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Winter 2020-2021 Banter


Rtd208
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15 minutes ago, Juliancolton said:

I dunno, man. Judah Cohen seems excited about the SSW, and when did he ever lead us astray?

Lol

Tbh, I actually think it happens this time but I have no clue what that actually means for us.  For all I know the PV gets stuck on the other side of the globe.    

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2 hours ago, Rjay said:

Lol

Tbh, I actually think it happens this time but I have no clue what that actually means for us.  For all I know the PV gets stuck on the other side of the globe.    

I cant wait until humankind advances to the point that we can geoengineer the climate so we wont have to bitch about something we cant control.

 

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10 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

peak winter usually begins in the latter part of January.

but anyway this is probably more common than not hitting 90 in July.

I actually looked it up and historically speaking the coldest day of the year in NYC on average is January 29th. Surprised me quite a bit. Not surprisingly February is the snowiest month at Central Park.

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On 12/28/2020 at 9:21 AM, Allsnow said:

No way...name your last blizzard and I’ll pull the h5 map up

all snow (like your name! lol)....our last blizzard was in Jan 2018 I believe and Jan 2016 before that.  We need that blocking, even if the NAO is rising when the storm hits, there's much more often than not a big NAO block prior to the event.

 

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On 12/28/2020 at 12:26 PM, NJwx85 said:

I actually looked it up and historically speaking the coldest day of the year in NYC on average is January 29th. Surprised me quite a bit. Not surprisingly February is the snowiest month at Central Park.

Funny thing is it's shifted earlier....back in college I found an old weather book that had data from the 1800s, and it looks like February used to be our coldest month.  Both January and February averaged in the 20s, but February was like 2 degrees colder than January on average (27 vs 29).

 

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The SSWE looks like  a Fail for us on the main LR models, leaving out the JMA.         Do not know what the latest is there.   

The benefit over last winter is that blobs of Arctic air may cause a surprise event.        There is no mention of real cold or snow here for this month.       Western Europe is sitting pretty.       Then Russia/Siberia.        We get the leftovers, if any.

In reality these outputs, whether Good or Bad for us are garbage.      We know that when the data for the Northern Winter are complied----there will be 4x the surface area shown as AN compared to the BN.       Just as it is every month, every season and annually.        Quite silly to try to place that patch(es) of Blue ahead of time.

Courtesy of WeatherBell.   The EURO did not update yet, but it was the same as below for D,J,F.

1614556800-E0EwgGOeMuM.png

1614556800-1JYotRyHX0Q.png

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1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

The SSWE looks like  a Fail for us on the main LR models, leaving out the JMA.         Do not know what the latest is there.   

The benefit over last winter is that blobs of Arctic air may cause a surprise event.        There is no mention of real cold or snow here for this month.       Western Europe is sitting pretty.       Then Russia/Siberia.        We get the leftovers, if any.

In reality these outputs, whether Good or Bad for us are garbage.      We know that when the data for the Northern Winter are complied----there will be 4x the surface area shown as AN compared to the BN.       Just as it is every month, every season and annually.        Quite silly to try to place that patch(es) of Blue ahead of time.

Courtesy of WeatherBell.   The EURO did not update yet, but it was the same as below for D,J,F.

1614556800-E0EwgGOeMuM.png

1614556800-1JYotRyHX0Q.png

January

IMG_20210102_124655.thumb.png.ae5d244e315a27ed8678938528161964.png

 

looks warm yet snowy 

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