CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Sweet event for central VT to PF on East into Maine it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Losing it for this area. Still might see a gloppy inch or mangled cats paws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Slipping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Meh if it slips it slips. Doesn’t really matter this late. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Wouldn't that be a kick in the nuts. lol I'm shocked--shocked that our day 4, end of April storm has slipped away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Maybe WCB or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 24 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Maybe WCB or bust Randolph to Rangeley corridor. That’s the best bet at the moment for good snows from both WCB and CCB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Randolph to Rangeley corridor. That’s the best bet at the moment for good snows from both WCB and CCB. I was thinking ( given recent trends) of a ride Monday toward the cog railway . That 6 mile road goes above 2K as you get to the backside of MWN . Believe parking lot is around 2300-2400’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Fryeburg Flattener? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Disgusting warm layer at 750 on that WCB push into CNE by 0z sunday eve , esp E VT C NH (Maine not so much ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Would be funny if this completely fails here altogether. I’m cheering on rain now...either go big or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted April 25, 2020 Author Share Posted April 25, 2020 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Would be funny if this completely fails here altogether. I’m cheering on rain now...either go big or go home. It looked big yesterday but not so much today. I don't know why I was cheering on a big 12" birch bender that could cause power issues. Sun coming out strong now as low clouds move SE. Should be the nicest day yet of spring?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Fryeburg Flattener? CCB crushing monday looks similar to areas that hit C NH , Maine 2 weeks ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: CCB crushing monday looks similar to areas that hit C NH , Maine 2 weeks ago Lavarock Leveled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Absolutely destroys similar areas 2 weeks ago. Firehose into western Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Lavarock Leveled. Looks like dejavu for Maine If that capture can occur in that area looking at 5H that run it looked early on (Sunday am) that the upper support was a bit further east and thus was able to capture the surface low further west of 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Looks like dejavu for Maine If that capture can occur in that area looking at 5H that run it looked early on (Sunday am) that the upper support was a bit further east and thus was able to capture the surface low further west of 6z Yeah looks like capture is near Ptown in Gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 everything I mentioned/concerned for this thing is happening ...creeping, it's slowly transformative toward a typical cat paw cold rain elevation bore.. It's typically solar mangled normalizing in the closing/modeling as it nears we see in spring ... Overly conserved baroclinic physics at this time of year, in the model complexion in mid ranges, tends to do this and systems get shredded when short termed. Unless the system is above a certain magnitude of SD kinematics ... May 77 or some April systems of yore...etc... which this one does not possess in my opinion. As I stated, it is too open and stretching/progressive, so a marginal atmosphere needs the opposite to happen - it needs to be slowing down with height falls once we get passed ( really ) March 20th... It'll snow somewhere...but that idea of blue cake for more pervasive entertainment was probably more of a red herring - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah looks like capture is near Ptown in Gulf of Maine. Big fan of the NAM 4.1" at PWM from the WCB, then dry slot, then another 5.8" from the CCB on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 That 12z run just pop the 700 low over MHT and sends it due east. Pure mid level magic Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Can anyone find the CCB? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Can anyone find the CCB? May be better up your way in Maine... If that happens in the day-light hours of Tuesday with that -2 to marginal appeal, it's not doing much down this way - we'll see the snow level a few hundred fee up while a couple bigger aggs get down..Those fields have nice geometry and form with that cyclonic wrap... but are not deep/amped enough for nearing May post sun-up... we'll see. interesting - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 3K tries to get some tail end snow here. Develops the low a tad further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Had this storm all lined up for a big drive yesterday. Oops. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 3K tries to get some tail end snow here. Develops the low a tad further south. The 3k is nite and day different from what I see . ..snows into SNE decent amount Monday am and it may have been gearing up to lash E mass more after hour 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 41 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: It looked big yesterday but not so much today. I don't know why I was cheering on a big 12" birch bender that could cause power issues. Sun coming out strong now as low clouds move SE. Should be the nicest day yet of spring?? We're in our own special zone of overcast suck right now, but at least it's whittling away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Also Reggie was extremely far south and at 6z . Appears to be southern outlier (at least that I’ve seen) 12z running now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: The 3k is nite and day different from what I see . ..snows into SNE and it may have been gearing up to lash E mass after hour 60 Gives Ray more snow than me. That'd be funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 12z reggie running has been a real southern outlier at 0z and 6z with WCB (doesn’t go out to CCB timing at this time frame ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 25, 2020 Share Posted April 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 12z reggie running has been a real southern outlier at 0z and 6z with WCB (doesn’t go out to CCB timing at this time frame ) It's still pretty far south. The high res ARWs are near the cape. There is definitely a convective and baroclinic element messing with the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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