December 16/17 Winter Event

[jaydreb]

Stronger hp at 60.  

[Chris78]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

GFS is a little stronger with tomorrow's wave. Should make for a better 50/50.

Nice CAD down to GA again at 60

Also the high is 2 mb stronger 

[SnowLover22]

4 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said:

 

 

at hour 42 on the gfs, the heights are lower at 12z vs 00z on the east coast. This is a good sign for the I-95 Crew. Also confluence is pushing further S on the 12z vs 00z.

at hour 69, the 850s seem to be colder on the east coast with the 0 C line pressing further south vs 6z. 

[psuhoffman]

19 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

Rgem looks like the NAM 

It’s a crazy dump before dryslot north of DC and NW of 95 though. 

[clskinsfan]

72 Snowing in Roanoke. 850 line at VA NC Border. This should be a nice run. 

78 Snowing everywhere. 850 still down around RIC.

81. BOOM

[SnowLover22]

the push from the high pressure is considerably stronger guys. This should be good.

[Eskimo Joe]

12z GFS looks good so far.

[LP08]

At 81...thumping with the 850 line through EZF

[SnowLover22]

87, DC absolutely destroyed!

[LP08]

84 just off VA beach.  Slightly east than 6z....850 along 95 it seems

[clskinsfan]

84-90 is an absolute crush job out here. Geez. 

[WxWatcher007]

Yeah this looks like a good run. Even with TT showing some mix verbatim for the 95 crew this is a potent CAD and low. 

[LP08]

87 is a 

[stormtracker]

Low position is ideal...but maybe it's TT algorithms, but I'm raining at 84

[Jrlg1181]

4 minutes ago, snowmagnet said:

I think a lot of us are feeling that way.  It's been a completely sucky year and Mother Nature needs to throw us a bone.  I lost my father last month, not due to COVID, and tracking a snowstorm in December is the most fun I've had for quite a while!

I would enjoy a nice peaceful snow and I am rooting for it to occur , prior years I would be stressed over every model run.... but after this past Sept its just not the same.... lost a child..

[MN Transplant]

We lose the column below 850 at DCA at the 21z and 00z panels, but certainly better than the mesoscale models.

[NorthArlington101]

Hate to be the negative person, but DCA still gets to 37 this run. It's 34 at DCA when it starts ripping at 87. Rates would overcome and probably accumulate with the depiction as is but we could still use another jolt SE. That said, we've got three days.

[stormtracker]

oh shit...hour 90

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

1 minute ago, SnowLover22 said:

87, DC absolutely destroyed!

Oh lord please let that happen.  So beautiful, absolute ccb destruction. 

[Ji]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Low position is ideal...but maybe it's TT algorithms, but I'm raining at 84

well it has you at 34 degrees

[Snowchaser]

Charlottesville with 2-3'' inch snowfall rates NICE!!

[nj2va]

The CCM/deform band depicted on the GFS is serious bidness at hr 90 - runs straight the majority of the forum.  Even with cities mixing/flipping to rain, with that deform band depicted, it should make everyone happy.

[Interstate]

I might not know what I am talking about. But I don’t think the H5 looks as good as the 6z

[MN Transplant]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Low position is ideal...but maybe it's TT algorithms, but I'm raining at 84

[stormtracker]

Still going at 96.  Like I said lowlanders, we know we're going to mix, change to rain maybe...the GFS is probably the way we want to do it if we had a choice

[Buddy1987]

Ladies and gents track ain’t gonna get much better than this here. This will make everyone extremely happy for the most part.

[SnowLover22]

Added Bonus gfs screws over NYC and New England. Best news all day.

[clskinsfan]

Good timing on the GFS Deform sets up right at dark. Should help a little with temps as well for you guys to the east. It is an amazing run. 

[LeesburgWx]

Maps for those of us on phone??

[NorthArlington101]