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September 2020 Discussion

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34 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Next 2 nights are going to be down right chilly, The garden may be toast come Sunday morning if i don't cover it.

Make that 3. Sun and Mon AM look like the coldest rad mornings.

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Just now, dendrite said:

Make that 3. Sun and Mon AM look like the coldest rad mornings.

Could go back to back, Maybe we get our first frost and freeze too?

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1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah... BDL, BOS, PVD are all less than 1.0F AN,   ORH still has some work to do at +1.5F, but that will be gone by Tuesday

Summer ended rather abruptly this year.

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Just now, dryslot said:

Summer ended rather abruptly this year.

I do think we get at least 1 more slug of warm stuff before the end of the month...like some low 80s type stuff down here... maybe in 7-10 days?  

Otherwise, we are on to Han Solo season

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2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Could go back to back, Maybe we get our first frost and freeze too?

3-peat?

KLEW   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    9/18/2020  1200 UTC
DT /SEPT 18/SEPT 19                /SEPT 20                /SEPT 21
HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X                    31          61          29          59    30
TMP  59 61 54 44 37 34 38 53 59 59 48 40 36 33 37 53 57 57 47 37 39
DPT  34 33 35 33 30 27 28 28 25 23 26 29 29 27 29 27 25 24 30 30 32
CLD  OV FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
WDR  36 35 35 35 36 36 34 35 33 33 35 36 36 01 35 01 01 01 36 01 36
WSP  12 13 10 06 03 03 06 10 08 08 04 03 02 01 05 11 11 08 05 01 03
P06         0     4     2     0     2     2     1     3     0  0  0
P12                     4           2           2           3     0
Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  0
Q12                     0           0           0           0     0
T06      3/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 1  8/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  1/ 0  0/ 0
T12            5/ 4        0/ 2        8/ 0        0/ 0     4/ 0
POZ   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0
POS   0  0  0  3 12 11 16  8 10  9 12 14 21 12 16 16  8 15  5  5  0
TYP   R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R
SNW                     0                       0                 0
CIG   6  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8
VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N

 

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Just now, dendrite said:

3-peat?

KLEW   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    9/18/2020  1200 UTC
DT /SEPT 18/SEPT 19                /SEPT 20                /SEPT 21
HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X                    31          61          29          59    30
TMP  59 61 54 44 37 34 38 53 59 59 48 40 36 33 37 53 57 57 47 37 39
DPT  34 33 35 33 30 27 28 28 25 23 26 29 29 27 29 27 25 24 30 30 32
CLD  OV FW CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL
WDR  36 35 35 35 36 36 34 35 33 33 35 36 36 01 35 01 01 01 36 01 36
WSP  12 13 10 06 03 03 06 10 08 08 04 03 02 01 05 11 11 08 05 01 03
P06         0     4     2     0     2     2     1     3     0  0  0
P12                     4           2           2           3     0
Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  0
Q12                     0           0           0           0     0
T06      3/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 1  8/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  1/ 0  0/ 0
T12            5/ 4        0/ 2        8/ 0        0/ 0     4/ 0
POZ   0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0  0
POS   0  0  0  3 12 11 16  8 10  9 12 14 21 12 16 16  8 15  5  5  0
TYP   R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R
SNW                     0                       0                 0
CIG   6  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8  8
VIS   7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7  7
OBV   N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N  N

 

Possible, Calm night we can radiate with the best of them.

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Phin's wife already looking at real estate in the SW US.

KBML   GFS MOS GUIDANCE    9/18/2020  1200 UTC
DT /SEPT 18/SEPT 19                /SEPT 20                /SEPT 21
HR   18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 06 12
N/X                    26          55          22          56    20
TMP  56 57 44 35 32 29 31 48 52 53 40 30 27 25 29 47 54 56 41 24 28
DPT  30 29 33 30 28 26 27 29 26 25 30 27 24 22 25 27 24 24 31 22 25
CLD  CL CL CL CL CL FW FW CL CL CL CL CL FW SC FW CL CL CL CL CL CL
WDR  34 34 35 00 00 00 00 33 33 33 00 00 00 00 00 34 35 35 00 00 00
WSP  07 09 01 00 00 00 00 07 07 07 00 00 00 00 00 06 07 06 00 00 00
P06         0     2     0     0     3     6     0     0     0  0  0
P12                     6           3           6           0     0
Q06         0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0     0  0  0
Q12                     0           0           0           0     0
T06      3/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  0/ 0  8/ 0  0/ 0  1/ 0  0/ 0  1/ 0  0/ 0
T12            7/ 6        0/ 1        8/ 0        1/ 0     3/ 0
POZ   0  0  0  0  0  0  1  0  0  0  0  0  0  1  2  0  0  0  0  1  0
POS   0  2  5 10 18 13 38  8 10 11 12 25 37 11 17 14  6 15  8 16  0
TYP   R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R  R
SNW                     0                       0                 0
CIG   8  8  8  8  8  1  1  8  8  8  8  8  1  1  1  8  8  8  8  8  1
VIS   7  7  7  7  2  1  1  7  7  7  7  7  1  1  1  7  7  7  7  1  1
OBV   N  N  N  N  N FG FG  N  N  N  N  N FG FG FG  N  N  N  N FG FG

 

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6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Models have 80+ later next week and beyond 

Not good for the new england wildlands fire situation. 

