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wdrag

Svr potential Monday July 6 2P-10P NY metro

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2 minutes ago, dmillz25 said:

Yeah same here I was like wtf!

Crazy. What's interesting is that there was no lightning before or after, just some distant thunder. That's why I got spooked, there was no build up.

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Looks like its gonna fizzle out over me. Maybe catch the edge of it. . Bulk of it maybe aimed toward midtown, lower Manhattan. What is going on in Hoboken, Union City, to Clifton? Looks like its been stationary for 45 mins+, getting blasted.

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How much has that cell dropped up in Bergen County so far.

Has not moved for an hour. 

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There has got to be a force field or something around central queens. Storm was on our doorstep until it suddenly darted west and now it looks to be fizzling out.  

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Sky is black here and I can see a shelf cloud forming to my North over Rockland county. Been beating around the bush the last hour and waiting to see if all that activity over Central and Eastern Bergen county drifts Northwest.

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Insanely localized. There must be serious flooding no more than 20 minutes north of me. Cant say Im not a little mad, but it is what it is when it comes to these events. 

Radar estimates close to 3" 

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I'm in the UWS. I haven't seen heavy, sustained rain like this in a long time. Lightning and thunder every 10-20 seconds. It looks like there's a weak couplet northwest of the city, around Paterson, where the VIL is around 45 kg/m^2. I imagine that's where the big hail is falling.

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Been on the dividing line for the heavier stuff for about an hour here in Astoria. It's been light to moderate rain, occasional wind gusts and distant rumbles of thunder.

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1 hour ago, Will - Rutgers said:

lol I am at work in NBR is it seriously dry in Piscataway?  NBR is getting pasted.

Is training the right word?  Trains move.

Think of a train running on the track, goes over the same point over and over and over...hence the term training.

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Crazy wind here just above the surface. Tops of tall trees swaying pretty good. Low level clouds and scud are racing North. 

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10 minutes ago, LIWeatherGuy29 said:

Are those storms forecast to make it to Long Island?

It's unlikely.  It could rain a little but the storms will dramatically weaken if they try to push into our area.  Maybe the north shore is in the game. That's TBD though.

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Just now, Rjay said:

There's no way.  It could rain a little but the storms will dramatically weaken if they try to push into our area.

If this was winter the people in the subsidence would be out on the ledge. 

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It's pretty amazing to see the vertical wind shear here. The clouds at the highest levels are moving Easterly. The mid-levels appear to be nearly calm and the low levels are racing North.

For those that don't know I am in Ramsey, NJ FYI.

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Just now, PB-99 said:

If this was winter the people in the subsidence would be out on the ledge. 

I'm a bit annoyed right now lol 

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Northern part of cell filling back in. Windy a few pings of hail starting.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
439 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Bergen County in northeastern New Jersey...
  Southern Westchester County in southeastern New York...
  Queens County in southeastern New York...
  Bronx County in southeastern New York...
  Rockland County in southeastern New York...
  New York (Manhattan) County in southeastern New York...

* Until 545 PM EDT.

* At 439 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Riverdale, or
  near Bergenfield, moving east at 5 mph.

  HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
           wind damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
  Yonkers, New Rochelle, White Plains, Bergenfield, Paramus, Rye,
  Tarrytown, Dobbs Ferry, Nyack, Rfk Bridge, Flushing, Throgs Neck
  Bridge, Sleepy Hollow, Mott Haven and Tappan.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

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Will be interested in all  rainfall reports 3+ today (I saw the digital storm total-tho wonder if thats a bit of hail contamination). I did see near 5" report Fox Chase PA (near PHL).  Will need to revaluate but I think what is happening Philly has decent chance of occurring here in NNJ/se NYS-NYC Wed afternoon-eve, probably less hail but maybe as much or more rain. PWAT/CAPE/KI on EC are seemingly parking here on Wed.  Anyway, 3+" rainfall reports in NY forum area, if any, are appreciated and any 5+ in se PA/s of I78. Will start a topic shortly for Due-primarily Wed. 

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3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Think of a train running on the track, goes over the same point over and over and over...hence the term training.

No no I know, but I always took it to mean a progression of cells that run over the same place.  Not one cell that just sits and sits.

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6 minutes ago, PB-99 said:

Have to move that Bergen County cell or they will get a Flood E.R. 

Route 17 by Teterboro is likely flooded. 

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6 minutes ago, Rjay said:

It's unlikely.  It could rain a little but the storms will dramatically weaken if they try to push into our area.  Maybe the north shore is in the game. That's TBD though.

The development just jumped east over the Bronx likely due to some sort of outflow.  I don’t think it’ll get onto Long Island but there’s so much going on now with the outflow I wouldn’t be surprised.  I hear thunder here in Merrick almost constantly now 

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