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BullCityWx

January 8th-9th threat

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Best run for the upstate yet... backside band crushes us mid-morning.  That backside stuff can be fickle. Been burned many times before on that action. Just have to hope it works out. 

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1 minute ago, BullCityWx said:

10.7” for RDU and basically nothing for south wake. 

Stuart Va went from 8" on the HRRR to zero on the NAM.  Dont want to be on the wrong side of the railroad tracks with this one.  Difference between a touchdown and a pick6.

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Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

Wow 3k NAM completely shuts out VA. 

Yea not what I was expecting with beginning of 0z runs... drier overall on front end. HRRR looked good and I would say runs of 0z suites would still be of a meaningful purpose. Anything past 12z tomorrow would pretty much completely switch over to Hi-res

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3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Stuart Va went from 8" on the HRRR to zero on the NAM.  Dont want to be on the wrong side of the railroad tracks with this one.  Difference between a touchdown and a pick6.

And as a bengals fan....

 

I kid I kid 

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What’s the deal with this 850mb jet? Feel like there should be some precip enhancement with it especially near the escarpment,but it doesn’t show on radar. 

C80AB715-E665-4E4E-8753-1EA9F00D7988.jpeg

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Arw pummels the upstate and mountains bits it’s literally 6 hours quicker with the backside precip???? All done here by 7am?

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For those stuck in the dry slot, could be be a pretty frustrating event, looks promising to start, get a dusting, then hours of drizzle/light snow. For those at the pivot point, it could be pretty epic: a couple inches on the front end, then possibly mixing with sleet, then a couple more inches as the deform band rolls through. The triad could go either way at this point, but 1"+ is feeling pretty solid right now

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22 minutes ago, burrel2 said:

Best run for the upstate yet... backside band crushes us mid-morning.  That backside stuff can be fickle. Been burned many times before on that action. Just have to hope it works out. 

On the positive side it’s an ULL not a backend deform band.  Much more likely to score from an ULL depending on the track. 
 

 

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