Fear and loathing April, 2020 discussion, obs, and the occasional derailment

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Can we trade?

Nice lingering OES and fronto would have been an excellent Feb snow storm 

[HoarfrostHubb]

37F was my high today so far

Cold day.    Not cool.  Not normal.   Cold

[HoarfrostHubb]

ORH has had a -5, -10, -10 before today.  Today will be -12 or something

Cold stretch.   Better days ahead 

[weatherwiz]

Anyone else scroll through the 384-hr CAPE charts on the GFS yet?

[Baroclinic Zone]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Anyone else scroll through the 384-hr CAPE charts on the GFS yet?

Can’t say I’ve ever seen those. What site?

[weatherwiz]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

Can’t say I’ve ever seen those. What site?

I like weather.cod.edu

[dendrite]

So here we are on 4/18 and I have yet to hit 60F this month. I had a 60.0F on 3/20 although if you did ASOS 5-min averaging on my data my high would've been below 60F that day. That would push me back to 66.7F on 3/9 as my last day with a high above 60F. Just cheating and glancing at MOS, I could go without 60F for the entire extended period...

KCON   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   4/18/2020  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
     SUN 19| MON 20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25|SUN CLIMO
N/X  27  61| 38  58| 28  56| 29  48| 23  58| 38  54| 30  57| 33 35 60
TMP  35  54| 44  46| 37  46| 36  41| 34  51| 43  47| 39  48| 42
DPT  26  35| 32  22| 28  29| 24  15| 22  29| 35  29| 28  24| 31
CLD  PC  OV| OV  CL| PC  OV| OV  PC| CL  PC| OV  OV| CL  CL| CL
WND   3  13|  9   9|  5  16| 18  23| 13  10|  9  11|  6  15|  5
P12   0  20| 36   6|  6  68| 37   4|  4  19| 29  20| 13   8| 12 25 24
P24      24|     36|     77|     47|     19|     29|     16|       37
Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   2|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |
Q24       0|      0|      3|      1|      0|      0|       |
T12   1   0|  2   0|  1  10|  7   2|  2   2|  1   2|  2   0|  1
T24        |  3    |  1    | 13    |  5    |  2    |  5    |  4
PZP   3   3|  0   0|  6   1|  0   0|  4   6|  0   2|  0   5|  2
PSN  23   0|  3  10| 15   0| 38  48| 37  11|  5   5| 17   1|  3
PRS   6   6| 14  21| 15   5| 19  22| 18  20|  3  12| 15  17| 12
TYP   R   R|  R   R|  R   R| RS   S| RS   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R
SNW       0|      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |

EPS and GEFS are caca right into May. A month of April here without 60F would be lol worthy. I'm pretty sure Kevin cursed this spring with his early torch talk.

[Ginx snewx]

18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

So here we are on 4/18 and I have yet to hit 60F this month. I had a 60.0F on 3/20 although if you did ASOS 5-min averaging on my data my high would've been below 60F that day. That would push me back to 66.7F on 3/9 as my last day with a high above 60F. Just cheating and glancing at MOS, I could go without 60F for the entire extended period...

KCON   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   4/18/2020  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
     SUN 19| MON 20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25|SUN CLIMO
N/X  27  61| 38  58| 28  56| 29  48| 23  58| 38  54| 30  57| 33 35 60
TMP  35  54| 44  46| 37  46| 36  41| 34  51| 43  47| 39  48| 42
DPT  26  35| 32  22| 28  29| 24  15| 22  29| 35  29| 28  24| 31
CLD  PC  OV| OV  CL| PC  OV| OV  PC| CL  PC| OV  OV| CL  CL| CL
WND   3  13|  9   9|  5  16| 18  23| 13  10|  9  11|  6  15|  5
P12   0  20| 36   6|  6  68| 37   4|  4  19| 29  20| 13   8| 12 25 24
P24      24|     36|     77|     47|     19|     29|     16|       37
Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   2|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |
Q24       0|      0|      3|      1|      0|      0|       |
T12   1   0|  2   0|  1  10|  7   2|  2   2|  1   2|  2   0|  1
T24        |  3    |  1    | 13    |  5    |  2    |  5    |  4
PZP   3   3|  0   0|  6   1|  0   0|  4   6|  0   2|  0   5|  2
PSN  23   0|  3  10| 15   0| 38  48| 37  11|  5   5| 17   1|  3
PRS   6   6| 14  21| 15   5| 19  22| 18  20|  3  12| 15  17| 12
TYP   R   R|  R   R|  R   R| RS   S| RS   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R
SNW       0|      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |

EPS and GEFS are caca right into May. A month of April here without 60F would be lol worthy. I'm pretty sure Kevin cursed this spring with his early torch talk.

NNE apparently isn't done with winter

[kdxken]

23 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I'm pretty sure Kevin cursed this spring with his early torch talk.

The guy is a freakin' jinx. Warmest March ever...all next week 70-75...looks hot in the extended.

