40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 My guess is decent snow will make it on a line from ORH to Holliston to Weymouth. 1 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ORH_wxman Posted January 21 Historically a -PNA/-NAO pattern is actually pretty good for us. Though December seems to benefit the most from it....but Jan/Feb are also favorable. We're just enduring a Jan '69 at the moment...hopefully it turns. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: My guess is decent snow will make it on a line from ORH to Holliston to Weymouth. How about Scooters hometown of S Wey? 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Historically a -PNA/-NAO pattern is actually pretty good for us. Though December seems to benefit the most from it....but Jan/Feb are also favorable. We're just enduring a Jan '69 at the moment...hopefully it turns. Yes, that is what pisses me off...when we were headed into this....I was like, Feb 1969 and Jan 2011.....cool. Obviously not redux, but this can work. But not with that ridge axis....the little shit that porks you that just can't be foreseen. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 21 13 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Yea like someone ripped open a pillow in front of a fan. Some of the heaviest of the winter, almost 1/2" down. Yeah, wife says almost 1/2” at home. Snow globe snow. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, wife says almost 1/2” at home. Snow globe snow. I don't think I had that much...it was only discernible on the deck. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MJO812 Posted January 21 Gfs looks great with the 2nd wave. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DavisStraight Posted January 21 Just started here too, another day, another coating 2 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 Just now, DavisStraight said: Just started here too, another day, another coating Just Enough for them to dump salt and destroy roads and vehicles like they’ve been doing. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 21 I thought gfs would be better at the surface with the primary being further north like that so yea, still squashed. Better for the 28th as well. We may be slowly poking holes in our snow shiled. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dryslot Posted January 21 If i had a choice (which i don't) between cutter or suppression, I'd take my chances with the cutters, At least there would be a chance and most likely, It would be snow not far from here. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 1 minute ago, dryslot said: If i had a choice (which i don't) between cutter or suppression, I'd take my chances with the cutters, At least there would be a chance and most likely, It would be snow not far from here. I think anywhere north of rt 2 would, at this point. I would....assuming the tilted heights do not change. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
NorEastermass128 Posted January 21 44 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Feb 1 is the only decent signal to me on the EPS. Nice....just 10 more days... 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Nice....just 10 more days... Don't sleep on 1/29, so maybe 8!! 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Yukon Cornelius Posted January 21 23 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Yea like someone ripped open a pillow in front of a fan. Some of the heaviest of the winter, almost 1/2" down. Yup, same here - if only this would continue for 12 hours at a clip vs 12 minutes. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CoastalWx Posted January 21 Canadian moved quite a bit north at 12z. Gets some snows into the region. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dryslot Posted January 21 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Nice....just 10 more days... Actually, Out of all the last 3 -10 day looks we've had, This one looks the most favorable period i think. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Henry's Weather Posted January 21 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My guess is decent snow will make it on a line from ORH to Holliston to Weymouth. that's about exactly what the GGEM shows Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
dryslot Posted January 21 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Canadian moved quite a bit north at 12z. Gets some snows into the region. How much for Philly? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Henry's Weather said: that's about exactly what the GGEM shows Euro, too. Makes sense....ORH is always just far enough in one direction (this time SW) and Will in Holliston and Scott in Weymouth always find a way to do well. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 21 That comment deserves a weenie, Kev, but I'm actually serious. These seasonal tenors can not be ignored once we reach a certain point. Watch...mark my words....Will is going to measure like 4" in Holliston, while I'll be lucky to see flakes. I'm dead serious. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Modfan2 Posted January 21 18 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Just started here too, another day, another coating Snow squalling your way to an inch! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PowderBeard Posted January 21 Pack is back lol 4 4 1 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Typhoon Tip Posted January 21 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Historically a -PNA/-NAO pattern is actually pretty good for us. Though December seems to benefit the most from it....but Jan/Feb are also favorable. We're just enduring a Jan '69 at the moment...hopefully it turns. Yeah... I don't mean to lord this idea ..or abase what you just said there, because you're right - but I suspect there is some era/climate -relativity in the usefulness of the distinction. In concise terms, I think the velocity saturation/surplusing we are seeing ( anomalous wind speed in the balanced atmospheric state ) over the last 10 years ..is taking its "interpretive toll" on the teleconnector relationships. I mean in simplest terms, the -PNA/-NAO of 1955 ... isn't the same affair now. But I was just trying to add some plausible reasons why - running blocks at 60+N with 110 knot "NON -S/W" wind fields underneath is a desctructive interference scheme... We'll see how the next 7 to 10 days of this -NAO is handled ... I think we can 'squeeze' a needle thread. In fact, I am actually highly confident that some vestigial jet stream mechanics will ignite some limited overrunning/ANA ..if not weak low but the latitude it escapes the EC and impacts while doing so, ...prooobably comes down to that elephant ass polar circulation ( "Scooter streak" I think we joked in the past ??) hanging over top of us ... I have noticed a lot of run to run high sensitivity on where said axis of any system moves is directly being position when the GFS has been bumping that stream NE and SW of previous modeled axis. It seems overall .. the guidance' want the system but are having issues with up N. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 21 Pretty nice look on the CMC down this way. GFS still going through the grinder Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland Posted January 21 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: That comment deserves a weenie, Kev, but I'm actually serious. These seasonal tenors can not be ignored once we reach a certain point. Watch...mark my words....Will is going to measure like 4" in Holliston, while I'll be lucky to see flakes. I'm dead serious. Will jacks in most events it seems 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 21 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't think I had that much...it was only discernible on the deck. I wasn’t expecting a snowy morning so it’s been a nice surprise. At least everything is white for a few hours. 3 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GCWarrior Posted January 21 Deep winter up in Savoy on my drive though this morning. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 21 Just now, GCWarrior said: Deep winter up in Savoy on my drive though this morning. Yeah, friend in Heath got close to 2” of feathers. Do you commute to North Adams? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DavisStraight Posted January 21 9 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Pack is back lol At least it looks and feels like winter Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
