CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 0.33" here and still -RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Gfs has less than an inch of rain for eastern SNE through the end of the run... which is now out to middle of October. yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 2-3" on the GFS and Euro...perfect. We don't need any of that 5" nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 I see a lot of mental health issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 This probably ends further east then modeled in the end, I don't think you can count anyone out, That's a real moist air mass moving NNE and looks like it could be convective and your not going to nail down those areas this far out for heavy precip from some of these embedded cells, PWAT's will be in the 1-2"+ range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Nor'easter Monday? He dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 That was a high PWAT downpour. Max rate 2.5"/hr with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Nor'easter Monday? He dead. So the rains are only 7 days away now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: So the rains are only 7 days away now? Shook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Trend for Wed has been shifting east a tad. Wouldn't shock me if that occurred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Euro is alot wetter than the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 78/65 we warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 6 hours ago, Whineminster said: I'm really not in the mood for 3" of rain. Maybe if it came over the course of a week, not 2 days. Now's a good time to plant that grass seed? Or maybe it will wash away.... Might be the best time to plant seed. Just make sure to cover the seed with topsoil and hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 By day 10, The drought talk will have passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Cleary this is wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 49 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 0.33" here and still -RA. Like.......today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Like.......today? Yeah. About .35 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah, I think that’s overdone. As usual with the euro. Though some decent gusts look probable on the NAM and GFS, just more confined and further east. Edit: I think you’d really need the low to crank quickly to get close to that kind of wind event. Low does bomb. I think ern CT, RI, and ern MA areas need to watch when those winds are progged what they are at 925. Might be a nasty fine line of heavy rain moving East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Wow. Suns out here. Barely a blip on radar. Low level mist? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah, I think that’s overdone. As usual with the euro. Though some decent gusts look probable on the NAM and GFS, just more confined and further east. Edit: I think you’d really need the low to crank quickly to get close to that kind of wind event. Ya but definitely not gusting to hurricane force like it shows here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Ya but definitely not gusting to hurricane force like it shows here lol No lol. More of a rain deal there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Call me skeptical lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 More of an east tick on the NAM it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 65-70kts at 925 on the NAM Wed morning. Violence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 Pretty much every model is 2-4” here by Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 57 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: More rain Friday. Not really. Couple sprinkles with FROPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 10 minutes ago, Whineminster said: Not really. Couple sprinkles with FROPA. Oh ok. Thank you for clarifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 12z GFS has 0.68" thru day 16 for Augusta, more than twice that at IZG. Wednesday shows a real narrow strip of heavier precip that wiggles E/W with every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 46 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Pretty much every model is 2-4” here by Wednesday night. Yeah, I feel pretty good for 1.5”+ here. Hopefully that Randolph magic will be in play to wring out every last drop of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 28, 2020 Share Posted September 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, PhineasC said: Yeah, I feel pretty good for 1.5”+ here. Hopefully that Randolph magic will be in play to wring out every last drop of precip. Ah you’re gonna need another phrase, Mansfield Magic is already trademarked over here . Maybe a Randolph Raking is in order? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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