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BullCityWx

January 8th-9th threat

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Tough for TV mets with a storm like this, where they like to broad brush accum amounts. Given banding, someone will verify or bust high, and someone will not come close.

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1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Biggest run yet of the Euro for mountains and foothills boom

Hi Res Nam and euro combo I’ll take it to the bank every time 

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The Euro definitely moves quicker and hugs the coast less than the NAM, which is one reason for the discrepancy. I think the hires NAM works as a decent middle ground (although I'd definitely think less than it depicts Is likely)

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22 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

The Euro may very well be right for the mountains but I don't believe the moisture gets shut off east of there as modeled... especially since the NAM was doing the same thing and came around and filled in today 

I tend to agree. It’s not like we have some mammoth 1046 HP up in Upstate NY. I will just continue to pray the Canadian and the Para GFS are correct. Wouldn’t want to be @Disc in this predicament. Anywhere from dusting to 6” here ouch lol. NC mountains almost a lock to get smoked!

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We can ignore the part about the v16 only being run once a day as it is now available on sites 4 times a day.  Anyway, for those who don't know, Philippe used to post in here out of Greenville, SC as @phil882 and he is now a forecaster at the National Hurricane Center

 

nIc9vN9.png

https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1339608830007799810?s=20

 

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