STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's still pretty far south. The high res ARWs are near the cape. There is definitely a convective and baroclinic element messing with the models. Isn’t the ARW almost always over amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 If that 12 Z nam verified that break every single tree around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Glad I didn't waste valuable time blogging for cat paws....this is why I wait until the last possible moment to invest in April potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 GFS ends as some snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Reggie May be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS ends as some snow as well. Man those forecast soundings around PWM are just stuck at 36 at the surface, but pretty chilly aloft. That 1000 ft deep warm layer is like so borderline depending on rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS ends as some snow as well. What is the reason gfs has trended 1-2c warmer at 925 than yesterday. Looks weaker ? And a touch north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Man those forecast soundings around PWM are just stuck at 36 at the surface, but pretty chilly aloft. That 1000 ft deep warm layer is like so borderline depending on rates. 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: What is the reason gfs has trended 1-2c warmer at 925 than yesterday. Looks weaker ? And a touch north? Yeah it's all rate dependent. If you aren't banked up on the east slopes near 1K...you better be slamming more than 0.5"+/6hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 25, 2020 Author Share Posted April 25, 2020 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Glad I didn't waste valuable time blogging for cat paws....this is why I wait until the last possible moment to invest in April potential. The potential is even going away up here. GFS seems to be leading the way will see if Euro follows this afternoon. My guess is it will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 I’m just looking forward to my 40F gloom and doom. Man, this year has sucked in more ways than one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 16 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: The potential is even going away up here. GFS seems to be leading the way will see if Euro follows this afternoon. My guess is it will I think you still look good for some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 6 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: I’m just looking forward to my 40F gloom and doom. Man, this year has sucked in more ways than one. Phucking awful. Worst year of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Sunny and 50s today, absolutely wonderful. I still love snow, but I really am ready to done with it at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Sunny and 50s today, absolutely wonderful. I still love snow, but I really am ready to done with it at this point Beauty out. 56/15 right now... full sun and 20% RH, that's how life should be, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Looking at mid level low track , 850-925 temps and QPF what is missing to clobber monads on ukie i mean at 2K won’t it be cold enough at BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Ukie tries for little reach around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Looking at mid level low track , 850-925 temps and QPF what is missing to clobber monads on Ukie Gets a little slotty there for a time. Need to go north where it's deeper saturation in the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gets a little slotty there for a time. Need to go north where it's deeper saturation in the DGZ. There's that lead wave that drives the WAA precip, but then a pretty good pause in widespread forcing until the upper low gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Euro improved again on the CCB for E MA. Might be some accumulation Monday evening depending on rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro improved again on the CCB for E MA. Might be some accumulation Monday evening depending on rates. Where did WCB hit please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Reach around for eastern mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Colder than -3C at 925. I ask for that in January and can't get it. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Way to nice today to even think about snow. 60f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Watching another one get ripped out from under my feet. Wagons N and E of here as the dynamics and better saturation in DGZ appear to be heading that way. Mesos look almost a bit sleety and icy here too thanks to WAA aloft. Euro has a dry slot. It's happened with pretty much every single friggin storm this winter save for the early December deal that had a big overachieving WCB on the first night of the event. Even the CCB part of that event largely missed this location. That said I still think I get some snow, but probably not enough to be of much consequence. Maybe 1-2" of slop? I guess I'll have to drain the remaining fuel in my snow blower... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Hmm, what to do. What to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 7 minutes ago, wxmanmitch said: Watching another one get ripped out from under my feet. Wagons N and E of here as the dynamics and better saturation in DGZ appear to be heading that way. Mesos look almost a bit sleety and icy here too thanks to WAA aloft. Euro has a dry slot. It's happened with pretty much every single friggin storm this winter save for the early December deal that had a big overachieving WCB on the first night of the event. Even the CCB part of that event largely missed this location. That said I still think I get some snow, but probably not enough to be of much consequence. Maybe 1-2" of slop? I guess I'll have to drain the remaining fuel in my snow blower... I think you do better than 1-2"? I'll take the over. It probably will be a little nowcast like, but wouldn't shock me if you had a pause in between the WCB and the CCB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 20 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Hmm, what to do. What to do. Are you considering WSW's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 22 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Hmm, what to do. What to do. Hoist em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Hoist em I think if it's even close, you need to hoist given time of year and magnitude of anomaly....even up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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