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hlcater

Major Hurricane Delta

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4 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

955 mb from the dropsonde.

Going down at about 3 mb/ hr. This may come close to Felix's TD to Cat 5 record.   

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2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

Cancun area is going to take a direct hit on that trajectory

Eye is very small so area of strongest winds will be small. No question they are at high risk of a direct hit given track seems clustered with little variance until Yucatan landfall. NHC now calling for 140 mph at Mexico landfall.

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This thing is TINY. 6nm wide eye and a hurricane force wind diameter of maybe 15-20nm. Still strengthening in earnest and that CDO is freezing cold. If the eye closes and pops, pressure is gonna free fall I think. 

52EA1A6A-C1DC-4292-9292-C6E10560C71F.jpeg

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1 minute ago, Windspeed said:

Southern around to northeastern semicircle of the eyeband is going bananas on GLM flash count over the past 20 minutes. Great time for one more pass.

This is going to be an awesome pass 

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6 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

Southern around to northeastern semicircle of the eyeband is going bananas on GLM flash count over the past 20 minutes. Great time for one more pass.

assuming the plane isn't hit.

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You could argue for 130 but I'd say conservatively it's a 125 mph 'cane now. If the small eye holds through the afternoon, it should reach Cat 4 by the 2 PM EDT advisory at this current rate of intensification.

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