donsutherland1 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 33 minutes ago, qg_omega said: There was a trace of snow today? There were flurries in parts of the area, including Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 All 3 ensembles now have textbook Greenland blocking developing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 The next 8 days are averaging 43degs.(38/47). Making it 38degs., or +1.0. GFS has aTrace of snow today and that is it. CMC, EURO have action around mid-month. GFS heads for 70* near Christmas. GEFS: The only 5-Day period that is even near Normal is centered on the 18th. 35*(65%RH) here at 6am, thin overcast. (It was 33* near midnight). 36* at 9am. 38* by Noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: All 3 ensembles now have textbook Greenland blocking developing SSW doing its magic ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 8 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, December 1996 style. Greenland blocking linking up with a piece of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Notice the unfavorable Pacific maintaining a mild Pacific airmass across much of the US. AO looks really good on the ensembles. We just have to flip the epo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Morning thoughts... Today will be variably cloudy. Some snow flurries and snow showers are possible. A rain shower is also possible during the afternoon. Some parts of the region could pick up a coating of snow. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper 30s and lower 40s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 38° Newark: 41° Philadelphia: 42° Milder air will return tomorrow and prevail through the remainder of the week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Radar looks nice west of the coast Too bad the mountains will break apart the snow wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 11 minutes ago, bluewave said: That won’t happen anytime soon with the Pacific firehose Pacific Jet and MJO stalled in phase 4-5 There will be a few chances of snow coming up if the blocking actually exists. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 53 minutes ago, MJO812 said: There will be a few chances of snow coming up if the blocking actually exists. Oops snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 20.1 this morning, coldest morning of the fall so far, heavy frost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 51 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Radar looks nice west of the coast Too bad the mountains will break apart the snow wall. A lot of that precip is not reaching the ground- even in the higher elevations. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 9 minutes ago, psv88 said: 20.1 this morning, coldest morning of the fall so far, heavy frost 20 degrees in Long Island ? 36 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: 20 degrees in Long Island ? 36 here Yes. Islip was 21 westhampton was 14 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yes. Islip was 21 westhampton was 14 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: That won’t happen anytime soon with the Pacific firehose Pacific Jet and MJO stalled in phase 4-5 Does it help that it's low amplification? Wonder if it had similar amplification in 1996. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 9 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: There were flurries in parts of the area, including Central Park. I don't see it Don: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 It's definitely coming down in the Catskills. A dusting/coating on most everything, even the roads. Maybe I can sneak 1-2"? Would be surprised if more than 1" fell though. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 31F Frosty run this morning! Feels like snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Last few days have actually felt like winter here with lows in the low 20's and frost everywhere each morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 37 minutes ago, qg_omega said: I don't see it Don: Yesterday there were flurries in NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 5 minutes ago, JoshSnow said: nice snow showers coming up. Suburbs can get a nice dusting with this. I’ll be front I thought it was going to be virga but this is good snow showers coming up Majority of that will be eaten by the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, JoshSnow said: nice snow showers coming up. Suburbs can get a nice dusting with this. I’ll be front I thought it was going to be virga but this is good snow showers coming up That’s quite the ringer volume you have set there but I digress...just some virga in my yard so far, hoping to get some flakes at some point as the heavier echoes move through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 35 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Majority of that will be eaten by the mountains Temps are also getting into the mid-upper 30s now so it may be mix rain/snow when it does hit the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The RMM charts don’t seem to be reflecting the actual strength of the forcing over the Maritime Continent. Notice how robust the VP anomalies are compared to the RMM charts. This is probably related to the La Niña which also produces forcing over the Maritime Continent. The 500 mb composite favors a mild +EPO pattern. Looks like some p7 at the end of the month could improve the pac. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Bluewave always with the accurate response to rain on the weenie parade. Pacific puke looks to dominate rest of the month. We'd have to be lucky to score with such a putrid airmass over us. Odds would improve in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah, December 1996 style. Greenland blocking linking up with a piece of the Western Atlantic Ridge. Notice the unfavorable Pacific maintaining a mild Pacific airmass across much of the US. Southeast ridge is non existent which is not normal for Niña 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Bluewave always with the accurate response to rain on the weenie parade. Pacific puke looks to dominate rest of the month. We'd have to be lucky to score with such a putrid airmass over us. Odds would improve in January. Minimal improvement on the PAC side can put us in the game as long as the ATL side cooperates. Even a decent WPO can inject some arctic air for the NAO to hold in place. Need to tamp that PAC jet down just a bit though. It's been a killer these past few years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 In Liberty NY About 3/8th of an inch of snow and snowing moderately now 29.3 degrees 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 Very light snow falling here in Campbell Hall. 35/27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2020 Share Posted December 9, 2020 15 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Bluewave always with the accurate response to rain on the weenie parade. Pacific puke looks to dominate rest of the month. We'd have to be lucky to score with such a putrid airmass over us. Odds would improve in January. We will be fine if the teleconnection stay like this along with the epo going negative. Hopefully the blocking which Allsnow alluded to this morning on the ensembles in the long range move up in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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