.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

1-2 degrees warmer at H925 across e MA..depending where you are.

I'd have some mixing here, but should be mainly snow.

 

By then heavy precip is long gone

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

precip is also long gone by that time , it wraps up 6 or so hours earlier, here are the temps when heavy stuff is winding down.. surface is a bit warm yes, 925s and up plenty cold during steady precip, temps just off the deck don't warm until things shut off.  I will be watching surface temp trends though. 

Thanks man.  

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Are you ok?

Absolutely why? 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

How long is this long duration storm if the precip is gone by 12z Tuesday.

For Mainers, is the Euro on it's own with that secondary low shooting N into GOM at under 990 mb, this is  just  a pretty funky set up for Maine, not exactly high confidence in that area. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

How long is this long duration storm if the precip is long by 12z Tuesday.

Looks basically 7p to 7a in eastern ma 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

When is our next opportunity for a dopamine drip ...nam at 0z?

I got a feeling it's gonna ..be a tickle or more NW..

 

 

DIT says it can't come further NW.

[dryslot]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Absolutely why? 

That SV map i posted kind of spooked you it seemed.

[powderfreak]

5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Its not just me right? Wish WSI had 18Z and someone would post it

No it’s not just you, the bulk looks to fall as a front end thump of snow.  A very heavy thump.  It warms up down there with the dry slot even on the tucked solutions... the total net gain is significant either way.

Precip is long gone for most when it might go above 0C.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

How long is this long duration storm if the precip is long by 12z Tuesday.

Who said long duration? Backside light snows extend out though

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, dryslot said:

That SV map i posted kind of spooked you it seemed.

Wrong information is wrong. Not spooked just gave a lot of people wrong information

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

EPS beefed up as expected. The op also looks like it was on left goalpost too.

[moneypitmike]

 

27 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

This is a thing of beauty for me......stop that warmth intrusion right now though.  That stormvista map is spooky.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That SV map i posted kind of spooked you it seemed.

Ya, I was playing the role of the Media today. I asked for someone to post that map  ..wanting that particular take/perspective to emit a dramatic reaction ..and boom.. ratings

[dryslot]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Wrong information is wrong. Not spooked just gave a lot of people wrong information

So blame the vendor not the poster, Someone asked i posted it, WTF??

[NorEastermass128]

Why are those Euro clown maps night and day?

[dryslot]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ya, I was playing the role of the Media today. I asked for someone to post something from the perspective to emit a dramatic reaction ..and boom.. ratings

Some on here should sit back and take a fukin break.

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, dryslot said:

Some on here should sit back and take a fukin break.

can't trust those posters from Lewiston Maine

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

Why are those Euro clown maps night and day?

The wxbell is a bit optimistic, SV is pessimistic....I would probably lean 2/3 in favor of wxbell, though.

[PhineasC]

17 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

When is our next opportunity for a dopamine drip ...nam at 0z?

I got a feeling it's gonna ..be a tickle or more NW..

 

 

The trend is still happening. 

[Bostonseminole]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The wxbell is a bit optimistic, SV is pessimistic....I would probably lean 2/3 in favor of wxbell, though.

what did your model say? the one you always post