Use wells sparingly folks. 

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The warmth is fleeting. Outside of some kind of late September 2017 stretch it's not a big deal past the equinox. In fact, sign me up.

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12 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Models have 80+ later next week and beyond 

Hopefully we get some more warm days... Thursday was awesome to have the windows and sliders open.  

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55 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Make that 3. Sun and Mon AM look like the coldest rad mornings.

Yeah, that high pressure is perfect on Sunday for back-to-back mornings.

We already had a pretty solid frost at 32F earlier this week, but any surviving vegetation should see it's growing season end in a hurry this weekend.

12z MET is 31/27/28 for the 3 mornings here.

725418148_Screenshot2020-09-18130655.jpg.27e7f43e8619cfc502a44718f208b726.jpg

MAV showing 30/29/30.

530840139_Screenshot2020-09-18130738.jpg.b3e4e427c625ef95c8bb73b2befd9991.jpg

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5 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah, that high pressure is perfect on Sunday for back-to-back mornings.

We already had a pretty solid frost at 32F earlier this week, but any surviving vegetation should see it's growing season end in a hurry this weekend.

12z MET is 31/27/28 for the 3 mornings here.

725418148_Screenshot2020-09-18130655.jpg.27e7f43e8619cfc502a44718f208b726.jpg

MAV showing 30/29/30.

530840139_Screenshot2020-09-18130738.jpg.b3e4e427c625ef95c8bb73b2befd9991.jpg

Good. My dead tomatoes need company. :lol:

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16 minutes ago, alex said:

Good. My dead tomatoes need company. :lol:

My garden (who am I kidding, it’s my wife’s garden) looks pretty rough from the mid-week frost, but a hard freeze should finish ‘er right off.

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1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

12z GFS has less then 1/2" of rain thru end of the month.  Brutal.

Euro follows suit.  Nada thru day 10.  Looking like the driest month in recent record history is in the cards.

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Frost Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
244 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2020

MEZ013-014-018>020-033-NHZ005>009-011-015-191000-
/O.NEW.KGYX.FR.Y.0010.200919T0400Z-200919T1200Z/
Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-
Interior Cumberland Highlands-Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-
Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-Cheshire-
Western And Central Hillsborough-
Including the cities of Farmington, New Sharon, New Vineyard,
Temple, Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens, Cornville, Skowhegan,
Palmyra, Pittsfield, Embden, Madison, Hollis, Alfred, Lebanon,
Sanford, Goodwins Mills, Buxton, Limington, Berwick,
New Gloucester, Gray, North Windham, Gorham, Greene, Lewiston,
Sabattus, Wales, Minot, Turner, Auburn, Livermore Falls,
Bridgton, Harrison, Naples, Lyme, Ashland, Ellsworth, Holderness,
Plymouth, Rumney, Wakefield, Bridgewater, Brookfield, Ossipee,
Tuftonboro, Wolfeboro, Moultonborough, Claremont, Cornish, Unity,
Croydon, Goshen, Grantham, Lempster, Newport, Charlestown,
Boscawen, Canterbury, Concord, Dunbarton, Loudon, Hooksett,
Laconia, Gilford, Meredith, Gilsum, Keene, Marlow, Sullivan,
Surry, Jaffrey, Amherst, Milford, Mont Vernon, Goffstown,
Peterborough, Sharon, and Weare
244 PM EDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost
  formation.

* WHERE...Portions of central, northern and southern New
  Hampshire and south central, southwest and western Maine.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if
  left uncovered.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

Schwibs

Looks like i will pick whats left of the garden tonight.

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1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Euro follows suit.  Nada thru day 10.  Looking like the driest month in recent record history is in the cards.

If that’s the case, I bet we will start to see some red flag warnings.

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Dews below freezing... the only thing that’ll save us tonight is if the wind stays up a bit.  Otherwise it is crystal clear, dry, and cold air mass.  

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6 minutes ago, mreaves said:

54°/31°  May turn on the heat for the first time tonight.

58.3/34...was thinking that myself. Time to fry the dust off of the baseboard radiators.

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