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jburns

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

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13 hours ago, FatherNature said:

Too early to talk about the March 4th-6th storm?

Now showing 60's and 3/4" rain :D

 

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Doesn’t melting snow create latent heat? I know that the evaporational cooling will offset any latent heat created but #2 isn’t correct, right?

5C9DA830-6E45-44E7-AEDF-75207DBE203D.png

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27 minutes ago, Isopycnic said:

Doesn’t melting snow create latent heat? I know that the evaporational cooling will offset any latent heat created but #2 isn’t correct, right?

From: https://www.wxonline.info/topics/preciptype.html

"Melting snow to rain requires latent heat. This heat is taken from the surrounding air. In order to obtain substantial temperature change due to melting, it is necessary to have rather heavy amounts of precipitation falling with little or no warm advection. If this occurs, you can have heavy rain turn to heavy snow as the freezing level sinks downward due to cooling by latent heat absorption.

Although this situation can occur, cases of substantial lowering of the freezing level due to melting are relatively rare because the combination of heavy precicpitation without warm air advection is rare."

 

You may have been thinking of freezing rain (?) where there is a release of latent heat into the surrounding air when rain freezes.

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That's a ridiculous system day 5-7 on the euro. Huge phase and strong SLP. Could bring more SVR weather to the east coast. Would be a huge snowstorm over the ohio valley. Looks like winter decided to start in Mid February this year.

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5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Robert (WxSouth) just posted about the coldest air of the season coming in March! So, that’s not going to happen 

The Canadian says March is going to be a whiteout:weenie:

sn10_024h.us_ma.png

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19 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

Robert (WxSouth) just posted about the coldest air of the season coming in March! So, that’s not going to happen 

Its a pretty low bar, but I'll take it.

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25 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:


It did great for my area and the upstate


.

Missed it by about 6" here.

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First time post!  I've got about 3.4" about 4 miles north of RDU.  Still spiting snow.  Interestingly I did see an uptick in flake size about 2 hours ago when the LP was beginning to develop and the pivot was occurring.  Snow geese are fed for now!!  RDU officially with 3" so that makes sense.  Kudos to the NAM on this one.  Not sure but I'd imagine the snow totals would have been close if not for melting. 

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4 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said:

18z GFS suites... Do we track?ce179710694b8ae23c285ec925114b70.jpg

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

GFS?

No.

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18z GFS suites... Do we track?

 

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk

 

 

Only if you want to be disappointed... though I’d take 9, 13, and especially 14... I’d love everyone on this board to get a big dog for this year !!!

 

 

 

.

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1 minute ago, Orangeburgwx said:

0zaf1ae787fc59137d2169409bf15b017d.jpg

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

Probably need to wait on this little snow event to clear before someone has and aneurism trying to figure what snow is what on those ensemble maps 

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6 hours ago, Orangeburgwx said:

18z GFS suites... Do we track?ce179710694b8ae23c285ec925114b70.jpg

Sent from my LML212VL using Tapatalk
 

We always track. It's a weather board, that's what we do!

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