[Damage In Tolland]

30 minutes ago, dendrite said:

So here we are on 4/18 and I have yet to hit 60F this month. I had a 60.0F on 3/20 although if you did ASOS 5-min averaging on my data my high would've been below 60F that day. That would push me back to 66.7F on 3/9 as my last day with a high above 60F. Just cheating and glancing at MOS, I could go without 60F for the entire extended period...

KCON   GFSX MOS GUIDANCE   4/18/2020  1200 UTC
FHR  24  36| 48  60| 72  84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
     SUN 19| MON 20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25|SUN CLIMO
N/X  27  61| 38  58| 28  56| 29  48| 23  58| 38  54| 30  57| 33 35 60
TMP  35  54| 44  46| 37  46| 36  41| 34  51| 43  47| 39  48| 42
DPT  26  35| 32  22| 28  29| 24  15| 22  29| 35  29| 28  24| 31
CLD  PC  OV| OV  CL| PC  OV| OV  PC| CL  PC| OV  OV| CL  CL| CL
WND   3  13|  9   9|  5  16| 18  23| 13  10|  9  11|  6  15|  5
P12   0  20| 36   6|  6  68| 37   4|  4  19| 29  20| 13   8| 12 25 24
P24      24|     36|     77|     47|     19|     29|     16|       37
Q12   0   0|  0   0|  0   2|  0   0|  0   0|  0   0|       |
Q24       0|      0|      3|      1|      0|      0|       |
T12   1   0|  2   0|  1  10|  7   2|  2   2|  1   2|  2   0|  1
T24        |  3    |  1    | 13    |  5    |  2    |  5    |  4
PZP   3   3|  0   0|  6   1|  0   0|  4   6|  0   2|  0   5|  2
PSN  23   0|  3  10| 15   0| 38  48| 37  11|  5   5| 17   1|  3
PRS   6   6| 14  21| 15   5| 19  22| 18  20|  3  12| 15  17| 12
TYP   R   R|  R   R|  R   R| RS   S| RS   R|  R   R|  R   R|  R
SNW       0|      0|      0|      0|      0|      0|       |

EPS and GEFS are caca right into May. A month of April here without 60F would be lol worthy. I'm pretty sure Kevin cursed this spring with his early torch talk.

Noyes has 50’s and 60’s right thru day 10

[dendrite]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Noyes has 50’s and 60’s right thru day 10

Sounds epic for late April down there.

Meanwhile, 44 years ago tomorrow we were in the mid 90s...probably the most brutal Boston Marathon ever.

[ineedsnow]

The cold looks like it will be around for awhile.. Hoping this can last for awhile!

[kdxken]

24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Noyes has 50’s and 60’s right thru day 10

50 degrees? Holy crap that's hot for almost May.

[ineedsnow]

0z GFS  has a little snow day 8

[weathafella]

5 hours ago, dendrite said:

Sounds epic for late April down there.

Meanwhile, 44 years ago tomorrow we were in the mid 90s...probably the most brutal Boston Marathon ever.

Runners hit the back door in top of heartbreak hill.   Mid 90s to low 50s.  Fun day for us heat lovers.

[ma blizzard]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

0z GFS  has a little snow day 8

very blocky pattern in mid-long range, CMC and GFS Op runs tonight have some miserable solutions ugh 

[dendrite]

It feels like it’s been March since mid December. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

Another freeze overnight.  26/27F.

[HoarfrostHubb]

ORH -0.9F month to date

[Baroclinic Zone]

16 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

ORH -0.9F month to date

-2.3F here.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

27F here earlier this morning.  Heavy frost on cars. 

[NorEastermass128]

Please, no. Make this awful spring just stop. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

8 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

27F here earlier this morning.  Heavy frost on cars. 

25.4F here.      I’m told it’s just a little cool. Not cold

[HoarfrostHubb]

On 4/14/2020 at 3:02 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

All right. I will give you that    I’m thinking BN departures for ORH will outnumber AN for the next 7 days or so.  Cold might be over stating it.  I doubt we see any -10 departures. 

Oops.  Three -10F or colder departures in a row.  

[CoastalWx]

10 hours ago, ineedsnow said:

The cold looks like it will be around for awhile.. Hoping this can last for awhile!

You and Mitch need to make out.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

You and Mitch need to make out.

Just grab the pony-o and pull him in?

[tamarack]

Another morning down near 20.  Thurs-Sat minima were 19, 19, 22.  Dry and cool, though this afternoon might empty the woods here of the last snow patches.

[CoastalWx]

Had a heavy frost here this morning. Still a few weenie patches, but time for a nice day. Bring on a torch, but unfortunately guidance is bringing on a lousy look.

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Just grab the pony-o and pull him in?

The visual.  

[dendrite]

MEX has a min of 19° for CON for Thu 4/23. That would break the record of 20° from 1975. When we’re threatening record low mins in this era you know you’re in a cold pattern.